Summary of "Russian Equipment Reserves (2024) - Production, Losses & Storage Depletion"
The video discusses the current state of Russian military equipment reserves, focusing on production, losses, and storage depletion as of 2024. It highlights that Russia has confirmed nearly 20,000 equipment losses, largely relying on reactivated or modernized Soviet-era assets. However, this approach is unsustainable in the long term, leading to a concerning depletion of available military resources.
Key Points
- Equipment Losses and Replacement: Russia has experienced high losses in Infantry Fighting Vehicles (IFVs) and artillery, with a significant gap between losses and the rate of new production. The analysis indicates that Russia's current model of replacing equipment, which combines new builds with reactivations of older Soviet models, is under strain.
- Specific Equipment Categories:
- Infantry Fighting Vehicles (IFVs): The analysis of BMPs (various models) shows a drastic reduction in usable vehicles, with a concerning projection that decent quality BMPs may run out by early to mid-2025.
- Armoured Personnel Carriers (APCs): MT-LBs and BTRs are also being depleted, with estimates suggesting that decent quality vehicles may be exhausted within a similar timeframe.
- Artillery Systems: The Russian army is heavily reliant on self-propelled and towed artillery, which has seen extensive withdrawals from storage. The self-propelled artillery losses are disproportionately high, indicating a shift towards towed systems, which may not be as effective in combat.
- Production Capacity: The video outlines the production capabilities of Russian factories, estimating that they can produce a limited number of new or modernized vehicles annually. This is insufficient to cover the ongoing losses, especially as the war continues.
- Future Projections: The sustainability of Russian military operations is questioned, with projections indicating that without significant changes in production or equipment management, Russia could face severe shortages by 2025 or 2026. The analysis suggests that the Russian military may not be able to sustain its current operational tempo in the long term.
- Strategic Implications: The depletion of equipment reserves raises questions about Russia's future military strategy and its ability to maintain a competitive force against NATO or a rearming Ukraine. The reliance on outdated Soviet equipment could hinder Russia's effectiveness in future conflicts.
Overall, the video emphasizes that while Russia has managed to sustain its military efforts thus far, the long-term outlook is grim without substantial replenishment of modern equipment and resources.
Presenters/Contributors
- Covert Cabal
- HighMarsed
- Jompy
Category
News and Commentary
