Video Summary - Change In State Of Delivery [CISD] - Orderblock Formation

Main ideas / concepts taught

Change in State of Delivery (CISD) CISD happens when price shifts direction from:
- Bullish → Bearish, or
- Bearish → Bullish

Practically, CISD is identified when price returns to/does a close relative to the candles that previously formed a new move in one direction, and then closes on the opposite side of those candles’ key reference price.

How CISD is used to anticipate the next move After CISD confirms (based on the close), the speaker expects price to move in the opposite direction:
- If CISD switches to bearish, anticipate downward trade (toward lower liquidity / targets).
- If CISD switches to bullish, anticipate upward trade (toward higher liquidity / targets).
Order blocks (OB) and fair value gaps (FVG) OBs and FVGs are used as reaction zones and/or entry locations once CISD and projection targets are established. The speaker repeatedly waits for price to validate an OB/FVG after CISD.
Standard deviation (SD) projections The speaker uses SD bands (notably -2 to -2.5 SD, sometimes also -4 SD) to define where price may travel after manipulation and CISD. Targets are chosen by projecting from the manipulation leg (the aggressive move out and back into a range).
Multi-timeframe workflow The method can be applied top-down:
- Higher timeframe establishes PD array / draw on liquidity (example: daily FVG).
- Mid timeframe confirms CISD.
- Lower timeframe triggers the actual entry timing using CISD and OB/FVG.
Combining CISD with “AMD / Box setup” The video also explains integrating CISD with a Box/AMD framework:
- First identify the range/accumulation structure.
- Wait for manipulation and then look for OB formation / CISD confirmation during the return into the box area.
- Enter on OB/CISD confirmation and target the projection from the manipulation leg.

Methodology / “entry model” (step-by-step)

A) Core CISD-based projection + entry model (general case)

Identify manipulation
- Look for price that sweeps old highs (buy-side liquidity) or sweeps old lows (sell-side liquidity).
- This is the “aggressive move out” of a range or toward/through liquidity.
Confirm Change in State of Delivery (CISD)
- Determine a bullish or bearish state from prior displacement.
- CISD confirmation requires:
  - Price to close beyond the key candle reference after the displacement.
- The key candle reference is:
  - If there is a series of candles in the move, use the opening price of the first candle in that series as the CISD reference.
  - For the opposite side move, CISD is confirmed when price:
    - closes below (bearish CISD) or
    - closes above (bullish CISD) of that reference.
- Examples described:
  - A new-high sequence is formed, then price displaces down and fails/does not hold—CISD occurs when price closes below the relevant up-close candle(s).
  - Alternatively, multiple down-close candles into a level use the opening price of the first down-close candle as the CISD trigger.
Project targets using the manipulation leg + standard deviations
- After manipulation + CISD, project using the manipulation leg.
- Target zones emphasized:
  - -2 to -2.5 SD (frequently)
  - Sometimes further extension like -4 SD
Use Order Blocks / Fair Value Gaps as the entry reaction zone
- After CISD and with projected targets defined:
  - Enter on/near an order block and/or fair value gap that price returns to.
- Stop-loss placement (as described in examples):
  - Often the stop is placed on/near the high of the manipulation leg (for bearish setups).
  - In bullish analogs, stops align similarly relative to the manipulation low/high depending on direction.
Allow for missed first entries
- If price produces additional up-close/down-close candles and confirms further structure:
  - Wait for another CISD-valid close and a new OB/FVG.
  - The speaker notes that additional entries can occur if the move continues.
Entry location constraint (“premium” / dealing range)
- The speaker emphasizes taking entries within a specific area of the range:
  - For example, being selective about entries in premium (upper portion) when expecting bearish reversal, and analogous logic in discount for bullish scenarios.

B) Multi-timeframe CISD workflow (top-down)

Higher timeframe bias (example: daily)
- Identify a PD array such as a daily fair value gap (FVG).
- Expect price to move into it and then reverse per the model.
Mid timeframe CISD confirmation (example: hourly)
- On the hourly, wait for CISD after engaging the higher-timeframe PD array:
  - Look for displacement and then a close below/above a series of candles using the first candle’s opening price reference.
Lower timeframe execution (example: 2-minute)
- After the bias and CISD confirmation, wait for:
  - Another CISD close on the lower timeframe.
- Use this CISD close to time the short/long entry.
- Targets:
  - Use equal lows/highs (liquidity pools) on the relevant timeframe(s).
  - Also incorporate SD projections from the manipulation leg.

C) Combining AMD / “Box setup” with CISD + OB formation

Wait for manipulation before labeling the box
- Identify the range/accumulation created after the aggressive move.
Mark the Box components
- Highest/lowest bodies in the accumulation define the box boundaries.
- Define the deviation / manipulation leg.
Determine baseline Box entry
- In a standard box approach: entry would occur on a retest of prior highs/lows.
- Stop typically tied to the opposite side of the manipulation/range boundary.
Add confirmation: wait for OB formation or CISD during the return
- When price returns into the box area:
  - Look for a sweep of a high (or low).
  - Identify the series of candles that created that high.
  - CISD/OB validation occurs when price closes relative to the opening price of the relevant candle(s), which validates an order block.
- Enter after OB confirmation rather than immediately on retest.
Target the original projection
- Once the OB/CISD confirmation appears, target the move based on the projection of the manipulation leg (SD-based targets such as 1st standard deviation alignment were mentioned).

Speakers / sources featured

Primary speaker: The unidentified creator/instructor (“everyone” / “I posted on my community tab” / “let me know in the comments…”); no other named individuals are mentioned.
Source referenced: The instructor’s PDF and a “previous projection video” (titles not provided).
Platform/community source: The instructor’s YouTube Community post (referenced as “posted on my community tab”).

Change In State Of Delivery [CISD] - Orderblock Formation - ICT Concepts

Key takeaways