Summary of "종가베팅, 이 영상으로 종결합니다. 종가베팅 3가지 핵심비법 알려드립니다."
종가베팅, 이 영상으로 종결합니다. 종가베팅 3가지 핵심비법 알려드립니다.
Market Context & Macroeconomic Insights
- The current market is facing difficulties due to increased foreign selling.
- Despite challenges, a market rebound is expected, presenting opportunities to place large bets during booms.
- The US Nasdaq index was up 1.2% at the time of discussion, indicating positive momentum in US markets.
- The domestic Korean market tends to follow US market movements with a gap at open or close:
- If the US market is up after close, the Korean market may open high but then decline, favoring closing price bets.
- If the US market is down, the Korean market opens low and may rebound, favoring opening price bets or mixed strategies.
- Observing “smart money” flow is crucial, especially into large-cap stocks and market leaders.
Instruments, Stocks, and Sectors Mentioned
Stocks / Tickers
- SK Hynix (000660.KQ) — Key market leader in the semiconductor sector.
- Hanmi Semiconductor
- EcoPro
- Yuhan Yang
- DB HiTek — Semiconductor stock highlighted for closing price betting.
- Doosan Energy / Doosan Ability — Stocks with explosive volume and market-leading moves.
- Oriental Major — Mid-cap stock with significant transaction volume during a specific period.
- G2G Bio-Hap — Obesity-related biotech stock monitored for theme-based trading.
Sectors
- Semiconductors (dominant sector with inflows of 6.2–6.6 trillion KRW)
- Robotics (~1 trillion KRW inflow)
- Secondary batteries (~560 billion KRW inflow)
- Transmission and distribution (~700 billion KRW inflow)
- Distribution (~400 billion KRW inflow)
Other Instruments
- ETFs and thematic plays related to obesity and other themes.
Investment & Trading Methodologies / Strategies
종가베팅 (Closing Price Betting) Strategy
- Focus on placing bets on the closing price of leading stocks that maintain strength throughout the day.
- Avoid chasing morning rebounds or stocks that rise sharply in the morning only to fall later.
- Buy in installments near support levels, especially around key moving averages (60 and 120 MA on minute charts).
- Sell in installments near resistance or after a breakout fails to sustain.
- Use the 20-day moving average as a key indicator of market health; a breakdown signals worsening conditions.
- Monitor “Zone F” areas — specific price zones where repeated buying is recommended.
- Avoid impulsive morning trading; observe and act near closing times.
Step-by-Step Framework for Trading Day
- Analyze the daily chart for macro trends.
- Analyze the 15-minute chart for intraday entry points.
- Identify market leaders and focus on large-cap stocks due to liquidity and smart money flow.
- Place buy orders in installments at support zones, not all at once.
- Sell incrementally near resistance or after price peaks.
- Adjust positions based on volume and price action near key moving averages.
Risk Management
- Limit exposure to large-cap stocks to 2% per position.
- Emphasize strict stop-loss usage; lack of stop-loss led to significant losses in examples like EcoPro (-400 points), Hanmi Semiconductor (-30%), and Yuhan Yang (-300 points).
- Avoid trading stocks without clear development or rebound signs.
- Accept personal limitations in trading skill; focus on agreed-upon trades and disciplined execution.
Portfolio Construction
- Prioritize large-cap stocks for steady money flow and liquidity.
- Monitor mid and small caps only when there is concentrated price and volume activity.
- Adjust exposure according to market conditions and sector strength.
Key Numbers and Timelines
- SK Hynix trading around 600,000 KRW per share, with strategic buying and selling around this price.
- Daily inflows into semiconductors between 6.2 trillion to 6.6 trillion KRW.
- Other sector inflows: robotics (~1 trillion KRW), secondary batteries (~560 billion KRW).
- Example trading volume: 890 million shares traded on a key day in May for Doosan Energy.
- Loss examples: EcoPro and Hanmi Semiconductor down approximately 400 points and 30%, respectively.
- Trading session times mentioned: starting at 9:40–9:42 AM, with key trades and observations around 3 PM.
- Investment amounts discussed: starting with 1 million KRW, scaling up to 50 million KRW through installment buying.
- Targeted daily profit range: 200,000 to 300,000 KRW on a 10 million KRW position.
Explicit Recommendations and Cautions
- Do not chase morning rallies or impulsive trades; better to buy near closing prices or at support zones.
- Avoid trading stocks without clear price development or rebound confirmation.
- Bet on market leaders and large-cap stocks where “smart money” flows.
- Use installment buying and selling to manage risk and avoid large losses.
- Set stop-loss levels strictly to prevent large drawdowns.
- Avoid trading in morning limit-up/down situations to reduce risk.
- Be patient and disciplined; trading success may require six months to develop personal buying points.
- Recognize personal limitations and stick to agreed-upon trades to maintain consistency.
- Avoid overtrading, especially at older ages; focus on steady, manageable trades.
- Monitor US market movements to anticipate domestic market opening gaps and adjust strategies accordingly.
Disclaimers / Disclosures
The presenter admits personal limitations and encourages viewers to acknowledge their own. Emphasis is placed on sharing practical experience and observations rather than providing perfect answers. Viewers are encouraged to commit to disciplined trading practices for stable returns. The content is educational and based on personal experience, not formal financial advice.
Presenters / Sources
- Main Presenter: Referred to as “Teacher” and “Toddler from The Trading TV.”
- Applicant / Student: Nicknamed “Gakshiktal” and later “Promise Lady.”
- Location: Bupyeong, Incheon, South Korea.
- The video includes live coaching and practical trading demonstrations.
Summary
This video teaches a practical 종가베팅 (closing price betting) strategy focused on trading large-cap, market-leading stocks such as SK Hynix and DB HiTek within the semiconductor sector. It emphasizes:
- Observing US market trends.
- Using technical indicators like the 60 and 120 moving averages and the 20-day MA.
- Trading with discipline via installment buying and selling near key support and resistance levels.
- Managing risk through stop-loss and limiting position sizes.
- Avoiding impulsive morning trades and encouraging patience and steady accumulation.
The presenter shares real trading examples and stresses the importance of following market leaders and “smart money” flow for better trading outcomes. The content is geared toward retail investors seeking to stabilize returns and avoid common pitfalls in volatile markets.
Category
Finance
