Video summary

🔥پیش بینی قیمت (EURUSD) 3 فروردین 1405-

Main summary

Key takeaways

Finance

Video focus

  • Technical and macro analysis of the EUR/USD FX pair on March 23, across daily, 4-hour, and 1-hour timeframes.
  • Conclusion: bearish bias — expect continuation of the recent downward move. Look for sell entries on short-term corrections unless key support breaks.

Assets / instruments / sectors mentioned

  • EUR/USD (FX pair), euro (EUR), US dollar (USD)
  • Oil (crude / global oil markets)
  • Bonds (described as declining)
  • Precious metals (gold, silver — described as declining)
  • Trading tools: MetaTrader 4 & 5, Trading Journal app
  • Technical constructs: daily order block, BPR (daily BPR area), FPG (fair price gap), 1-hour BR (balance region), liquidity areas, currency strength chart
  • Indicators / providers cited: Bloom Trading (seven indicators), Footprint / Bloom Profile, “Fasts Kord”, “Trade with Hervey”

Key dates and macro context

  • Analysis date: March 23.
  • Earlier references:
    • Last week: EUR/USD rose by more than 1% as USD retreated after proposals to release oil reserves.
    • March 10: liquidity accumulation and reaction to the daily BPR with strong bearish candles.
    • Start of March: increased USD strength linked to escalation/conflict between Iran and the US.
  • Short-term catalyst ahead: manufacturing and services PMI releases for EUR and USD (called out as potentially market-moving).

Price levels, targets, support and trade guidance

  • Daily support / order block: ~1.1410.

    Presenter: “very good support” — breach of this level increases the probability of further declines.

  • Short-term targets if bearish continuation:

    • 1-hour FPG: ~1.1462
    • 1-hour BR (balance region): ~1.1438
  • Recent price action:
    • Last week: EUR/USD rose >1% as USD fell.
    • Current day (March 23): opened with a bearish gap and recorded more than three intraday bearish moves.
  • Trade recommendation:
    • Bias remains downward while USD strength persists.
    • Look to enter sell positions on short-term corrections (sell into rallies).
    • Monitor daily 1.1410 support closely as a conditional risk/cut level.

Methodology / step-by-step framework

  • Multi-timeframe analysis: daily → 4-hour → 1-hour.
  • Identify macro drivers (geopolitics, oil moves, risk sentiment) and review the currency strength chart to confirm the dominant currency.
  • Daily: locate major order blocks, BPR areas, FPGs and observe reactions (rejections or fills).
  • 4-hour: find liquidity clusters and FPGs to determine intermediate direction.
  • 1-hour: time entries around short-term corrections into the dominant direction; use 1-hour FPG/BR as immediate targets.
  • Monitor the economic calendar (PMI releases) for events that could change short-term bias.

Macro and risk factors highlighted

  • Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East (Iran–US conflict) have increased USD demand (risk-off flows).
  • Oil price moves: earlier release proposals caused oil and USD to fall (supporting EUR/USD rallies); a recent oil jump plus declines in bonds and metals pushed investors back into USD.
  • Risk management implied: use corrections to enter with the dominant trend and watch the daily support level closely.

Key numbers and metrics

  • Daily order block support: ~1.1410
  • 1-hour FPG target: ~1.1462
  • 1-hour BR target: ~1.1438
  • EUR/USD gained “more than 1” (interpreted as >1%) last week
  • Multiple intraday declines (more than three) noted on the analysis day

Disclosures / disclaimers

  • No explicit “not financial advice” disclaimer was stated in the subtitles.

Presenters / sources mentioned

  • Unnamed presenter (speaker of the video)
  • Trading Journal app for MetaTrader 4 & 5
  • Bloom Trading (seven indicators; Footprint / Bloom Profile referenced)
  • Fasts Kord (mentioned)
  • Trade with Hervey (mentioned)

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