BITCOIN: Every Chart Is SCREAMING The Same Thing! (SOON)

Summary

The presenter argues that Bitcoin and related crypto-market charts are unusually aligned, but their signals point to different possible outcomes. The market is at a decision point, so the speaker recommends waiting for a clear move rather than taking a strongly bullish or bearish position.

Key Levels and Market Signals

• Bitcoin (BTC): The main decision levels are $80,000 and $87,000. A break below $80,000 is presented as a bearish trigger, while a move above $87,000 would confirm an upward breakout.
• BTC has traded sideways for about three weeks after moving just above a prior range. The presenter says the move lacks convincing breakout confirmation.
• The daily RSI shows a bearish divergence, which the speaker considers significant because it followed a historically high overbought reading. The daily RSI also broke down from a triangular structure and is attempting to move back inside it.
• The 4-hour RSI is forming a descending channel and testing resistance. A breakout could lead to short-term upward movement and tests of nearby resistance.
• Both RSI charts show resistance, but the presenter interprets the daily signal as bearish and the 4-hour signal as potentially bullish.
• Total cryptocurrency market capitalization has support corresponding to BTC’s $80,000 level, with additional support indicated by its RSI.
• USDT dominance, which the presenter says is inversely correlated with Bitcoin, is at a resistance area—another potentially bearish signal for BTC.

Framework and Interpretation

The presenter recommends using the visible volume profile to identify historical trading ranges, noting that large gaps in volume often align with range highs and lows. They also compare BTC across timeframes with total crypto market capitalization and USDT dominance to identify shared levels and possible market triggers.

The market remains unresolved until price moves decisively beyond the key levels:

• Below $80,000: Increased risk of a bearish breakdown.
• Above $87,000: Confirmation of an upward breakout.

The presenter advises caution and observation, not automatically taking a short position. They lean somewhat bearish because of the presumed four-year cycle, but say a breakout requires concrete confirmation.

Macro Context and Timing

US CPI data was expected 12–14 hours after the video’s release. The speaker says CPI releases have had limited macro-level influence on Bitcoin recently, citing roughly the last six to eight releases, including releases since 2025. However, they say these releases have consistently caused several hours of short-term volatility. Because the market is near key levels, that volatility could trigger a larger move.

In the presenter’s view, a confirmed breakout at this point would conflict with the four-year cycle and disrupt a macro trend they say has been in place since 2012. They also refer to confirmation of a June bottom.

Assets, Instruments, and Other Mentions

• Bitcoin (BTC)
• USDT dominance
• Total cryptocurrency market capitalization
• CPI / US inflation data
• RSI and visible volume profile
• Bitfinex, an exchange promoted by the presenter
• Ledger, mentioned in connection with a claimed security incident

Disclosures and Promotional Claims

The presenter says the analysis is their opinion, advises caution, and clarifies that caution does not mean they are holding or recommending short positions.

They promote a Bitfinex referral link offering a claimed 15% lifetime discount on trading commissions. They also claim the exchange has never been hacked, has low fees and strong liquidity, and has operated since 2012. These are the presenter’s claims and are not independently verified here.

Presenter and Source

Wolves of Crypto; the presenter is not named in the subtitles.