CRT secrets ep.6: SMT

Finance-Focused Summary (Markets & Trading Concepts)

The speaker explains SMT (Smart Money / “SMT” style market logic) as a relationship between two correlated (or inverse) asset classes, where:

• One asset class “takes” the high or the low (“the one that takes”).
• The other asset class does not (“the one that doesn’t take”).
• The “non-take” is treated as a weakness signal and as an SMT trap / liquidity grab setup—price probes highs/lows to sucker traders, then reverses.

The approach is largely chart- and execution-rule based (CRT/ICT-style terminology), emphasizing precise entries at specific candle closes and key levels rather than broad “zones.”

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Assets / Tickers / Instruments Mentioned

FX / Currencies

• EUR
• USD (via an EUR/USD SMT relationship)

Index Futures / Indices

• ES (S&P 500-related)
• NQ (Nasdaq-related)
• (ES/NQ are referenced as SMT pair logic; Dow Jones is also mentioned.)

Crypto

• Bitcoin
• Ethereum (framed as an SMT pair)

Metals

• Gold
• Silver

US Macro / Dollar Gauge

• DXY (explicitly referenced as the SMT driver for at least one example)

No explicit ETF tickers (e.g., SPY/QQQ) were provided; ES/NQ are referenced by their index symbols.

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Key Trading Examples / Setups

1) Euro Trade Example (Sell First, Then Buy Later)

• EUR was said to dump massively into a previous week’s low.
• CRT / micro-CRT on the 4H was referenced as part of the logic supporting the move toward a target.
• The speaker describes a “kiss of death turtle soup” dynamic:
  • Price dips to a level, creates expectation of continued dumping, then pumps.

2) Buy Logic (Confirmation-Based CRT)

• The buy is described as happening after price dumped below a CRT low, then reacted upward.
• The “logic behind the buy” is tied to:
  • A CRT low breach into a key level (described as a previous high / opening price of a candle)
  • Two touches of that key level
  • Targets labeled “target 1” and “target 2” (no numeric prices provided)

Risk framing: “My risk was significantly lower” (no exact stop distance given).

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Methodology / Step-by-Step Framework (Explicit Rules)

SMT Pair Identification (Two-Asset Logic)

1. Identify an SMT pair, with examples including:
   • EUR/USD (driven via DXY)
   • BTC/ETH
   • Gold/Silver
   • ES/NQ and Dow Jones (also referenced)
2. Determine which asset is taking the high/low and which is not.
3. Treat the non-take as a sign of smart-money weakness and likely reversal behavior.

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“Manipulation Timing” Rule (Macro Sequence Across Candles)

If manipulation happens at the end of a candle, then expect distribution in the next candle with minimal manipulation.

The sequence is framed as usually:

• accumulation → manipulation → distribution

…but it can also be:

• manipulation → accumulation → distribution

The speaker criticizes rigid “time pattern traders” who expect the order to be fixed every time.

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CRT Key Level Selection (Precision Execution)

The speaker uses specific candle attributes:

• Down close candles = treated as support
• Up close candles = treated as resistance

For confirmation, the emphasis is on candle closes rather than zones.

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SMT Execution Requires Two Confirmations (Core Takeaway)

1) Model Number One Confirmation (lower timeframe)

• Wait for a close below a key close candle on the lower timeframe
• Described similarly to a bearish engulfing / liquidating structure on that lower TF

2) True Market Structure shift (TMSS) Confirmation (higher-strength)

• A true market structure shift at a key level
• Mentioned with an idea of timeframe expansion (conceptually)

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Avoiding a Common Mistake: SMT Inverted (Inverse Pairs)

For inverse pairs (examples given: EUR vs USD, BTC vs ETH):

• The “worst thing” is blind buying just because you observe SMT.
• Instead, the speaker advises:
  • Wait for confirmation
  • Use the asset class that took the high as the confirmation anchor
  • Then apply Model Number One on the lower timeframe

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Key Numbers / Timelines / Metrics

Timeline / Event

• 2 October 2025: described as a “book launch date” (not a trading performance metric)

Quantitative Targets

• Mentions a “Target 150%” (profit/extension context implied, but no numeric instrument prices included)

Performance Metrics

• No specific returns, CAGR, or drawdown figures are given.
• Mentions that “tens of thousands of people taking the same trade” is used to defend the approach (not a measurable performance statistic).

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Explicit Recommendations / Cautions

• Don’t binge-watch at 2x; watch attentively and take notes.
• Treat SMT outcomes as probabilities, not certainties: execution depends on how you respond.
• Avoid zone-based interpretation—the speaker frames this as precision candle trading, not zone trading.
• Enforce the rules: if confirmation conditions aren’t met (e.g., the expected close above/below doesn’t occur), odds decrease.
• Risk management is critical: improper handling of SMT traps can lead to account blow-ups.

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Disclosures / Disclaimers

• No clear formal “not financial advice” disclaimer is shown in subtitles.
• The speaker asserts authority (e.g., “trades I actually take”) without a regulatory-style disclosure.

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Presenters / Sources

• Presenter: unnamed in subtitles; referred to as “me” / the author-mentor.
• Historical reference: Charles Dao, credited with introducing SMT in the 1800s.
• Community references (not data sources): “ICT fanboys,” “traders,” “time pattern traders,” “trading Twitter,” and private mentorship contexts (no specific named individuals).