ЭТО НЕ ПЕРЕГОВОРЫ. Чудовищная ошибка Трампа и Путина

Summary

Michael Naki argues that the Abu Dhabi talks produced little beyond discussion of a possible large prisoner exchange. The first day lasted several hours, while the next meeting was extremely brief. He says the Russian delegation’s leadership by Vladimir Medinsky signaled that Moscow was not treating the talks as serious negotiations, while Ukraine and the United States sent senior officials. The parties also discussed security arrangements and reconstruction but made no substantive progress.

US approach to negotiations

The video’s central argument is that the US team is making concessions without gaining anything in return. Naki says repeated offers encourage Putin to reject proposals because he can expect more generous terms later.

He criticizes Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner for, in his view, lacking diplomatic experience and pursuing ideas they cannot deliver. These include changes to European security or Ukraine’s borders, which require the consent of Europeans and Ukrainians. He also argues that Washington has lost leverage and trust, particularly after negotiating with Moscow without informing Kyiv.

Ukraine’s and Russia’s positions

Naki contrasts Ukraine’s stated position with Russia’s. He says Ukraine has repeatedly offered an immediate ceasefire along the current front line, with difficult political and territorial questions left for later talks. Russia, by contrast, has rejected an unconditional ceasefire.

According to Naki, Moscow has not promised to stop fighting if Ukraine withdraws from Donbas. Instead, it has demanded that Ukraine withdraw from territory Russia claims, including parts of several regions, as a prerequisite for negotiations. He argues that Russian officials’ stated goals extend beyond Donbas to a broader reshaping of European security and limits on NATO.

Proposed boundaries and security guarantees

Naki dismisses a US proposal to redraw administrative boundaries so Russia could claim it had captured all of Donbas without Ukraine giving up its remaining territory there. He calls the idea unrealistic and warns that Russia’s battlefield claims and maps are unreliable, making any border arrangement based on them especially problematic.

He also says proposals for security guarantees are unworkable: Ukraine doubts that the US can be relied upon to enforce them, while Russia has shown no willingness to accept them. In his view, Washington’s insistence that Russia must approve Ukraine’s security arrangements effectively gives Moscow a veto over Ukraine’s defense.

Outlook and conclusion

Naki suggests that meaningful negotiations may be more likely in the spring, depending on battlefield conditions, oil prices, and the effects of winter. He points to Ukrainian strikes on Russian refineries and reported fuel shortages as potential pressures on Russia. He also argues that an incoming Democratic-controlled Congress would make it harder for Trump to offer concessions to Moscow, though it would not guarantee a policy change.

Naki concludes that the Abu Dhabi talks should be judged mainly by whether a prisoner exchange occurs. He warns that a mediator cannot end the war by promising things that belong to others, and that Putin’s refusal to accept a ceasefire means the fighting—and its human cost—will continue.

Presenter: Michael Naki.