Summary of "PBS NOVA: Inside the Megastorm (November 2012)"
Summary of Scientific Concepts, Discoveries, and Natural Phenomena in "PBS NOVA: Inside the Megastorm" (November 2012)
Formation and Characteristics of Hurricane Sandy
- Tropical Storm Genesis: Sandy formed in the warm waters of the Caribbean, the 18th storm of the 2012 Atlantic season.
- Hurricane Development: Hurricanes require sea surface temperatures of about 26°C (80°F) to form, acting as heat engines by converting warm water into latent heat, powering strong winds.
- Unusual Path Prediction: European supercomputers predicted, unusually early, that Sandy would make a rare left turn and hit the Northeast US, including New York and New Jersey, instead of moving harmlessly out to sea or into the Gulf of Mexico.
Meteorological Factors Influencing Sandy
- Absence of Bermuda High: The typical Bermuda High pressure system that steers storms away was weak or absent, allowing Sandy to move northward parallel to the coast.
- Warm Gulf Stream: Sandy fed off a "ribbon" of unusually warm water (up to 5°F above normal) in the Gulf Stream, which sustained and intensified the storm as it moved northward.
- Hybrid Storm Formation: Sandy merged with a large nor’easter winter storm, creating a hybrid superstorm with characteristics of both tropical and winter storms—large size, intense rainfall, strong winds, and low pressure.
- Jet Stream Disruption: A blocking high pressure system over the Atlantic and a wavy jet stream diverted Sandy westward into the densely populated Northeast, rather than out to sea.
- Storm Surge Timing: Sandy struck at high tide during a full moon, causing record storm surge and flooding.
Impact and Damage
- Storm Surge and Flooding: Water levels rose 3-4 feet above normal early, flooding coastal areas of New York City and New Jersey, inundating neighborhoods, subways, and critical infrastructure.
- Infrastructure Vulnerability:
- Extensive flooding of subway tunnels (14 underwater tunnels flooded, filled with millions of gallons of water).
- Electrical grid failures due to saltwater intrusion into underground transmission lines and substations.
- Shutdown of New York City’s subway system and transit services before the storm.
- Fires broke out in flooded areas like Breezy Point, with volunteer firefighters trapped by rising water.
- Human Impact:
- Over 70 deaths in the Caribbean before US landfall.
- Thousands displaced, homes destroyed, especially along the Jersey Shore.
- Emergency services overwhelmed with 20,000+ 911 calls per hour in hardest-hit areas.
- Personal stories of rescue, loss, and survival highlight the human toll.
Scientific and Engineering Responses
- Storm Tracking and Forecasting:
- NOAA’s P3 Orion aircraft flew into the storm to gather data on storm intensity and path.
- Ensemble computer models eventually converged on the forecast of Sandy’s unusual path.
- Emergency Preparedness:
- Mandatory evacuations ordered in flood-prone areas.
- Shutdown of transportation systems to prevent stranding.
- Deployment of Army Corps of Engineers to pump floodwaters.
- Post-Storm Recovery Challenges:
- Saltwater corrosion severely damaged electrical and transit infrastructure.
- Restoration of power and transit took days to weeks.
- Stock exchanges reopened within two days thanks to emergency generators.
Climate Change and Future Implications
- Jet Stream and Arctic Warming:
- Arctic temperatures are rising twice as fast as the global average.
- This warming may cause a wavier jet stream, increasing the likelihood of storms stalling or turning westward, as Sandy did.
- Sea Level Rise:
- Sea levels have risen about one foot in the past century in the New York area.
- Warmer oceans expand, and melting ice adds volume, increasing baseline sea levels.
- Higher sea levels exacerbate storm surge impacts, meaning future storms could be even more devastating.
- Hurricane Frequency and Intensity:
- Climate models predict fewer hurricanes overall but with greater intensity due to warmer ocean temperatures.
- Infrastructure Adaptation:
- Coastal cities need to consider hardening infrastructure and building protective barriers (e.g., storm gates) to mitigate future storm damage.
Key Methodologies and Observations
- Use of supercomputer models for early storm path prediction.
- Deployment of hurricane reconnaissance aircraft for real-time data collection.
- Ensemble forecasting to refine storm track and intensity predictions.
- Coordinated emergency management preparations, including evacuation and transit shutdown.
- Post-storm engineering assessments of saltwater damage to infrastructure.
- Social media monitoring as a tool for emergency communication and rescue coordination.
Researchers and Sources Featured
- Dr. Alexander Sandy McDonald – NOAA meteorologist flying into the hurricane.
- Scott McCarton – Veteran storm chaser providing on
Category
Science and Nature