He Probado 187 Indicadores, Estos Son Los Mejores

Concise finance-focused summary — best trading indicators from the video

Top indicators (purpose, notes, key parameters)

• VWAP / BWAP (Volume-Weighted Average Price)

  • Purpose: session-level execution benchmark; shows average price weighted by volume.
  • Use: institutional reference for execution (e.g., funds wait to buy near VWAP to avoid overpaying).
  • Applicability: intraday / execution strategies.

• ADX (Average Directional Index, Welles Wilder, 1978)

  • Purpose: measures trend strength (direction-agnostic).

  • Thresholds:

    0–20: sideways 20–25: weak trend 25–40: strong trend

    40: very strong trend

  • Use: determine whether to trade trend-following vs range approaches.

• Moving averages (SMA, EMA, HMA, WMA, Jurik)

  • Purpose: smooth price, mark dynamic support/resistance, define trend direction.
  • Differences:
    • SMA: simple average (more lag).
    • EMA: weights recent data (less lag).
    • HMA/WMA: weighted variants with different smoothing behavior.
    • Jurik Moving Average: adaptive, non-linear — less lag and quicker capture of trend changes, but more noise.
  • Use: trend identification, crossovers for entries/exits, dynamic S/R.

• Supertrend

  • Purpose: trend-following indicator to identify trend direction and potential entries/exits.
  • Note: highlighted practitioner Stefano Serafini used Supertrend (with other indicators) to capture large trends.

• ATR (Average True Range)

  • Purpose: measures volatility (average movement magnitude), not direction.
  • Practical rule given: stop-loss = 2 × ATR, take-profit = 4 × ATR (example).
  • Example figure from video: ATR = 0.000115 (illustrative for sizing stops relative to instrument volatility).

• Volume Profile

  • Purpose: shows traded volume by price (horizontal); identifies high-volume nodes = interest/liquidity zones and key support/resistance.
  • Use: area-of-interest detection for entries/exits and institutional liquidity zones.

• Parabolic SAR (Stop and Reverse)

  • Purpose: trend-following and dynamic stop placement; dots follow price (below price = uptrend; above = downtrend).
  • Uses: trend following, trailing stops, change-of-direction signals.

• CVD / Volume Delta (Cumulative Volume Delta)

  • Purpose: measures net aggressive buy vs sell volume (buy volume − sell volume), cumulative over chosen timeframe.
  • Important detail: CVD accumulates delta across the timeframe; Volume Delta is per-period — results differ by timeframe.
  • Applicability: best where actual traded volume is visible (futures, stocks, crypto); less effective in spot FX (no central volume).

• FOZI (Forex Overview True Strength Index)

  • Purpose: oscillator measuring individual currency strength so you can rank currencies (strongest vs weakest).
  • Use case: builds currency-strength driven FX strategies; cited as core to Sergej/Sergei Magal’s competition-winning approaches.

• Williams %R

  • Purpose: momentum oscillator for overbought/oversold readings (similar to RSI/stochastic).

  • Ranges (video):

    0 to −20: overbought −20 to −80: neutral −80 to −100: oversold

  • Historical note: Larry Williams used this in his 1987 World Cup Trading Championship win.

• CCI (Commodity Channel Index)

  • Purpose: measures price deviation from a statistical average; identifies extremes and cyclical behavior.
  • Use: detect when price deviates significantly from “normal” behavior across assets.

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Methodologies / practical frameworks and rules

1. Trend first

   • Use ADX to determine market regime:
     • ADX > 25 → trending (favor trend-following strategies).
     • ADX < 20 → range-bound (favor mean-reversion/range strategies).

2. Entry confirmation

   • Use moving-average crossovers (EMA or Jurik) and Supertrend for trend-following entry signals.
   • Confirm with volume-based tools (Volume Profile, CVD, VWAP) to ensure institutional interest/liquidity.
   • For FX pairs, use FOZI to pick pairs (go long the stronger currency vs the weaker one).

3. Position sizing & risk

   • Use ATR to size stops and profit targets (example rule: stop = 2×ATR, take-profit = 4×ATR).

4. Execution

   • Institutions use VWAP for large block buys (e.g., waiting near VWAP when buying very large quantities).

5. Exit / trailing

   • Use Parabolic SAR as a dynamic trailing stop or exit signal.

6. Timeframe and accumulation

   • Be aware that indicators like CVD behave differently across timeframes (daily vs weekly CVD will show different accumulated pictures).

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Assets / instruments / markets referenced

• Stocks (example: Apple used for large block buying).
• Forex / currencies (CAD, AUD, NZD, USD, CHF, JPY, GBP, EUR shown in FOZI).
• Futures, stocks, cryptocurrencies — volume indicators recommended here because actual volume is available.
• Spot FX — caution: volume-based indicators are less reliable due to lack of centralized volume.
• General: indices, commodities (CCI origin), crypto.

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Key numbers, returns, timelines, performance examples

• Video author: 12 years learning, profitable for 9 years; tested 187 indicators and highlighted 12 best.
• Notable trader returns mentioned:
  • Stefano Serafini: 217% return (World Cup Trading Championship, 2005).
  • Larry Williams: 11,376% return in 1987 (from $10,000 to >$100,000 in a year); second-highest return in that contest was 1,283%.
  • Sergej / Sergei Magal: >350% return (second best trader of 2023 in World Cup Trading Championships); won Forex category in 2024.
• ADX numeric thresholds and ATR sizing example repeated in the video (ATR = 0.000115 used illustratively).

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Explicit recommendations, cautions, and disclosures

• Indicators are useful but not automatic solutions:
  • They will not compensate for lack of analytical skill or experience.
  • They do not make you profitable overnight.
  • Adding more indicators does not necessarily improve results — overloading can cause misuse and conflicting signals.
• Traders who win competitions often customize indicator parameters/coding — default settings may not reproduce those results.
• Volume-based indicators require real volume (effective for futures/stocks/crypto; less so for spot FX).
• While the subtitles did not show “not financial advice,” multiple cautions were made that indicators aren’t a silver bullet and require skill/adjustments.

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Other practical points

• Jurik MA trades earlier (less lag) than EMA but with more noise — trade-offs between speed and false signals.
• Understand the difference between CVD and per-period Volume Delta: same underlying measure but different aggregation and interpretation.
• Use Volume Profile to identify liquidity zones where institutions likely execute; these zones often act as key support/resistance.

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Presenters / sources referenced

• Video host / creator (claims 12 years learning; profitable 9 years; tested many indicators).
• Traders and researchers cited: Ivan Sherman; Serj/Sergei Magalá; Jean Luigi Giventre; Andrea Unger; Larry Williams; Kevin Davy; Stefano Serafini; Michelle Williams; Welles Wilder (ADX origin); Jurik (Jurik MA developer).
• Tool/platform mentioned: TradingView.