‫💎 پیش بینی جفت ارز (GBPUSD) 5 فروردین 1405 — نوسان GBPUSD به‌ دلیل تصمیمات بانکی [تریدینگ فایندر]

Assets / instruments mentioned

• Currency pair: GBP/USD
• Currencies: British pound (GBP), US dollar (USD)
• Commodities: oil (price movements discussed)
• Platforms/tools: MetaTrader 4 (Trading Journal app)
• Indicators/terms: Bloom Trading Footprint / Bloom Profile, order blocks, FVG (fair value gap; subtitle typo “EFG”), liquidity areas, market structure

Macro / market context

• Geopolitical risk (military conflict / tensions in the Middle East) has been the primary driver. Initial escalation strengthened the USD and pushed GBP/USD down; later de‑escalation/negotiation news weakened the USD and supported GBP.
• Oil price declined after a reported negotiation/attack postponement (message cited from “Mr. Trump”), which is expected to further weaken the USD and support GBP gains.
• Overall sentiment in the video: bullish for GBP/USD — GBP has been improving versus USD over the past week.

Economic / news events flagged

• This week’s releases discussed:
  • Manufacturing PMI and services PMI (for both UK and US). Manufacturing surprised better, services surprised worse — limited immediate price reaction.
  • British CPI released roughly in line with the prior reading.
• Upcoming (relative to the video):
  • US Unemployment Claims (tomorrow)
  • UK Retail Sales (Friday)
• Comment: price remained more sensitive to Middle East tension news than to the PMI prints.

Technical analysis — framework & steps

• Multi-timeframe approach (review sequence):
  1. Weekly
  2. Daily
  3. 4‑hour
  4. 1‑hour
• Key elements used:
  • Identify major weekly/daily order blocks as structural support and resistance.
  • Detect market structure shifts (higher highs & higher lows on the 4‑hour) to confirm a bullish bias.
  • Use liquidity areas and internal liquidity (previous highs/lows) to time entries.
  • Watch FVG (fair value gap; subtitle typo “EFG”) zones and 4‑hour order block crossings for trade triggers.

Trade plan example

• Primary approaches:
  1. Wait for a strong break above the 4‑hour order block area to confirm the start of an upward leg, then look for continuation entries.
  2. Allow a retracement to the 1‑hour EFG (liquidity grab) near ~1.33343, collect liquidity at prior lows, then look for a bullish reaction / entry.

Price levels, numbers, and performance notes

• Price reached a 4‑year high in January (no exact level shown in subtitles).
• Rebound support noted around 1.3213.
• Short, sharp move: GBP/USD rose more than 1% following the reported negotiation message.
• One‑hour retracement target mentioned: approximately 1.33343 (subtitle garbled as “1.33 33 43”).
• Key technical zones to watch: daily order block (important support), 4‑hour order block and 4‑hour FVG area (critical current range).

Explicit recommendations / cautions

• Bias: overall bullish for GBP/USD, conditional on technical confirmations (market structure and a break above the 4‑hour order block).
• Suggested setups: either wait for a breakout through the 4‑hour order block or a liquidity‑collecting retracement to the 1‑hour EFG followed by a bullish rejection.
• Macro caution: geopolitical developments can rapidly reverse moves; news flow remains dominant.

Indicators, tools referenced

• Bloom Trading Footprint / Bloom Profile (for volume/price footprint context)
• Order blocks, FVG (fair value gaps), market structure, liquidity areas
• Trading Journal app for MetaTrader 4 (mentioned/promotional)

Disclosures / qualifiers

• No formal “not financial advice” statement appears in the subtitles.
• Presenter emphasizes analyzing and journaling your strategy:

  “Because you don’t analyze your strategy, you just execute it.”

Presenters / sources

• Analysis presented by an unnamed analyst on the Trading Finder channel (Persian-language video).
• External source referenced: a message attributed to “Mr. Trump” used to describe geopolitical negotiation news.