Summary of "🔥پیش بینی قیمت (EURUSD) 3 فروردین 1405-"

Video focus

Technical and macro analysis of the EUR/USD FX pair on March 23, across daily, 4-hour, and 1-hour timeframes.
Conclusion: bearish bias — expect continuation of the recent downward move. Look for sell entries on short-term corrections unless key support breaks.

EUR/USD (FX pair), euro (EUR), US dollar (USD)
Oil (crude / global oil markets)
Bonds (described as declining)
Precious metals (gold, silver — described as declining)
Trading tools: MetaTrader 4 & 5, Trading Journal app
Technical constructs: daily order block, BPR (daily BPR area), FPG (fair price gap), 1-hour BR (balance region), liquidity areas, currency strength chart
Indicators / providers cited: Bloom Trading (seven indicators), Footprint / Bloom Profile, “Fasts Kord”, “Trade with Hervey”

Analysis date: March 23.
Earlier references:
- Last week: EUR/USD rose by more than 1% as USD retreated after proposals to release oil reserves.
- March 10: liquidity accumulation and reaction to the daily BPR with strong bearish candles.
- Start of March: increased USD strength linked to escalation/conflict between Iran and the US.
Short-term catalyst ahead: manufacturing and services PMI releases for EUR and USD (called out as potentially market-moving).

Daily support / order block: ~1.1410.

Presenter: “very good support” — breach of this level increases the probability of further declines.
Short-term targets if bearish continuation:
- 1-hour FPG: ~1.1462
- 1-hour BR (balance region): ~1.1438
Recent price action:
- Last week: EUR/USD rose >1% as USD fell.
- Current day (March 23): opened with a bearish gap and recorded more than three intraday bearish moves.
Trade recommendation:
- Bias remains downward while USD strength persists.
- Look to enter sell positions on short-term corrections (sell into rallies).
- Monitor daily 1.1410 support closely as a conditional risk/cut level.

Multi-timeframe analysis: daily → 4-hour → 1-hour.
Identify macro drivers (geopolitics, oil moves, risk sentiment) and review the currency strength chart to confirm the dominant currency.
Daily: locate major order blocks, BPR areas, FPGs and observe reactions (rejections or fills).
4-hour: find liquidity clusters and FPGs to determine intermediate direction.
1-hour: time entries around short-term corrections into the dominant direction; use 1-hour FPG/BR as immediate targets.
Monitor the economic calendar (PMI releases) for events that could change short-term bias.

Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East (Iran–US conflict) have increased USD demand (risk-off flows).
Oil price moves: earlier release proposals caused oil and USD to fall (supporting EUR/USD rallies); a recent oil jump plus declines in bonds and metals pushed investors back into USD.
Risk management implied: use corrections to enter with the dominant trend and watch the daily support level closely.