LIVE CHART REQUESTS 📈 Crypto & Stock Market Update (June 30, 2026)

Market / Strategy Framing

• The speaker identifies as a macro “swing trader” (not a day trader), typically holding positions for ~1 to 6 months.
• Main chart signals:
  • “Green dots” = buy / accumulate
  • “Red dots” = sell
• Signals are emphasized on weekly/monthly charts, with special weight on confirmed monthly candles at month-end (video dated June 30, 2026).
• Mindset:
  • “Buy when nobody is excited” / “extreme fear.”
  • Avoid reacting to headlines; wait for the chart signals.

“Hardest part” is discipline and patience through drawdowns until the wave returns and the red dot prints.

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Explicit Framework / Methodology

Buy Criteria

• Wait for a green dot on weekly/monthly charts to initiate or scale in.
• Often described as buying near the 4-year moving average (treated as “fair value”) or after overextension mean reversion.

Sell Criteria

• Sell on a red dot.
• Targeting a “red zone” defined by indicators (example mentioned: Fibonacci retracement).

Risk Management / Position Sizing

• Rule: never exceed ~2.5% of the total portfolio on one trade (later described as 2% in an example).
• If a position drops 20%+, averaging down may be considered only after another buy signal.
• Stop losses are set at specific chart levels (varies by ticker; examples include stopping when key levels break).

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Key Macro / Cross-Asset Points

Bitcoin Context

• BTC level watched around $60,000; it broke below that threshold.
• View: BTC is in a downtrend, but near a zone where bounces are expected after the next signal.

Stablecoin / Regulation Catalyst

• Expectation of the “Clarity Act” in July.
• Multiple issuers reportedly launching stablecoins.
• Framing: many support USDC, suggesting this is not catastrophic for USDC liquidity long term.

Sentiment

• References the Fear & Greed Index and “Extreme Fear” / despair as historically associated with better entry opportunities.

Ethereum

• Claim: the ETH version of the strategy works by buying during drawdowns when signals appear, then selling on subsequent red-dot rallies.
• ETH currently referenced as ~37% below the 4-year moving average (compared to ~39% during a prior period).

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Disclosures / Cautions

• No explicit “not financial advice” line appears in the provided subtitles.
• Repeated emphasis includes:
  • follow the strategy,
  • wait for signals,
  • use stop losses,
  • avoid trading news/headlines.

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Tickers / Instruments Mentioned (Grouped)

Crypto (explicitly appearing)

• MSTR (treated as a Bitcoin proxy / “play on Bitcoin” sensitivity)
• BTC (Bitcoin) (noted around $60K; includes “could bounce to ~$65 tomorrow” comment)
• USDC and USDC.D (chart reference)
• Circle / Circle Stock (example: bought around ~$69, down to ~$62)
• ICP (around ~$2)
• AI Pay AI (token-like; level mention around 4.004)
• XDC (consolidating; awaiting weekly dot)
• PYTH (“Pythuro/Pyth”; around ~4 cents; includes “029 is the bottom”)
• SOL (Solana) (“Salana”)
  • green dot around ~$73
  • mentions a green dot from $80–82 in February
  • described as ~35% below 4-year average
• AVAX (Avalanche) (mentioned around $6–$8, touching floor after reaching $8)
• SUI (“Sueie/Suie”)
  • cited as 2-year low
  • bought $0.85–$0.90
  • waiting for a weekly signal
• LINK (Chainlink)
  • around ~$7
  • described as ~45% below a 40-year average
  • prior moves referenced: $12 → $8
• UNI (Uniswap) (described as “sitting at a six-year low”)
• DOGE (Dogecoin) (three-year low; accumulating when “nobody cares”)
• Additional ticker-like references (some may be garbled):
  • CEG, HBAR, ICP, XLM, DOT, LDO, RAY, OMG/ON? (subtitle errors possible)

Explicit low/extreme levels (examples)

• ICP: “$2 is a big level”
  • stop suggestion: ~$1.90
• HBAR: stopped out near $0.08
• XLM: levels around $0.16–$0.17
• DOT: described as collapsing to very low levels (example “from $60 to 80 cents” appears likely to be subtitle mismatch)

Equities / ETFs / Leveraged Funds

• ServiceNow (NOW)
• Rivian (RIVN) (mentioned as “interesting”)
• ABBV (AbbVie)
• ZTS (clearly referenced)
• Boston Scientific (BSX)
• Oracle (ORCL)
• HIMS (Hims & Hers Health)
• Lucid (LCID)
• O (ticker appears as “O”, discussed bearish; context ambiguous)
• Energy exposure via CEG (exact symbol context uncertain in subtitles)
• Intel (INTC)
• MU (Micron)
• AMD
• SMCI (Super Micro Computer)
• NVDA (NVIDIA)
• PLTR (Palantir)
• MSFT (Microsoft)
• Visa (V)
• S&P bull ETF: SPXL (3x SPY Bull)
• Inverse semiconductor ETF: SOXS (subtitle confusion noted)
• Intuit (INTU)
• CMG (Chipotle)
• NKE (Nike)
• Wen (ticker likely WEN)
• HTGC (Hercules Capital) — explicitly referenced with 12% dividend
• SMR (nuclear energy reference; exact company unclear)
• ACN (Accenture) explicitly referenced
• ISRG (Intuitive Surgical)
• SIRI (SiriusXM) explicitly referenced
• WKSP (Worksp? described as penny stock / “rug”; context unclear)
• NFLX (Netflix)
• Berkshire Hathaway referenced in unclear context (possibly SIRI or WEN)

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Notable Companies & Chart / Risk Calls (With Key Numbers)

MSTR

• Down from a prior top near ~$400–$460 to ~$84.
• Treated as a Bitcoin proxy:
  • buy if BTC bounces
  • and after the next weekly/monthly green dot.

Circle / USDC-Related Stock

• Bought around ~$69, trading around ~$62.
• Down roughly 12–15%.
• Plan: add on a weekly green dot.
• Example: last weekly signal from around $60 moved to ~$140 (~120%).

ZTS

• Framed as a “rug pull” style down move.
• Recommendation: wait for a daily cross up and/or a monthly macro signal.

ServiceNow (NOW)

• Monthly green dot just printed.
• Prior similar signal (2023): near $79, bounce around $80.
• Comment: “now pumping.”

AVAV / “AVAV-like” (ambiguity noted)

• Discussion includes relation to the 4-year moving average.
• Example history:
  • bought near $114 (April 2025)
  • sold near $400
  • pulled back to the mean
• Example stop: $135
• Notes include “beat by 15%” and rising revenue (exact revenue figures not provided).

AVAX (crypto portion; separate from AVAV equity)

• Example levels:
  • $8 in 2023/last year
  • up to $67
  • now touching a floor area

SUI

• Cited as a 2-year low
• Bought $0.85–$0.90
• Down about “20 cents,” but not panic selling
• Plan: wait for weekly signal

LINK (Chainlink)

• Around ~$7, described as far below long-term average:
  • “45% below” a 40-year average
• Accumulation examples:
  • added at $12 and $8 (down 20–30%)
• Analogy: in a deeper wave (Oct 2022), $6 → $30 (~500% move) used to illustrate patience.

ICP

• Around ~$2; “testing it again.”
• Stop suggestion: ~$1.90
• Expect green dots within 1–3 weeks.

Oracle (ORCL)

• “Back into the EMA,” sitting near ~$146.
• Mentions a prior signal near ~$140.
• Also references MACD crossover.
• Instruction: be patient and wait on weekly.

Accenture (ACN)

• “Beat earnings and sold off 20%.”
• Average down only after next weekly green dot.
• Example buy level: around $170.
• Expects green dot in 1–3 weeks.

HIMS

• Sold a red dot “this week” to raise cash.
• Stop loss example: $29
• Red zone targets: $53–$65

Intuitive Surgical (ISRG)

• Weekly green dot.
• Planned hold: 1–6 month swing while waiting for the sell signal / red dot.

PLTR

• Daily “golden dot” referenced:
  • buy example around $115 (options)
  • likely buy around $90 closer to the 40-year moving average
• Caveat: described as overvalued relative to earnings.

SPXL / SOXS (leveraged ETF portion)

• SPXL
  • avoid buying “in the red zone”
  • buy time suggested around $180
• SOXS
  • speaker remains short on chips; frames SOXS as inverse/leveraged
  • mentions a stock split on July 15
  • expectation: continued reversals while chips are “overdone”

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Ethereum / Bitcoin Levels (Macro Snapshot)

• Bitcoin
  • Watching $60,000
  • BTC broke below $60K
  • Looking for next signal near $60K and rebound toward $65K
• Ethereum
  • ~37% below the 4-year moving average
  • used to argue support and bounce probability

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Disclosures / Affiliate Notes

• Mentions a TradingView affiliate link.
• Course access via Discord.

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Presenters / Sources

• Presenter: “Overkill Trading” host (name not provided in captions).
• Other referenced figures/sources:
  • Michael Saylor
  • Warren Buffett
  • CoinMarketCap Fear & Greed Index (referenced via coinmarketcap.com/chart/fear-and-grade index)