Summary of “No one is ready for what’s COMING in 2025” Gerald Celente warns | Redacted w Clayton Morris

In this discussion on Redacted w Clayton Morris, renowned trends forecaster Gerald Celente shares his insights and predictions for 2025, emphasizing the interconnectedness of geopolitics, economics, technology, and societal trends. Celente highlights his comprehensive research approach, drawing from diverse global media sources—including Western, Israeli, Iranian, and Arab outlets—to avoid biased narratives and provide nuanced analysis.

Key Forecasts and Analyses for 2025:

1. The "Trump Card" and Tariffs
   • Celente anticipates the return of Donald Trump to the presidency, with a focus on trade tariffs as a key economic tool.
   • Trump may push tariffs to protect American manufacturing and reduce trade deficits, particularly with Europe, Canada, and Mexico.
   • While tariffs might raise inflation, the U.S.’s vast natural and human resources position it to be self-sufficient, unlike Europe, which is currently in recession and less advanced in AI.
   • The Trump administration could influence interest rates, potentially pressuring the Federal Reserve to lower them to stimulate the economy, as seen in 2019.
   • The potential for a ceasefire in Gaza is linked to Trump’s Middle East policies, but political instability and right-wing opposition in Israel complicate the peace process.
2. Economic Concerns: Commercial Real Estate and Banking Risks
   • A looming crisis in U.S. commercial real estate is predicted due to a high office vacancy rate (around 43%) and the expiration of many leases post-COVID.
   • Significant devaluation of office buildings, exemplified by a Midtown Manhattan property dropping from $312 million in 2006 to $8.5 million recently, signals distress.
   • Over $2 trillion in commercial real estate loans will mature by 2025-2026, risking widespread defaults and potential banking failures akin to recent collapses (Signature Bank, Silicon Valley Bank).
   • Bailouts may be inevitable, possibly accelerating the shift toward digital currencies.
3. Artificial Intelligence (AI) Boom and Bust
   • AI will continue to expand rapidly, transforming various sectors but raising concerns about overreliance, especially among younger generations who may forgo developing essential skills.
   • There is skepticism about the sustainability of massive investments in AI and related technologies, with parallels drawn to the dot-com bubble burst in 2000.
   • A significant market correction or bust in AI and tech sectors is likely due to over-speculation and inflated valuations.
   • The energy demands of AI infrastructure, such as data centers, are substantial, adding to economic and environmental considerations.
4. Geopolitical Wild Cards and Risks
   • The possibility of peace in Ukraine and Gaza under Trump’s influence could boost the global economy, but the situation remains volatile.
   • Rising tensions with Iran are a major wild card; increased pressure or conflict could spike oil prices dramatically (potentially to $130/barrel), crashing the global economy.
   • The U.S. and Israel’s ongoing military actions in Syria and Lebanon, along with the rise of Al-Qaeda factions, complicate regional stability.
   • The bureaucratic inefficiencies in Europe, particularly Germany and Italy, are stifling economic growth, contrasting with potential deregulation under Trump.
   • Questions remain about the authenticity of political dynamics between Trump and Netanyahu, with suggestions of staged political theater around ceasefires and peace negotiations.

Additional Points:

• Celente criticizes mainstream Western media as biased and superficial, advocating for independent, multi-source journalism to uncover truth.
• The COVID-19 pandemic’s economic and social impact is described as severe and lasting, with inflated markets propped up by massive, unbacked money printing.
• Celente encourages open-mindedness and fact-based analysis rather than partisan allegiance.

Subscription Note:

The Trends Journal, Celente’s publication, offers in-depth weekly forecasts and analyses across multiple domains for $2.50 a week, significantly cheaper and more comprehensive than major newspapers.

---

Presenters/Contributors:

• Gerald Celente (Trends Forecaster)
• Clayton Morris (Host, Redacted)

Notable Quotes

— 17:26 — « They say in the King James Bible that the meek shall inherit the earth. They misspelled it: the Geeks have inherited the Earth. »

— 18:13 — « AI could make it better. How disgusting. Sitting down and playing guitar takes my mind off the world. It's one of the great meditative practices of the world. AI is going to take over all of this. I really worry about it for my kids. »

— 20:33 — « There is a high probability of a bust in the dotcom sector because of AI overinvestment. It's going too far without enough happening to make it worth the value it is. »

— 27:20 — « Bureaucrats are the lowlife pieces of crap that you could find anywhere. They can't get a job in the real world, suck into the political system, become the most arrogant, and get all the benefits when they quit working after a short time. They're destroying the economy. »

— 31:14 — « The whole world's a stage right now. »

Category

News and Commentary

Video