Summary of "Aberdeen’s Rita Tahilramani and Goldman Sachs’ Hiren Dasani on FII selling"
The discussion focuses on the recent sharp correction in Indian markets, primarily driven by significant selling from foreign investors. Rita Tahilramani from Aberdeen Asset Management and Hiren Dasani from Goldman Sachs provide insights into the current situation and outlook for India.
Key Points:
- Foreign Investor Selling: Since September, there has been an unprecedented outflow of approximately $26 billion from foreign investors. The presenters discuss the reasons behind this trend, attributing it to high valuations, slowing economic growth, and the relative attractiveness of other markets, particularly China.
- Market Sentiment and Valuations: Despite the selling pressure, both guests emphasize the long-term structural growth story of India, highlighting the resilience of the corporate and country balance sheets. They argue that while there are near-term challenges, the fundamentals remain strong.
- Primary vs. Secondary Markets: The conversation touches on the dynamics of capital flows, noting that most new investments are being funneled into primary markets through IPOs, while secondary markets are seeing outflows. Rita expresses a cautious approach towards new IPOs due to high valuations, while Hiren indicates a more active strategy in primary markets.
- Global Economic Factors: The presenters discuss how global factors, such as tariff impacts and economic conditions in other markets like the US and China, influence capital flows into India. They believe that India's economy remains relatively insulated from some global trade tensions.
- Future Outlook: Both Rita and Hiren suggest that while corrections may continue, they view current valuations as reasonable and see potential for medium- to long-term investments in India. They caution that market volatility is expected, but structural growth prospects remain intact.
- Investment Strategy: The discussion concludes with a focus on bottom-up stock picking, particularly in mid and small-cap segments, which they believe present opportunities despite recent market corrections.
Contributors:
- Rita Tahilramani, Aberdeen Asset Management
- Hiren Dasani, Goldman Sachs Asset Management
- Mahal Lakshmi (host)
Category
News and Commentary
