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PORTFOLIO UPDATE 📈 OVERKILL CRYPTO & STOCK PORTFOLIO 🚨 May 25, 2026

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Key takeaways

Finance

Finance-focused summary (portfolio update; Overkill Trading)

The presenter frames his activity as swing trading / investing, emphasizing discipline, logic, data, and patience. He repeatedly states his indicator-based approach is for education only and is not intended to tell viewers what to buy or sell.

Core technical framework (used across crypto + stocks)

  • EMA “ribbon” / trend filter (daily charts)

    • If price is below EMA ribbons → “bear market” regime.
    • If price breaks above → “bulls stepping in.”
  • “Waves” + dots (entry/exit timing)

    • Green dots = preferred “buy” zones (down/low sentiment).
    • Red zone = preferred “sell/trim” zones (upper targets).
    • Red dots = “sell” signals when they appear.
  • Primary objective

    • Buy when nobody’s excited, hold until it reaches the red zone (or a red dot).

Risk / position management themes

  • Avoids chasing assets that are already “up at the moon” after large run-ups (example mentioned: MU).
  • Mentions using stop losses on specific names when giving chart guidance (examples discussed: Uber, HIMS, JD, QBTS/other tickers, and an INTU stop-loss level cited as a possible reference).
  • Mentions rotating profits into assets that are less extended / off the red zone (example: rotating from NEAR into ETH).
  • Macro/context is mostly narrative—e.g., crypto “boredom” potentially preceding a “violent bull run”—rather than strict data-driven analysis.

Tickers / assets mentioned

Crypto / crypto-related

  • INJ (Injective)
  • EIGEN (“EI Eigen”)
  • RENDER
  • OQ
  • IQ (spelled “IQ”)
  • ARB
  • ENA
  • OSMO (Osmosis)
  • AXL (Axel)
  • SEI (“Sooie”)
  • SUI (“Sooie”)
  • CELUS (“Cedus”) / CEDUS
  • CHAINLINK (LINK)
  • XRP
  • AKT
  • JUP
  • RAY (called “RAY”)
  • HPQ (mentions selling HPQ)
  • XCN
  • DJT (Trump DJT)
  • TRUMP / “Trumpcoin”
  • NEAR
  • QBTS (quantum computing)
  • RGTI
  • PEPE (meme coin)
  • NQ referenced via “quantum play” context
  • Morpho (token narrative; partnership with Coinbase; USDC lending/yield narrative)
  • Osmosis (also referenced separately)
  • EOS (also referenced as EOSUSD)
  • OQ / Osmosis (overlapping mentions)
  • Uber (stock; appears in the equities section but also referenced in chart context)
  • Robinhood (stock)
  • Intel (stock)

Stocks / ETFs / equities

  • INTEL (short)
  • SMCI
  • GOOD RX (GDRX)
  • ServiceNow (NOW)
  • Oracle (ORCL)
  • Uber (UBER)
  • PayPal (PYPL)
  • Hims & Hers (HIMS)
  • Robinhood (HOOD)
  • JD.com (JD)
  • Snapchat (SNAP)
  • NVO (as stated “NVO”)
  • Trade Desk (TTD)
  • Tractor Supply (TSCO)
  • Path (referenced as “PATH”; ticker not clearly tied beyond name)
  • EOS Energy (EOS, also mentioned as EOSUSD)
  • Meta (META)
  • Penny stock HYLN (short mention)
  • ASST (stock with split; noted as ASST)
  • Plume (PLMR implied by name)
  • DJT (also treated as Trump stock)

ETFs

  • QQQ, XLF, XLE, XLK

Strategy framing applies to “any tradable asset,” including ETFs/indices.


Key numbers, targets, entries/exits, and recommendations

Portfolio / crypto trades highlighted with explicit numbers

INJ (Injective)

  • Entry: ~$2.80 (February)
  • Current: ~$6
  • Framework: liked after breaking the EMA ribbon (weekly signal referenced around “Feb ~280–290” in subtitle context, interpreted to match ~$2.80–$2.90)
  • Upside concept: from ~$6 toward the “red zone” could be ~150% (described as a ~150% move to a top/red-zone objective)
  • Exit guidance: sell/trim at the red zone; also buy rules for green dot areas
  • Day move: +13% today

EIGEN (“EI Eigen”)

  • Most recent entry: ~3 days ago on the 22nd, at ~$0.21
  • Current performance: ~+40% since entry
  • Sell target: “red zone between $1.50 and $2” (subtitle ambiguity interpreted as ~$1.50–$2)
  • Alternative trigger: sell on a red dot with wave near the upper zone

RENDER

  • Resistance broken: ~$2.11
  • Target / red zone: ~$3.54
  • Day move: +10% today
  • Holding guidance: hold until red zone

OQ (“quantum computing play”)

  • Entry: April around ~$0.26
  • Upside: “up >200%” / “up well 150%”
  • Profit-taking: took some profit, then re-entered around ~$0.45
  • Sell rule: sell on the next red dot (daily/weekly)

AKT

  • Entry: bought around ~$0.45; another entry cited around ~$0.60–$0.70
  • Target: ~$1.20 (approaching red zone)
  • Sell rule: sell when it hits the red zone or a red dot
  • Acceleration: possible acceleration if above $1

ATONE (“staking, low cap”)

  • Staking APY: ~46%
  • Strategy: mainly stake/collect, not technical trading
  • Sell guidance: sell when the wave returns and a weekly red dot appears

BABY (Babylon staking)

  • Staking APY: subtitles show a range around ~12%–46% (range unclear due to subtitle errors)
  • Framing: “home run calls” with high staking yield

ARB

  • Entry: April around ~$0.09
  • Current gain: ~+20%
  • Key support: hold ~8 cents
  • Target: ~$0.45–$0.50
  • Day move: +4% today
  • Status: mentions a daily red dot

OSMOSIS

  • Entry: ~$0.03
  • Peak: ~$0.12–$0.13
  • Behavior: avoided adding because already up ~100%
  • Re-entry / buy window: wants ~$0.14–$0.18

SMCI

  • Notes: breakout + pullback into EMAs
  • Sell/red zone referenced: “October 2025 red zone” from ~$58 down to ~$20
  • Cost basis framing: average cost ~$25
  • Expectation: “explode next week” after it reaches red zone

GOODRX (GDRX)

  • Breakout: from long downtrend ~$60 to ~$2
  • Target: likely ~$4.50–$5.00 (subtitle ambiguity shows “$450–$5”)
  • Context: all-time highs ~$50–$60 were cited for larger upside narrative

NEAR

  • Entry: ~$1.20
  • Trim: between ~$2.00 and $2.20
  • Overall gain referenced: ~+60–70%
  • Rotation idea: rotate into Ethereum once NEAR is in the red zone
  • Rationale: ETH all the way back to red zone is stated as ~120%

CHAINLINK (LINK)

  • “Gift” narrative: accumulation under $10
  • Target: ~$22–$24
  • Prior behavior: fully unloaded around ~$25, rebought around $7, now waiting for wave/red-zone movement
  • Support caveat: expects the recent red dot to fade by end of week; “doesn’t see it going back below $8”

CEDUS

  • Entry: <1.5 cents
  • Current: ~2.5 cents
  • Target: ~10 cents
  • All-time high: ~50 cents

XCN

  • Framing: staking/slow-moving; staking rewards ~26–27%
  • Expectation: remains “not doing much” while waiting for upside

DJT (Trump stock)

  • Adds: off a green dot around ~$10, also added around ~$8
  • Target: red zone (not clearly numerical in subtitles)
  • Late May narrative: company report mentions 2,650 BTC tied to a Media Group via crypto.com; speculation that if BTC is sold, stock buybacks may follow

TRUMPCOIN (meme coin)

  • Framing: “absolute rugpull”
  • Expected move: ~$8–$10 if it breaks upward (no certainty)

XRP

  • Thesis: bottom above ~$0.10
  • Framing: “coiled up” for explosive move
  • Method: uses longer-term mania/averages framing more than specific near-term targets

Stocks / ETFs highlighted with explicit numbers

ServiceNow (NOW)

  • Breakout: above $80
  • Recovery context: previously “pummeled” from ~$240 down to ~$80
  • Entry cited: likes it around ~$102
  • Sell/trim: target back to red zone (not explicitly numbered)

Oracle (ORCL)

  • Red zone target: ~$280–$320
  • Status: still holding while trending up toward that zone

PayPal (PYPL)

  • Support: must hold $38
  • Target: ~$70–$75
  • Narrative: said to be at a 10-year low, with earnings/revenues “beating” (no exact EPS/revenue figures)

HIMS

  • Stop loss guidance: ~$18.50
  • Holding guidance: hold until red zone; stop if broken

Uber (UBER)

  • Stop loss guidance: ~$68
  • Trigger: if it breaks $68, he expects to be stopped out

JD.com (JD)

  • Level to hold: above $29
  • Stop trigger: if it breaks $29, he would stop out

Trade Desk (TTD)

  • Buy zone: monthly signal around ~$20
  • 2023 monthly signal: ~$40, which later moved to ~$140
  • Red zone / target: described as ~300% move back to red zone (very large upside framing)
  • Earnings: “still look good” (no numbers provided)

Meta (META)

  • Rating: ~6/10
  • Character: described as choppy
  • Stop suggestion: around $590–$600 depending on entry area (subtitle mentions 590 and “buy more down here at 520”)
  • Reference: prior sell signal around $800

Tractor Supply (TSCO)

  • Context: “down to eight-year average”
  • Stop loss: ~$29
  • Red zone / moving-average area: “looks good at 30”

Intel (INTEL) — short position

  • Reason: far above its four-year average
  • Four-year average: ~$37
  • Current cited: ~$130
  • Expectation: correction within 1–2 years
  • Logic: if price moves closer to $37, puts should benefit

QQQ / XLK / XLF / XLE (ETFs)

  • QQQ: entry/signal referenced around April at ~580
  • XLK: not a chase area; buy window described around ~$135–$180
  • General note: indicator method can apply to ETFs/indices like any tradable asset

Other risk cautions / behavioral guidance

  • Strong caution against chasing after large gains (example: MU).
    • MU described as up ~700% on the year and ~80% off the 4-year average, but still not a buy because it’s extended.
  • Repeats: if a chart is not in the buy zone (no green dot / wave down / below averages), he won’t force trades.

Methodology / framework (explicit step-by-step)

  1. Determine regime via EMA ribbon

    • If below EMA ribbons → avoid new longs; treat as bear market.
    • If it breaks above → bulls entering; look for setups.
  2. Entry timing

    • Prefer when wave is down and green dots appear (accumulation zones).
    • If a breakout happens, wait for a pullback into daily EMAs.
  3. Exit / trim timing

    • Red zone = where he trims/sells.
    • Also sell on a red dot on daily or weekly.
  4. Profit rotation

    • When a position hits targets/red zone, he may sell and rotate into assets still off the red zone (example: NEAR → ETH).
  5. Risk management

    • Uses stop-loss levels provided for certain stocks (examples include Uber ~68, HIMS ~18.50, JD ~29, INTU stop idea around ~300, TSCO ~29, plus others referenced during chart requests).

Disclosures / disclaimers

  • The presenter explicitly states:
    • The goal is education, to “present information,” not to tell viewers what to buy or sell.
    • Viewers must do their own research.
  • No verbatim “not financial advice” regulatory phrase appears, but the education/not-direct-instruction disclaimer is repeated.

Presenters / sources

  • Presenter: “Overkill Trading” (subtitles reference community “Spartan Army”).
  • Chat participants referenced: “Bobby,” “Jason,” “Johnny,” “Kroos,” “Charles,” “Mark,” “James,” “Joel,” “Carlo,” “Arturo,” “Sulk,” “Slow train,” etc. (no stated credentials).
  • External social post referenced: “go goats” on X (quote about underestimating the next crypto bull run).
  • Tool mentioned: ChatGPT used for generating low-cap Ethereum altcoin candidates.

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