Big Move आने से पहले कैसे पहचानें? | Monday Range Strategy With Live Case Study By Priyank Sharma

Instruments / Tickers Mentioned

• Bitcoin (BTC)
• Charting / tools referenced:
  • TradingView (charting)
  • “Any other exchange you trade on”

Strategy / Framework Taught: “Monday Range Strategy”

A weekly plan built around the idea that key levels are set early in the week, then used to confirm whether to pursue a breakout or fade a fakeout.

Weekly / Sunday Setup (Directional Bias)

1. Set the directional bias for the week based on liquidity behavior.
2. Look for liquidity events such as:
   • Missing the prior high by a small amount
   • Liquidity sweeps on the way down
     • includes “double sweeping twice” (as mentioned)
   • Market structure shift
3. Interpret liquidity flow to decide whether to expect:
   • Bullish continuation after certain signals (transcript referenced terms like BAMS/SMS)

Monday Planning (Monday Range)

1. Mark:

   • Monday High
   • Monday Low These form the Monday range.

2. Statistical claim (as presented):

   • In 60–70% of cases, the week’s high/low is made on Monday or Tuesday
   • Suggested backtest window: 6–12 months
3. Directional implication:
   • If the week is bullish → more likely the week low forms on Mon/Tue
   • If the week is bearish → more likely the week high forms on Mon/Tue

Trading Triggers: Breakout vs Fakeout

• Wait for price action confirmation the next day (Monday/Tuesday context).
• If price:
  • Breaks and holds beyond the Monday range → treat it as a breakout
    • Example logic: reclaim above support → consider long
  • Pierces/claims the level but fails → treat it as a fakeout
    • Trade the opposite reaction
• Timeframe priority (when indecision):
  • Give priority to the higher timeframe
  • They referenced previous week levels as the “maximum level” in the approach

Entry / Confirmation Method

Use confluence levels, including:

• Previous Day Low/High
• Previous Week Low/High
• Previous Month Low/High

Then determine which level matters most by observing the next candlestick:

• Breakout vs fakeout is effectively resolved by the following close.

Trade Management (Risk Control / Profit Locking)

• Set a stop-loss at a defined level (example uses a round/market-structure reference).
• Trail the stop instead of booking the first target immediately when a strong candle closes above key levels.
• If strong confirmation is not present, book the first target if price returns down.

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Key Numbers, Levels, and Recommendations (BTC Example)

Time References

• Chart posted in their free Telegram: 14th September
• They referenced the same idea earlier on YouTube from September 5
• Planning discussed around 13th September (weekly → daily framing)
• Monday action around 13th–14th September
• Final plan updated on 16th September (Telegram)

Price Targets / Levels Explicitly Mentioned

• Prior highs / reference levels:
  • 82,850 = “high of the previous month” (second target)
  • 90,000 = potential extension level if price goes above an earlier level
• Monday-range / entry / stop / targets in the case:
  • Entry region: around 77,000
    • text also mentions entry “done here at 76 only,” implying ~76,000 (planned entry stated as 77,000)
  • Stop-loss: 75,000
  • First target: 84,700 to 85,200
  • Second target: 82,850
• Post-entry movement cited:
  • Price made a high of 87,300
  • Profit magnitude claimed: more than $10,000
  • Note: “more than $100” appears inconsistent with context and may be a transcription/auto-subtitle error

Explicit Trade Logic (Case Summary)

• Entry occurred after:
  • Monday low reclaim
  • then a breakout above a high
    • described as “two breakouts,” with a candle closing above the key level
• Stop management:
  • They trailed the stop loss after a strong candle
  • Reason: the first candle destroyed the level and closed directly above it, so they didn’t take the first target immediately.

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Disclosures / Cautions / Compliance Notes (Explicit)

• Trading is risky and can result in profits or losses.
• Recommendation:
  • Discuss with a financial advisor
  • Maintain strict risk management
• Anti-scam disclaimer:
  • Avoid fake Telegram channels
  • If someone asks for money: report/block and file a cyber complaint
• Exchange note:
  • Suggested use of FIU/FIU-registered exchanges (spelling varies in transcript) for more reliable deposit/withdrawal
• Regulatory note:
  • Mentions the crypto market is not regulated at the moment (as stated)

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Presenters / Sources

• Priyank Sharma (speaker)
• Platforms referenced:
  • TradingView charts
  • Community channels: Telegram and Instagram (including a “Trade and Grow” crypto channel name mentioned in the transcript)