Summary of "5 Stocks To Buy HEAVY Before December 2025"
5 Stocks To Buy HEAVY Before December 2025
Key Market and Macroeconomic Context
- The President signed an AI Executive Order (“Genesis Mission”), declaring AI a national strategic priority comparable to the Manhattan Project.
- This order signals massive multi-year government demand for AI infrastructure, including GPUs, servers, data centers, semiconductors, biotech, energy, and advanced manufacturing.
- Government backing involves federal funding, partnerships between national labs, universities, private companies, startups, direct purchases, and credit support for AI companies.
- The Federal Reserve is likely to cut rates in December 2023 with an 85% probability, a move already priced into markets but now more confirmed, potentially triggering a year-end rally.
- Morgan Stanley is bullish on the markets, projecting a 1,000-point S&P 500 rally to 7,800 over the next 12 months, driven by Fed rate cuts and AI government support.
- December is historically the biggest month for equity fund inflows (excluding election years).
- Despite the bullish outlook, high volatility and corrections are expected; risk management and conviction in holdings are critical.
- Emphasis on understanding beta (volatility relative to the market) and having a clear portfolio plan.
AI Bailout / Government Backstop Components
- Fed is expected to lower rates and end quantitative tightening soon.
- Government is contracting AI companies and purchasing compute hardware directly.
- Future quantitative easing and easy credit lines for AI companies are anticipated.
- Potential loan guarantees, subsidies, and stimulus packages to support AI buildout.
- There is a risk of economic instability if AI buildout stalls, including debt contagion from heavily borrowed companies.
- The US currently leads AI buildout but faces competition from China’s massive public sector investments.
Top 5 Stock Picks
1. Nvidita Semiconductor (NVTS)
- Small-cap Nvidia-backed company specializing in GAN and SIC power chips essential for AI infrastructure power efficiency.
- Positioned to benefit from government demand for energy-efficient AI compute hardware (DOE supercomputers, hyperscalers).
- Current support at $7–$8; significant upside expected into 2026.
- Previous March 2026 $7 strike calls alerted; new options ideas forthcoming.
- Plays into the government’s push for efficiency and high-density AI data centers.
2. Advanced Micro Devices (AMD)
- Government and private sector’s preferred alternative to Nvidia; prioritized by Genesis mission for compute diversification.
- MI300 platform deployed in hyperscalers and US supercomputers, competing on price and supply chain diversification.
- Backstop from DOE, defense agencies, and government consortiums avoiding single supplier reliance.
- Stock rallied strongly from ~$110 to $267 in 5 months after calls alerted in May 2023.
- Currently bottoming and poised for a bullish reversal; new call options alerted.
3. Micron Technology (MU)
- Key US-based producer of High Bandwidth Memory (HBM), the bottleneck in AI compute scaling.
- Memory demand grows faster than GPU demand; critical for AI accelerators.
- Positioned to benefit from Genesis mission focus on energy-efficient compute and semiconductor scaling.
- Expected strong ramp from 2025 to 2027; potential top year-over-year returns in 2026.
- Calls alerted for early 2026 upside.
4. Applied Digital (APLD)
- Smaller-cap pure-play data center company specializing in modular, rapid deployment AI-ready data centers with low energy footprint.
- Likely partner for DOE and hyperscalers needing fast, scalable AI infrastructure.
- Recent pullback to $12–$20 range presents a buying opportunity; expected to rebound and fill previous gaps.
- New call options recently alerted.
5. Alphabet (Google) (GOOGL)
- Controls advanced AI compute stack: TPU accelerators, hyperscale data centers, sovereign cloud, cybersecurity, government partnerships.
- Genesis mission explicitly supports federal compute cores, national AI models, and public-private R&D partnerships where Alphabet is deeply involved.
- Strong cash flow from ad revenue supports massive R&D spending.
- Previously called $200 strike calls in May 2023 when considered a contrarian pick; stock now ~$328.
- Warren Buffett disclosed buying Alphabet at all-time highs, signaling confidence.
- Positioned to benefit from accelerating AI government and private sector partnerships.
Methodology / Framework for Stock Selection
- Identify companies directly benefiting from government AI infrastructure buildout and the Genesis mission.
- Focus on companies providing critical AI compute hardware: GPUs, power chips, memory, data centers.
- Look for companies with strong government/private sector partnerships or supply chain advantages.
- Use technical analysis to identify support levels and entry points (e.g., NVTS support at $7–$8).
- Use options strategies (calls) to leverage expected upside with defined risk.
- Emphasize a long-term view (2025–2026) despite near-term volatility.
- Monitor macro factors: Fed rate cuts, government spending, geopolitical competition (US vs China).
Key Numbers & Timelines
- Fed rate cut odds: ~85% for December 2023 meeting.
- Morgan Stanley S&P 500 target: 7,800 (+1,000 points) over next 12 months.
- NVTS support: $7–$8.
- AMD May 2023 calls at $175 strike; stock rose from ~$110 to $267 in 5 months.
- APLD potential downside to $12–$20 with rebound expected.
- Alphabet stock price: ~$328, previously called at $200 strike in May 2023.
- Call options expiry dates mentioned: March 20, 2026 (NVTS), September 2023 (AMD), early 2026 (MU).
Disclaimers
- Always do your own due diligence.
- This is not financial advice.
- AI-related stocks carry high volatility and risk.
- Risk management, conviction, and portfolio review are essential.
Presenters / Sources
- Video presenter: Charlie (name inferred from references).
- Quotes from Morgan Stanley analysts.
- References to David Saxs, Silicon Valley insider and Trump’s AI and Cryptozar.
- Mentions of Warren Buffett’s recent Alphabet purchases.
- Discord community for alerts, options ideas, and model portfolios.
Summary
The video outlines a bullish thesis on AI-related stocks driven by a new US government executive order (Genesis Mission) that elevates AI to a national strategic priority, backed by massive multi-year government spending and partnerships. The Fed’s expected rate cuts and quantitative easing further support this outlook. The top five stocks recommended for heavy buying before December 2025 are NVTS, AMD, MU, APLD, and GOOGL, each playing a critical role in the AI infrastructure ecosystem. The presenter advises caution, risk management, and due diligence, highlighting the volatility but also the strong growth potential in this AI-driven market cycle.
Category
Finance