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This is the next Millionaire Maker‼️
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Jeremy Lefebvre argues that the market is fairly valued—not cheap, but not necessarily in a bubble. He says investors should look beyond headline valuation measures and focus on earnings growth, company profitability, and long-term business prospects. He also warns that depreciation from AI-related semiconductor spending could weigh on technology-company earnings in coming years.
His three stocks with the most growth potential over the next three years are Celsius, RH, and SoFi.
Market Behavior and Investing Approach
- Using Micron (MU) as an example, Lefebvre says the stock moved at least 2% on roughly 12 of the past 20 trading days, with some moves of 4% or more. He argues that such volatility often reflects market sentiment and trading rather than a comparable stream of new fundamental information.
- He advises investors to focus on long-term business fundamentals instead of reacting to short-term volatility or trying to time the market based on fears that stocks are expensive.
- His general approach is to research companies, analyze financials, make forecasts, listen to earnings reports, and continue investing through corrections, crashes, and bull markets.
Valuation and Company Fundamentals
The Shiller P/E is described as above 40, versus a typical level around 16–17. Lefebvre acknowledges that this is historically high, but notes that it has been elevated since the 2010s rather than suddenly spiking this year.
He contrasts current large companies’ profitability and growth with earlier market leaders, arguing that today’s dominant firms have unusually strong margins and revenue growth.
Selected Company Margins
- Palantir (PLTR): gross margin 84%, net margin close to 50%
- Microsoft (MSFT): gross margin 67%, net margin above 40%
- Nvidia (NVDA): gross margin 74%, net margin 63%
Index Valuations
- S&P 500: trailing P/E 23.5, forward P/E 19.2
- Nasdaq 100: trailing P/E 30.2, forward P/E 21.4
Lefebvre says forward earnings estimates make valuations look less stretched, while cautioning that this depends on earnings actually growing as expected. He characterizes an S&P 500 forward P/E around 20 as reasonable given current company growth and margins.
Historical and Current Market Leaders
He contrasts the net margins of historical market leaders with figures he cites for today’s largest companies:
Historical market leader Net margin Exxon Mobil 6.4% Microsoft 25% Walmart 3.3% Apple 19% JPMorgan 11.7% Current large company Net margin Nvidia 63% Apple 27% Google 55% Microsoft 40% Amazon Just under 11%Revenue growth figures cited for current leaders include Nvidia 106%, Google 24%, Amazon 20%, Microsoft 18%, and Apple 16%. By comparison, Lefebvre says several earlier large companies generally had slower growth, often in the single digits.
AI-Related Depreciation Risk
Lefebvre warns that companies’ large purchases of Nvidia chips will eventually generate substantial depreciation expenses.
He says many firms may depreciate these chips over five to six years, while the chips may lose relevance after roughly four to five years as newer hardware becomes more efficient. Although depreciation is a non-cash expense after the initial spending, it can reduce reported earnings per share and net income. Investors should account for this when evaluating technology companies.
Three Stocks Highlighted for Potential Growth
1. Celsius Holdings (CELH)
Lefebvre believes Celsius can build durable beverage brands, citing its Celsius and Alani brands, as well as Pepsi’s distribution relationship and investment. He expects international expansion and sees the company as better positioned for long-term brand building than short-lived beverage trends such as Bloom.
He compares the opportunity to Monster Beverage (MNST) and Red Bull, arguing that repeat-purchase products can support lasting brands.
2. RH (RH), Formerly Restoration Hardware
His thesis depends partly on a recovery in the housing market over the next few years. He also expects RH’s changing store formats to improve profitability through lower construction costs and the ability to open stores in more locations.
He compares the store-format strategy with Cabela’s, which he says benefited from moving to smaller stores.
3. SoFi Technologies (SOFI)
Lefebvre sees potential for SoFi to become a much larger financial institution over time, possibly reaching a market capitalization in the hundreds of billions of dollars. He says the company can grow by attracting more members and selling them additional products.
He cites a share price around $14 and says he began buying around $6.
Caution: Lefebvre says management should avoid overloading the company with debt and should be able to withstand recessions.
Other Figures and Claims
- Lefebvre says his portfolio, which he began in 2018, had grown to roughly $5.1 million. He presents this as an illustration of the value of long-term investing and company research.
- He cites approximate market capitalizations for today’s largest companies: Nvidia $5 trillion, Apple $5 trillion, Google $4 trillion, Microsoft $4 trillion, and Amazon $2.7 trillion.
- He discusses Anthropic as an example of rapid AI-sector scaling, claiming it could reach about $110 billion in revenue by the end of the year, from essentially zero three years earlier. This is presented as an illustration of potential growth, not as a verified forecast in the subtitles.
Assets and Companies Mentioned
Stocks and companies: Micron (MU), Amazon (AMZN), Palantir (PLTR), Microsoft (MSFT), Nvidia (NVDA), Apple (AAPL), Alphabet/Google (GOOGL), Exxon Mobil (XOM), Walmart (WMT), JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Celsius Holdings (CELH), RH (RH), SoFi Technologies (SOFI), PepsiCo (PEP), Monster Beverage (MNST), Wynn Resorts (WYNN), Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), Procter & Gamble (PG), Coca-Cola (KO), Salesforce (CRM), ServiceNow (NOW), Cabela’s, Ford, and Meta Platforms (META).
Indices and other references: S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, Shiller P/E, forward and trailing P/E ratios, semiconductors, AI, and Anthropic (private company).
Disclosures and Source
- No explicit “not financial advice” disclaimer appears in the subtitles.
- The video includes a promotion for a 1000X Halloween sale and related investing products.
- Presenter/source: Jeremy Lefebvre, Financial Education.
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