البورصة المصرية - تحليل أهم الأسهم و مؤشر EGX30 - برنامج صباح الخير يا بورصة : 16-08-2026

Finance-focused technical outlook (EGX / Stocks)

Market / Index Performance

EGX30

• Weekly: closed positively; trading volume ~14 billion.
• Weekly trend: moving in an upward price channel.
• Key weekly level: closed above 55,000; critical 55,556,000 (as stated).
  • If broken: expectation to rise toward 58,000, and potentially 600,000 (levels mentioned in the same format as subtitles).

EGX30 (Daily)

• Still described as sideways, but stabilizing above 55,000 / 55,100.
• 55,100 is the major obstacle (tested multiple times).
• Last session: broke above and closed above, around 551 (formatting appears inconsistent).
• Indicator read: RSI / MSD / OP giving positive signals.
• Upside levels: 55,500 → 55,700 → 56,000.
• Risk / caution: maintain stability above 55,000 and 54,800 for the uptrend to continue.

EGX70

• Two sessions of pullback, but the narrator says no major concern yet.
• Support zone: stability above 21,500 and 21,000.
• Bull path: possible retest of 21,700 / 21,500 → 22,000.
• Bear path: if 21,500 breaks, potential drop to 21,000, with further levels mentioned as 20,700 and 2,500 (likely distorted by subtitle formatting).

Sharia Index

• Positive weekly close, closed ~6,562 (above 6,500).
• Targets: 6,700 → 7,000.

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Strategy / Framework Used (Technical, Levels-Based)

The presenter uses technical analysis including:

• Support / resistance levels (levels must hold or be broken).
• “Breakout” vs “retest” scenarios:
  • If price breaks resistance → next upside targets.
  • If price breaks support → downside retest logic.
• Trend/channel framing: upward channel / sideways characterization.
• Pattern language is referenced (e.g., “inverted hidden shoulder pattern” for at least one stock).

Disclosure / method: the presenter explicitly states this is technical analysis, not fundamental analysis (and that fundamentals/fair value belong to fundamental analysts).

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Stock Picks / Key Calls (Egyptian Names Mentioned)

Note: Subtitle number formatting appears inconsistently (decimals/commas). Levels below are kept exactly as stated.

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Banks / Financials Highlighted

CIB (Commercial International Bank)

• Holding above 139 / 138.
• Condition: as long as it stays above 138.
• Upside on break: >140 → 142/143, then break prior peak 145.

Abu Dhabi Bank

• Resistance 54 was passed.
• If above 55: expected 56 → 58, and possibly 60.

Suez Canal Bank

• Said to behave similarly to Abu Dhabi Islamic Bank.
• After reaching 43, consolidated; key level 45.
• Break >45 → 50.
• Timing/caution: described as best after further strength.
  • “Strong recommendation” appears linked to breaking 25 (subtitles mix levels; separate target logic is implied).
• Narrator view: currently the best option among the compared banks.

Al Baraka Bank

• Pattern call: inverted hidden shoulder.
• Closed above 23 / 23.5.
• Targets: 24, then break 25.
• Also discussed versus Suez Canal:
  • Both may have opportunities, but Suez Canal’s setup is emphasized.

Housing & Development (Al Iskan w al Tawir / Housing and Development)

• Positive: broke resistance and stabilized above it for two sessions.
• Targets: 90 → 95 → 100 (if 90 breaks through).

iFinance

• Concern addressed: stock is stable/positive.
• Key resistance: 24; closed around 24.21 (and referenced 24 as a major point).
• If break >24 → 25 → 26.

Telecom Egypt (catalyst from results)

• Positive reported results; strong upward move with high volumes.
• “Surpassed previous peak.”
• Key level: 114.
• If break >114 → 120 / 115 / 125 (multiple targets mentioned).
• Expectation: finance sector movement in upcoming sessions due to this strength.

Fawry

• Mentioned as a stock some people worry about.
• Narrator says: nothing to worry about; trading above support while awaiting resistance break.
• Resistance levels: 19.40 and 19.70.
• If break → 20.50 → 21.

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Fertilizers / Commodities-Linked Industrials

Abu Qir Fertilizers (Abu Ail Fertilizers)

• Watch 75; broke and closed above with high trading volumes and positive indicators.
• Targets: 80 → 82 → 85.
• Correction described as normal; retesting area around 1080.
• Closed 1089.
• If break >1080 → 11.5 → 12.
  • Notes 14.5 as a problem level; then 15 → 15.5 if 15 breaks.

Arab Metal Industries Company (vals/vals mentioned)

• Closed above 14; 14.70 is key resistance.
• If breakout → 15.5 → 16.

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Real Estate / Construction / Industrials

Emaar Misr

• Described as accumulating (“core stock in every video”).
• Must hold: stability above 11.70.
• Resistance: 12.
• If break → 12.3 / 12.13-style targets (subtitles suggest “12 and 13”).

(Development stock)

• Mentioned: 43; break 43 → 45 → 47.

Palm Hills

• Real estate sector described as accumulating; “many stocks lagging.”
• Resistance: 15.5.
• If break after dropping below 15.5 → 16 → 17.

Mobco

• Performed positively; broke 38.90 resistance.
• Close above 38.90.
• Targets: 40 → 42.5.

EG Trans (EG Trans)

• Moving sideways.
• Break: 11 → 11.0 / 1170 (formatting issue).

Tenth of Ramadan

• Positive.
• Key: maintain stability above 6.75.
• If hold → 7.
• If break 7.5 → 7.7 (also shows “77”).
• General caution: avoid stocks that rose significantly (“best to stay away…”).

Construction-related stock (name unclear in subtitles)

• Broke resistance 730; indicators positive.
• Targets: 780, then with breakout 800.

Arab Developers

• Sideways.
• Resistance: 25.
• If not break: range 23–25 piasters.

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Food / Container Handling / Logistics / Medical / Hospitality (Misc. Picks)

Eastern National for Food Security

• Closed above 10.70; close 11.
• Resistance: 11.20.
• If break → 11.5.

Alexandria Container Handling

• Closed above 31.5 / 31.55 (format issue); close 31.90.
• Break → 32 → 34.

Amok

• Surpassed 11.89; high-volume execution.
• Closed above 10; referenced 10.30.
• Ongoing mentions: levels 10.5 and “1” (likely 10.51 or similar).

Gourmet Egypt

• Sideways.
• Retested 14.70/1470 and bounced to close 14.94/1494.
• Try 15.30; if break → 15.70 → 16.

Det Speed Medical

• Accumulating around 47 piasters.
• Resistance: 49 piasters.
• If break → targets 50 → 52.

Cleopatra Hospital

• Retested 17.1695, still holding above.
• Stabilize above 17 → bounce back to 17.1.
• Risk: don’t break 16.05; breaking it negative and may retest 16.

Nozha Hospital

• Dropped significantly; broke 21.00 (negative).
• Possible pullback to 20.70 → 20.00.

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Corporate Action / Valuation Discussion

• A question on “fair value” was addressed:
  • Presenter reiterates technical analysis only.
  • “Fair value” is not the focus of technical analysts; fundamental analysts handle fair value.

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Explicit Cautions / Recommendations

• For trend continuation, maintain index supports:
  • EGX30: above 55,000 and 54,800
  • EGX70: above 21,500 and 21,000
• Avoid stocks that have risen significantly (“best to stay away…”).
• Some recommendations are conditional on breaking specific resistance levels (e.g., Suez Canal “strong recommendation” appears linked to breaking 25 as described).

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Disclosures / Disclaimers

• No explicit “financial advice” disclaimer is present in the provided subtitles.
• Methodological disclaimer is clear: technical analysis, not fundamental analysis (fair value concept attributed to fundamental analysts).

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Presenter / Source

• Presenter: not named in the provided subtitles (audio appears to be a single host).
• Program / show: “صباح الخير يا بورصة” (Morning Goodness, O Stock Exchange)
• Segment reference: “16-08-2026”