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The Reasoning Test Psychologists Still Can't Explain
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Key takeaways
Scientific Concepts, Discoveries, and Nature Phenomena in the Subtitles
Reasoning / Psychology: The Wason Selection Task
- The Wason selection task (devised in 1966 by Peter Cathcart Wason) is presented as a flagship experimental problem for studying human reasoning.
- Key empirical claim:
- In the original wording, about 10% of participants get it right.
- In later replications, performance is often closer to 4%.
How the task works
- It is a conditional reasoning problem using four cards:
- each card has a letter on one side and a number on the other (e.g., A, G, 7, 8).
- The rule is given as:
- “If there is an A on one side, there is a seven on the other.”
Typical “correct” actions (as explained in the subtitles)
- To test the rule properly, participants must:
- Check A to see whether a 7 appears on the other side.
- Check 8 to look for a counterexample: if A appears opposite 8, the rule is violated.
Performance comparison with social rules
- The subtitles describe a contrast in performance:
- When the abstract letter/number version is replaced with a social rule (e.g., a bar/pub drinking example), performance improves dramatically—subtitles claim everyone gets it right in that version.
Conditional Logic: Modus Ponens / Modus Tollens (and Invalid Inferences)
- The subtitles formalize the task using conditional logic:
- A conditional statement: “If P, then Q.”
- P = antecedent (“if” part)
- Q = consequent (“then” part)
Valid inference forms
- Modus ponens (valid): affirm P → conclude Q
- Example: “If someone is drinking alcohol, they must be over 21; they are drinking alcohol → therefore they are over 21.”
- Modus tollens (valid): deny Q → conclude not P
- Example: “If someone is drinking alcohol, they must be over 21; they are not over 21 → therefore they are not drinking alcohol.”
Invalid inference forms
- Affirming the consequent is emphasized as invalid:
- Confirming Q → you cannot conclude P.
Why Abstraction Makes People Fail: Descriptive vs. Deontic Rules
- Researchers Leda Cosmides and John Tooby argue (as summarized in the subtitles) that:
- people reason more easily with social contract / obligation contexts than with abstract truth-conditions.
Two categories of Wason variants described
- Descriptive rule versions:
- rules about what is the case (truth-finding).
- Deontic rule versions:
- rules about what one must/should do (duties/obligations/social norms).
Subtitle claim
- This distinction helps explain:
- why abstract letter/number conditionals are difficult
- why social “rule compliance” versions (bar/pub) are easier.
Confirmation Bias and Counterexample-Hunting
- The subtitles argue humans are poor at seeking counterexamples (falsification) and instead prefer evidence that supports their expectations.
Study summarized (attributed to Johnson-Laird and Wason, 1970)
- Participants are shown two boxes (black vs. white shapes) under a hypothesis-testing instruction (example described: “All triangles are white.”).
- Participants tend to:
- sample confirming evidence (e.g., white triangles),
- rather than test for the falsifying case (e.g., a black triangle).
- Only after repeated confirmations do many start searching for counterexamples.
Popper and falsification
- Karl Popper is referenced for the idea that science advances by attempting to find what breaks a theory, not only gathering supporting evidence.
Einstein as an example of bold falsifiability
- Einstein is cited for proposing an eclipse test for general relativity—an observation that could refute the theory.
Earlier Wason-Related Task: Rule Discovery via “Triples” and Counterexamples
- Another Wason game is described (“dad trickiest trick trick for science” segment):
- a hidden numerical rule generates triples that either fit or don’t fit.
- Success depends on proposing counterexamples to infer the rule.
- The explanation emphasizes that people often generate possible fits more readily than non-fits when trying to learn the rule.
Social Psychology of Reasoning: Social “Trust” Function
- The subtitles propose reasoning evolved mainly to support social communication and cooperation, not just to solve abstract puzzles.
- Mercier and Sperber (The Enigma of Reason) are referenced with a key claim:
- people often generate conclusions first, then produce reasons afterward to justify them (described as confabulation/justification).
- A later idea references “wisdom of crowds” style thinking:
- aggregating many perspectives can outperform individuals.
Communication and Norms: Phatic Communion
- Bronisław Malinowski (1930s) is cited for phatic communion:
- language used to signal social connection/acknowledgment rather than to convey literal information.
- Examples mentioned:
- “You too” after “Enjoy your meal”
- “Have a nice flight”
- greetings like “How’s it going?”
- The subtitles also suggest phatic meanings can shift over generations.
Moral Reasoning and Taboos: Haidt’s “Harmless Taboo Violations”
- Jonathan Haidt and The Righteous Mind are referenced.
- Example moral judgment prompt:
- A family eats their accidentally dead dog after hearing dog meat is “delicious,” with conditions engineered to remove normal justifications:
- nobody saw it,
- no one got sick,
- the dog was already dead,
- they felt it was respectful and brought them closer.
- A family eats their accidentally dead dog after hearing dog meat is “delicious,” with conditions engineered to remove normal justifications:
- The subtitle frames this as a test of whether people label it morally wrong based on instinctive taboo reactions rather than explicit reasons.
Health / Biology Mention (Non-Core to Reasoning Task)
- A brief sponsor segment (Cancer Research UK) includes:
- claim: DNA contains ancient viral fragments (“dark genome”)
- the “dark genome” influences biology and diseases like cancer
- No specific researcher names are given in this segment.
Researchers / Sources Featured (As Named in the Subtitles)
- Peter Cathcart Wason
- Leda Cosmides
- John Tooby
- Hannah (not a researcher; appears as a participant/host)
- Mercier and Sperber (reason researchers; full names not provided in subtitles)
- Johnson-Laird (cited with Wason; study dated 1970) and Wason
- Karl Popper
- Albert Einstein
- Bronisław Malinowski
- Jonathan Haidt
- Cancer Research UK (organization; sponsor/source for the DNA “dark genome” segment)
- Hugo Mercier and Dan Sperber (explicitly named near the end; “The Enigma of Reason”)
Methodology / Test Logic (Bullet Outline)
- Wason selection task procedure (described):
- Present four cards; each has a hidden opposite side (letter/number or age/drink).
- Show one side of each card to participants.
- Provide a conditional rule (If P then Q).
- Ask which cards must be turned to check whether the rule is true (to find violations/counterexamples).
- Logic inference mapping (described):
- Identify P = antecedent, Q = consequent.
- Use valid forms:
- Modus ponens: P → Q; P true ⇒ Q true
- Modus tollens: P → Q; Q false ⇒ P false
- Avoid invalid forms like affirming the consequent (Q true ⇒ P true is not licensed).
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