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📚 USOIL - NATGAS Opinion — USOIL & NATGAS Slide on Inventory Surge [TradingFinder]

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Key takeaways

Finance

📚 USOIL - NATGAS Opinion — USOIL & NATGAS Slide on Inventory Surge [TradingFinder]

Key Assets and Instruments

  • USOIL (Crude Oil)
  • NATGAS (Natural Gas)
  • Timeframes analyzed: 4-hour and 1-hour charts

Market Context & Macroeconomic Factors

  • Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East are driving oil prices upward.
  • Oil prices are currently in an uptrend but face short-term correction risks.
  • Overall market outlook for oil is bullish with a low probability of a downward trend unless geopolitical tensions ease.
  • Inventory surges and liquidity accumulation are influencing price movements.

USOIL (Crude Oil) Analysis

Price Levels & Targets

  • Support / Order Block Zones: 62.3, 61.75, 61.47, 61.0

  • Resistance / Order Block Zones: 64.56, 65.64, 68.52, 70.57

  • Lower Possible Support if Bearish: 58.53 - 58.0 zone, 55.0, 54.5

  • Short-term Correction Targets:

    • 60.85 (4-hour order block zone)
    • 62.12 (liquidity accumulation)
  • Bullish Continuation: If price closes above 64.56, targets 65.64 and potentially up to 70.57.

Technical Indicators & Patterns

  • Daily and 4-hour Buy Pressure Ratio (BPR) are bearish despite bullish price movement.
  • RSI indicates a potential continuation zone but also shows bearish divergence suggesting a short-term pullback.
  • Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) divergence noted on 1-hour chart, supporting short-term downside.
  • Liquidity zones and order blocks serve as key decision points.
  • Bullish displacement and rejection block zones are important for confirming trend continuation or reversal.

Trading Strategy / Framework

  • Watch for momentum confirmation at key levels: 60.85, 62.12, 64.56.
  • Expect a short-term correction before resuming the upward trend.
  • Use order block zones as support/resistance for entries and exits.
  • Monitor RSI and volume divergences for timing corrections.
  • Consider bullish continuation targets if price closes above 64.56.
  • Prepare for possible bearish scenarios targeting lower zones (58.5 to 54.5) if geopolitical tensions ease.

NATGAS (Natural Gas) Analysis

Price Levels & Targets

  • Support / Order Block Zones: 5.05, 5.111, 5.188, 5.057

  • Resistance / Bullish Continuation Targets: 5.590, 5.722, 5.740, 6.190, 6.311

  • Short-term Corrections: May test lower range 5.188 to 5.057 before bullish resumption.

Technical Indicators & Patterns

  • Price moved aggressively upward, then consolidated in a range.
  • Swing Failure Pattern identified near 5.05 level, signaling liquidity collection and bullish reversal.
  • Order block zones and liquidity accumulation are critical for entry points.
  • Bullish displacement and closing price above 5.740 signal continuation of bullish trend.
  • Ryan Soldier strategy mentioned as a potential setup after liquidity collection and price close within range, with risk-reward ratios between 1:1 to 1:3.

Trading Strategy / Framework

  • Look for buy opportunities near 5.111 and 5.05 support zones.
  • Target resistance levels at 5.590 to 5.722 on bullish momentum.
  • Confirm bullish continuation with price close above 5.740.
  • Use Ryan Soldier strategy for sell positions if price closes within range after liquidity collection, placing stop loss behind swing.
  • Monitor momentum and liquidity triggers at 5.518, 5.600, and 5.714 for trade entries.
  • Manage risk via defined stop loss and favorable risk-reward ratios.

Summary of Recommendations

USOIL:

  • Expect short-term correction to 60.85–61.75 zone before bullish continuation.
  • Bullish breakout confirmed above 64.56 targeting 65.64 and higher.
  • Bearish scenario possible if geopolitical tensions ease, targeting 58.5 to 54.5.

NATGAS:

  • Buy near 5.05–5.11 support levels with targets up to 5.7 and potentially 6.3.
  • Confirm bullish continuation by closing above 5.740.
  • Use swing failure and Ryan Soldier strategies for entries and exits.
  • Manage risk with stop losses and aim for 1:2 or 1:3 risk-reward ratios.

Disclaimers

This analysis is opinion-based and does not constitute explicit financial advice. Emphasis is placed on using technical levels and momentum confirmation before entering trades.

Presenter / Source

  • TradingFinder (YouTube channel)
  • Analysis dated January 28th, focusing on 4-hour and 1-hour timeframes for USOIL and NATGAS.

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