BREAKING: IRAN PREEMPTIVE STRIKE ON U.S BASES, U.S PLAN 3 DAY STRIKES ON IRAN w/ CIA LARRY JOHNSON

Summary

The host and former CIA analyst Larry Johnson discuss reports of Iranian, U.S., Israeli, and Saudi military activity. They emphasize that some claims are unverified or disputed.

Iran and Erbil

The speakers say Iran attacked a site in Erbil, Iraq, described in the discussion as a Kurdish base rather than an active U.S. base. Johnson speculates that U.S. intelligence personnel or CIA-backed trainers could remain in the area following a military withdrawal, but says a U.S. special-operations presence is less likely.

Possible renewed U.S. strikes

Citing reports of a Pentagon plan for three days of attacks, the speakers question what such a campaign could achieve. Johnson argues it would likely cause casualties and damage but have no lasting strategic or tactical effect, while prompting Iranian retaliation.

They also discuss the possibility that Israel could attack Iran before elections, potentially affecting whether elections proceed. This is presented as speculation, not confirmed planning. The host mentions reported U.S. embassy alerts and travel warnings in the region. Johnson says he does not trust President Trump’s statement that the U.S. will refrain from attacking Iran before the U.S. midterm elections.

U.S. military constraints

Johnson questions whether carrier aircraft could reach Iran from the distances discussed. He says the U.S. might have to rely on long-range missiles such as Tomahawks or JASSMs, which he claims are in limited supply. He also raises uncertainty about Iran’s air defenses.

The speakers dispute Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth’s assertion that the U.S. controls the Strait of Hormuz, pointing to reported attacks on shipping.

Yemen and Saudi Arabia

The host and Johnson say Ansarullah (the Houthis) have continued attacks despite Saudi airstrikes, including reported strikes on airports, military sites, and energy infrastructure. Johnson argues that these attacks show Saudi bombing has not stopped the group’s operations.

They cite reports of damage near Abqaiq and discuss claims that Ansarullah forces are advancing around Taiz, with Marib potentially next.

Reports that Pakistan is conducting strikes on Saudi Arabia’s behalf are disputed. Pakistani officials deny involvement, and Johnson says U.S. media reports could be an information operation.

Regional economic effects

Johnson argues that damage to Gulf energy infrastructure could take years to repair and says attacks on oil tankers could further constrain oil transport. He also warns that fertilizer shortages may contribute to a global food crisis next year, with developing regions particularly vulnerable. These are his assessments, not independently established findings in the discussion.

Other reports

Johnson says eight suicide attempts occurred during the USS Abraham Lincoln’s deployment. He also describes reported damage to the USS Eisenhower, including a turbine failure and an aircraft accident involving a snapped arresting cable. He says these incidents could delay deployments and keep other ships at sea longer.

The conversation also previews a Johnson article questioning the official account of a Flydubai flight and notes a claim that Israel receives passenger and crew lists in advance for screening.

Presenters and contributors

• The host, whose identity is not clear in the subtitles
• Larry Johnson