Summary of "The Untold Secrets of My Trading ft Umar Ashraf | Day 03"
Summary of “The Untold Secrets of My Trading ft Umar Ashraf | Day 03”
Key Finance-Specific Content
Markets, Instruments, and Assets Mentioned
- Crude Oil: Long positions placed during live training; some traders held overnight; stop losses emphasized.
- Gold (including micro contracts): Highlighted for live trading examples; momentum driven by Elon Musk’s $1B stock purchase.
- Equities: General mention as part of trading instruments.
- Futures: Frequently referenced as a preferred market by Umar Ashraf.
- Options: Mentioned as related to equities and futures.
- Stocks Mentioned: Tesla (noted for momentum and news impact).
- Brokerages & Platforms:
- TradeStation (margin account usage and margin alerts).
- TradingView (alerts, charting, data packages).
- Tradezella (trading journal software, AI-powered, affiliate program mentioned).
- Prop Firms: Risk and drawdown rules discussed briefly.
Methodologies and Frameworks Shared
Umar Ashraf’s Five Stages of Trader Development
- Novice/Beginner No foundation, no strategy, focus on education and paper trading.
- Developing Some strategy, some data, but inconsistent; many traders get stuck here.
- Intermediate Good data, consistent journaling, optimizing strategies and risk/reward.
- Advanced Dynamic risk sizing, scaling position sizes, fluctuating between intermediate and advanced.
- Pro Implied mastery and consistent profitability (not explicitly detailed).
Trading and Risk Management Principles
- Primary Control: Risk is the only factor traders can control.
- Consistent Risk per Trade: Keep risk consistent (e.g., 2% per trade); avoid large, inconsistent risks that can blow accounts.
- Losses as Fees: Accept losses as part of the game; “losing correctly” means managing losses so they feel like fees.
- Capital Protection: Main goal is to protect capital first, not avoid losses entirely.
- Data Collection: Critical for improvement.
- Good data = consistent setups, consistent risk, one market/instrument focus.
- Bad data = random trades, multiple markets/timeframes, inconsistent risk.
- Journaling and Tracking: Use of Tradezella encouraged for detailed trade logging, analysis, and AI insights.
- Process and Review:
- Weekly review of market context, personal performance, and biases.
- Daily game plans based on pre-market news and instrument focus.
- Writing out trade rationale and counterarguments to avoid confirmation bias.
- Top-Down Analysis: Monthly → Weekly → Daily → 4-hour (primary timeframe for entries) → lower timeframes.
- Trend Line Strategy:
- Use action and safety lines.
- Wait for candle close on lower timeframes for confirmation.
- Double confirmation via support/resistance levels during consolidation.
- Redraw lines only when new clear points (point B) appear; do not move action lines during open trades.
- Avoid Overtrading and Too Many Variables: Focus on fewer instruments and setups to reduce complexity.
Performance Metrics Discussed
- Win/Loss Ratio: Aim for average win/loss ratio >1.2; 1.0 or below is unsustainable.
- Win Percentage: 35% win rate can be workable if average win/loss ratio is strong.
- Max Drawdown: Drawdowns analyzed to identify risk control failures.
- Consistency of Risk: Avoid large outlier losses that skew results.
- Time in Drawdown: Spending excessive time in drawdown indicates poor entries or holding losers too long.
Explicit Recommendations and Cautions
- Demo Trading: Strongly recommended to remain on demo until consistent profitability is proven.
- Risk Management: Never increase risk dynamically until advanced stage; keep risk small and consistent early on.
- Data Quality: Track only good data; eliminate trades that don’t fit your strategy.
- Avoid News Bias: Trading should be price-action based to avoid confirmation bias from news.
- Patience at All-Time Highs: Wait for a second high to form before drawing downward trend lines.
- Use Stop Losses and Safety Lines: Always protect open trades with stop losses aligned with safety lines.
- Avoid Overconfidence and Bias: Regularly challenge your own trade thesis by considering the opposite scenario.
Tools and Resources
- Tradezella: AI-powered trading journal recommended for tracking and analyzing trades.
- TradingView Alerts: Setup alerts for trend line breaks via multiple channels (email, text, watch).
- Brokerage Margin Accounts: TradeStation recommended; margin explained as leverage akin to a credit card.
- Trendline Circle (TLC): Paid community offering:
- Complete trendline curriculum (beginner to pro).
- Daily live trading sessions.
- Twice-monthly Q&A with Tori.
- Daily trade ideas and alerts.
- Live chart markups.
- Accountability and community support.
- 21-Day Accelerator Program: Intensive bootcamp resurrected at $9.97 (limited time), originally valued at $2,000.
Giveaway and Disclaimers
- Giveaways:
- 5,000 Apex funded accounts ($50K each).
- $2,000 worth of Tradezella accounts.
- 3 scholarships to private trading program.
- Disclaimer: Not financial advice; recommended to prove consistency on demo before trading live.
- Encouragement: Trading is a process requiring reps, discipline, and continuous improvement.
- Acknowledgment of Risk: 80-90% of traders lose capital; focus on risk management and process adherence.
Presenters and Sources
- Tori (Host): Trading mentor, course creator, and community leader.
- Umar Ashraf: Verified 8-figure trader, founder of Tradezella, 12+ years trading experience, guest speaker covering trader development stages, data analysis, and risk management.
- Payton: Student featured with live trading success and testimonials.
- Uncle Mike: Mentioned as Tori’s mentor, upcoming special guest for Day 4.
This session focused heavily on trader development, risk management, data-driven optimization, and psychological discipline, with actionable frameworks for beginners through advanced traders. The emphasis on consistent risk, good data collection, journaling, and community support was a key takeaway. The integration of Tradezella as a critical tool for tracking and improving trading performance was also highlighted.
Category
Finance