Summary of "7 Insanely Cheap AI Stocks to Buy Now"
Summary of Finance-Specific Content from “7 Insanely Cheap AI Stocks to Buy Now”
Key AI Stocks & Tickers Mentioned
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Micron Technologies (MU)
- Market Cap: $181 billion
- Shares up 54% since July recommendation
- 22% annualized revenue growth through 2026
- AI-driven demand for High Bandwidth Memory (HBM)
- August Q4 guidance raised: +$0.5 billion revenue outlook, +2% gross profitability, EPS increased
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Symbotic (SYM)
- Shares up 80% since July
- AI-driven warehouse logistics and robotics
- Currently expensive; waiting for pullback before adding shares
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Upstart Holdings (UPST)
- Shares +20% since July, then crashed in August
- Auto loan delinquencies increased in Q2
- Issued $600 million convertible debt due 2032
- Revenue expected to hit $1 billion (66% YoY growth), 20% earnings margin
- 45% annualized growth, valuation under 0.2x sales (adjusted)
- AI reduces customer acquisition cost by 50%, onboarding costs by 66%, enables lower loan rates
-
EPAM Systems (EPAM)
- Market Cap: $10 billion
- Revenue +18% YoY, full-year outlook up to 15% growth
- Price-to-sales under 1.8x
- Focus on AI-driven software development and enterprise IT services ($2.1 trillion market)
-
Sprout Social (SPT)
- Operating income nearly doubled Q2 YoY but margins fell QoQ
- AI integration in social media management but limited scale (30,000 users)
- Considered a weaker AI play, possible growth slowdown
-
Dell Technologies (DELL)
- Shares up 15% since July
- Positioned in x86 servers, progress in higher-performance AI servers (PowerEdge line)
- Lags HPE and Super Micro in AI server space
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Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE)
- Shares up 20% since July
- Strong competitor in high-performance AI servers
- Partnerships with Nvidia, liquid cooling tech, Juniper Networks acquisition
- Activist investor Elliott Management involvement
- Stronger revenue growth than Dell, benefits from PC sales rebound
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Super Micro Computer (SMCI)
- Shares flat since July, best AI deal in the list
- 22% market share in high-performance AI servers
- Forecasted $40 billion sales next year
- 34% annualized sales growth
- Stock up 180% from lows (~$17/share) after debunked accounting manipulation accusations
- Rated outperform by Raymond James, near pure-play AI stock
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Other Notable Stocks/Sectors:
- Amazon (AMZN): 3.6x sales, 10% sales growth, cloud computing & AI chip development
- Meta (META): 11.5x sales, adjusted 65x sales with 17% growth
- Alphabet (GOOGL): Large market cap, expensive valuation
- Nvidia (NVDA): 33x sales, 73x adjusted sales, 45% growth
- Marvell Technology (MRVL): 43x adjusted sales, strong in data center accelerators
- The Trade Desk (TTD): AI in adtech, favorable value ahead of Q3 earnings
- IBM: 3.9x sales, AI and quantum computing potential
- Palo Alto Networks (PANW): Cybersecurity, expensive but growing theme
- CrowdStrike Holdings (CRWD): 30x sales, cybersecurity leader
- SoundHound AI (SOUN): Bought at $4, now $16, long-term AI play
- Palantir (PLTR): ~150x sales, expensive despite 40% growth
- Intel (INTC): Expensive on turnaround hopes
Methodology / Framework for Stock Selection
- Compile a comprehensive list of AI-related stocks
- Use Yahoo Finance to obtain market capitalization (market cap)
- Evaluate valuation using Price-to-Sales (P/S) ratio, a preferred metric for growth stocks
- Adjust P/S valuation by factoring in forecasted sales growth (analyst estimates) to get an adjusted price-to-sales ratio
- Compare adjusted valuations to identify undervalued AI stocks
- Focus on companies with strong revenue growth, reasonable valuations, and clear AI-related business drivers
- Follow the AI supply chain from semiconductor chips (Nvidia, AMD, Broadcom, Marvell) to servers (Dell, HPE, SMCI) to infrastructure and applications
- Avoid largest mega caps as they tend to be more expensive and less attractive value-wise
- Monitor operational metrics such as margins, revenue guidance, and growth outlooks for signs of strength or weakness
- Consider recent news, e.g., convertible debt issuance, delinquencies, activist investors, and product launches
- Track portfolio performance and adjust holdings accordingly
Key Numbers & Timelines
- Micron: 22% annualized growth through 2026, Q4 guidance increased by $0.5B revenue and +2% gross profit
- Upstart: $1B revenue expected in 2023 (66% growth), 20% margin, $600M convertible debt due 2032
- EPAM: Revenue +18% YoY, 15% growth outlook for full year
- SMCI: $40B forecasted sales next year, 34% annualized sales growth
- Symbotic: 80% share price gain since July
- AIQ ETF: +14% return over 3 months vs. 27% average for selected AI stocks
- AMD example: 10x P/S, 28% sales growth this year, 21% next year, adjusted valuation 41x P/S
- Amazon: 3.6x sales, 10% growth
- Meta: 11.5x sales, 17% growth
- Nvidia: 33x sales, 45% growth
Explicit Recommendations & Cautions
- Strong buys: Micron, SMCI, and HPE for AI infrastructure exposure
- Symbotic: Promising but currently expensive; wait for pullback
- Upstart: Attractive despite recent share drop and convertible debt issuance due to strong growth and AI-driven cost advantages
- Sprout Social: Weaker AI play with margin compression and limited scale; consider passing for now
- Avoid chasing lowest valuations blindly; consider growth potential and business fundamentals
- Large mega caps like Amazon, Meta, Alphabet, Nvidia are expensive relative to growth but still solid long-term plays
- Cybersecurity stocks (CrowdStrike, Palo Alto Networks) are expensive but part of a strong growth theme
- Palantir and Intel are too expensive given current multiples and growth prospects
- SMCI is a near pure-play AI stock with strong growth and undervaluation, despite past accounting concerns now resolved
- Use adjusted price-to-sales valuation to find the best value AI stocks rather than raw multiples
Disclaimers
No explicit financial advice disclaimer stated, but recommendations are presented as personal opinions and analysis. Emphasis on doing deep analysis and valuation adjustment before investing. Encouragement to join the presenter’s social investing app for portfolio insights and community engagement.
Presenter / Source
- Joseph Hog, host of the “Bow Tie Nation” YouTube channel
- Mentions of Raymond James analyst rating for SMCI
- References to Yahoo Finance data and analyst forecasts for valuation and growth metrics
Summary
Joseph Hog updates his AI stock picks, highlighting seven undervalued AI-related stocks with strong growth potential and attractive adjusted valuations. He focuses on companies benefiting from the AI infrastructure buildout, particularly in memory (Micron), servers (HPE, SMCI, Dell), and AI-driven software and lending platforms (Upstart, EPAM). The methodology uses price-to-sales ratios adjusted for forecasted growth to identify bargains amid a booming AI investment theme. While mega caps like Amazon and Nvidia are expensive, they remain strong long-term plays. Caution is advised on lower-scale or margin-compressed names like Sprout Social. SMCI stands out as a near pure-play AI stock with strong growth and deep value, making it a top recommendation.
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Finance
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