Summary of "Your 2026 Mutual Fund Strategy According to Salary - COMPLETE GUIDE! | Ankur Warikoo Hindi"
Summary of Finance-Specific Content from
“Your 2026 Mutual Fund Strategy According to Salary - COMPLETE GUIDE! | Ankur Warikoo Hindi”
Macroeconomic & Market Context for 2026
- Multiple asset classes (Gold, Silver, Stock Market, Bitcoin) are simultaneously at all-time highs—a rare event occurring only thrice in 100 years.
- Governments worldwide are heavily indebted; interest payments on debt have reached all-time highs, making debt servicing difficult.
- Savings rates are declining as people withdraw money from banks to invest in high-performing assets like gold, stocks, and crypto.
- Governments increasingly rely on printing money to pay interest, leading to inflation as more money chases the same goods.
- The U.S. stock market is highly concentrated: the top 10 companies constitute approximately 70% of market capitalization, far above historical norms (~35-40%).
- Prediction: Possible stock market correction or crash in 2026, with capital flowing back into savings, gold, or Bitcoin.
- China is aggressively accumulating physical gold, possibly anticipating this shift.
Expected 2026 trends:
- Stock market correction
- Increase in gold and Bitcoin prices
- Rise in savings rates
Mutual Fund Investment Strategy for 2026 (Based on Salary)
General Principles
- Do not stop investing due to market uncertainty.
- Continue disciplined monthly SIP (Systematic Investment Plan) investing regardless of market conditions to average out purchase cost.
- Adjust asset allocation mix according to salary and risk tolerance.
- Emphasize safety in 2026 due to expected market volatility.
Emergency Fund
- Build an emergency fund covering 3 to 6 months of expenses before investing.
- Example: For ₹15,000 monthly expenses, save ₹90,000 as an emergency fund.
- Emergency fund can be kept in liquid mutual funds for better returns than fixed deposits.
Salary Brackets and Suggested Asset Allocation
Salary Bracket (₹) Investment Amount (₹) Debt Mutual Funds (%) Gold ETFs (%) Equity Mutual Funds (%) Equity Breakdown (within 60-75%) Up to 25,000 ~5,000 25% 15% 60% 70% Large Cap (Nifty 50), 20% Flexi Cap, 10% Mid Cap, 0% Small Cap Up to 50,000 5,000 to 10,000+ 20% 15% 65% 60% Nifty 50, 20% Flexi Cap, 10% Mid Cap, 10% Small Cap Up to 1,00,000 10,000 to 20,000+ 15% 15% 70% Same ratio as above, no more aggression- Higher salary → higher equity exposure, but still conservative in 2026.
- Large caps (Nifty 50) considered safest equity exposure.
- Small caps avoided or limited for lower salary brackets due to higher risk.
Expected Long-Term Returns (Approximate Annualized)
Asset Class Expected Return (%) Notes Debt Mutual Funds ~7.5% Higher than fixed deposits Gold ETFs ~12% Historically strong performance Nifty 50 (Large Cap) ~12% Stable, lower volatility Flexi Cap Funds ~14% Mix of large, mid, small caps Mid Cap Funds ~15% Higher risk and return Small Cap Funds ~18% Highest risk and return- Returns are long-term (10+ years), not short term.
- 2026 strategy is to reduce risk, so allocations favor safer assets.
Mutual Fund Recommendations & Details
Debt Mutual Funds
- Liquid Funds for emergency fund:
- Example: SBI Liquid Fund
- 1-year return ~6.72%, expense ratio ~0.21%, no exit load after 7 days.
- Short Duration Debt Funds:
- ICICI Prudential Short Term, Kotak Bond Short Term, HDFC Short Term
- 1-year return ~8.8%, 5-year ~7.1%, expense ratio ~0.45%, no exit load
- Invest in government securities, housing finance, NABARD, etc.
- Corporate Bond Funds:
- HDFC Corporate Bond Fund, ICICI Corporate Bond Fund (~₹34,000 crore AUM)
- 1-year return ~8.1%, 5-year ~6.6%, no exit load
- Invest in high-quality corporate bonds (Bajaj Finance, SBI floating rate bonds, government bonds)
- Suitable for 3-5 year investment horizon
Gold Investments
- SBI Gold Fund (mutual fund investing in SBI Gold ETF)
- 5-year returns outperform stock market; expense ratio ~1%, exit load 1% if sold within 15 days
- Gold ETFs can be bought/sold real-time via trading accounts, unlike mutual funds settled at NAV end-of-day
Equity Mutual Funds
Category Fund Examples 5-Year Return (%) Expense Ratio Notes Nifty 50 UTI Nifty 50, ICICI, AGFC ~12% (long term) ~0.17% Low volatility (~6.8%), no exit load Flexi Cap Parag Parikh, HDFC, Kotak 23-30% ~0.7% Higher risk, potentially doubling money every 2.5 years Mid Cap Kotak Midcap, Mirae Asset, Motilal Oswal Midcap 28-34% Varies Volatile, requires patience Small Cap Nippon India Small Cap, HDFC Small Cap, SBI Small Cap, Quant Small Cap 25-35% (5 years) Varies Highest volatility, negative returns possible short term- Investors should expect dips and volatility in mid and small caps.
- Long-term holding essential to realize gains and avoid panic selling.
- Exit loads typically 1% if sold within 1 year; long-term capital gains taxed at 12.5%.
Additional Notes
The video emphasizes disciplined investing and warns against trying to time the market.
- The presenter discloses use of Zerodha Coin platform for mutual fund investments (not sponsored), with affiliate income donated to children’s education charity (~₹45 lakh donated in 2025).
- The video includes a disclaimer to discount market predictions and emphasizes that no one can predict markets accurately.
Presenter / Source
- Ankur Warikoo (Primary presenter and speaker)
Summary
Ankur Warikoo provides a detailed mutual fund investment strategy for 2026 tailored to three salary brackets, emphasizing a conservative asset allocation due to expected market corrections. He recommends building an emergency fund first, then investing monthly via SIPs in a mix of debt funds, gold ETFs, and equity mutual funds (with large caps favored for lower salaries). He forecasts a potential stock market correction in 2026, with gold and Bitcoin prices rising. The video includes specific fund recommendations and expected long-term returns, stressing patience and disciplined investing.
Category
Finance