7 CRASHED Stocks to BUY for EPIC UPSIDE‼️

Finance-Focused Summary (Markets, Investing, Portfolio Ideas)

Macro / Market Commentary

• The speaker expects a bear market lasting ~6 to 18 months, where portfolios may “feel like it’s falling” day by day.
• The discussion centers on:
  • Rising yields vs. stocks
  • What happens to inflation in ~6 months
• Tom Lee’s view (mentioned and then debated):
  • The market is still trying to understand why yields are higher
  • Key variables: where rates and inflation will be in ~6 months
  • If inflation declines, the market can “breathe a sigh of relief”
  • Higher profitability may help stronger companies compete better and access funding (supporting “Magic Seven” growth)
• Counterpoint from another guest/speaker:
  • Inflation may stay sticky
  • Memory/semiconductor inputs affect device and AI economics
  • Companies could pass higher costs to consumers via price increases
  • Changes in inflation methodology may alter reported numbers, but not the underlying cost pressures

Portfolio Construction Framework

A specific framework is described as building a “portfolio of collapsed stocks”:

• Universe rule: only pick stocks that have crashed (explicitly not near historic highs)
• Condition: stocks must be in a slump
• Goal horizon: next 3–5 years
• Output: a 7-stock portfolio, with room to adjust later based on other market views

Key Numbers & Performance Mentions (Ticker-Specific)

AMD (Advanced Micro Devices)

• Described as “crashed” / a theme stock.
• Position-performance highlights:
  • “Just a 2% move in AMD pushed these stocks up $37,000.”
  • AMD position cited as “over $1.6 million in the public account.”
• Price targets discussed (not guaranteed):
  • $629, with talk of $700, $800, $900, and possibly $1,000 by Q2 next year.

Meta Platforms (META)

• Described as reaching an all-time high and “getting better.”
• Price point:
  • ~$777 (“$777 since the beginning of the year to an all-time high”)
• Portfolio movement:
  • Position grew another $33,000 today
• Macro relevance in the debate:
  • Ad pricing rising
  • Heavy AI/compute costs (including memory-related) may eventually flow through to consumers/advertisers

Wynn Resorts (WYNN)

• Characterized as having had a terrible last year:
  • Down 38% over the past year
• Opportunity rationale:
  • Uses adjusted EBITDA and non-cash depreciation concepts
• Adjusted EBITDA (last 12 months, by property):
  • Wynn & Encore (Las Vegas): $890M
  • “Older Wynn properties on the Peninsula”: $386M
  • Wynn Palace: $769M
  • Boston facility: $222M
• Share of total adjusted EBITDA:
  • Wynn Las Vegas ~39%
  • Wynn Palace ~34%
  • Wynn Macau ~17%
  • Encore Boston Harbor ~10%
• Capex/build cost analogy:
  • Building a similar-scale property in Vegas “would cost about $10B today”
• New project (Middle East):
  • Described as a “first ugly property” with “incredible growth potential”
  • Marina Bay Sands comparison:
    • Adjusted EBITDA cited: $3B (last 12 months)
  • Wynn Middle East conservative estimate:
    • $300M–$500M adjusted EBITDA per year

Netflix (NFLX)

• “Fallen by 41% over the last year.”
• Valuation:
  • Forward P/E ~20, described as “very cheap” for a business with multiple growth levers.

SoFi Technologies (SOFI)

• Down 42% over the last year.
• Business model thesis:
  • “Future and present of banking and fintech”
  • Emphasis on asset-light structure and avoiding excessive credit risk
  • Repeated horizon reference: 5–10–15 years (noted as recession-resilient)

Restoration Hardware (RH)

• Down 45% over the last year.
• Thesis:
  • Premium furniture niche; brand complexity and customer spend dynamics discussed
• Risk note:
  • “Can’t overuse leverage because it’s risky.”
• Interest-rate sensitivity:
  • Rates mentioned as a key reason investors dislike the sector

McDonald’s (MCD)

• Down >30% from recent highs (about 5–6 months earlier).
• Framed as stable/dividend-like despite short-term inflation-related pressures.

Celsius Holdings (CELH)

• Down 47% over the past year.
• Presented as the speaker’s top “risk-return” favorite, with explicit caution that outcomes are not certain.
• Note: Alani and Rockstar are referenced as related/owned in the discussion.

Nike (NKE) (one of two options at #7)

• Down 49% over the past year.
• Price mentioned: ~$35 per share.

Home Depot (HD)

• Down ~29–30% over the last year.
• Framed as disliked due to housing and interest-rate sensitivity.

Explicit Recommendations / Cautions

• The speaker advises enjoying bullish moments at highs, but expects a bear market (6–18 months).
• For the “crashed stocks” portfolio:
  • Build positions over time
  • Timeframe: 3–5 years
• Risk cautions include:
  • Don’t “overuse leverage” (notably for RH-like exposures)
  • “Every stock has risk” (explicitly stated regarding Celsius)
  • Don’t make hasty decisions (buy/sell) based only on inflation prints
  • Focus on building and diversifying your portfolio
  • Buy “at adequate prices,” and sell when overvalued

Disclosures / Disclaimers

• No explicit “not financial advice” disclaimer was captured in the subtitles provided.
• The content is presented as personal investing views, but no formal legal disclaimer appears in the captured text.

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Tickers / Assets Mentioned

• AMD, META, WYNN, NFLX, SOFI, RH, MCD, CELH, NKE, HD
• Context/comparisons (no ticker given):
  • Marina Bay Sands
• Property-level references:
  • Wynn Macau, Encore Boston Harbor, Wynn Palace

Presenters / Sources Mentioned

• Tom Lee (referenced via CNBC; described as speaking earlier and again later in the segment)
• Kelly Evans (mentioned/thanked during the dialogue)
• Anthony Noto (SoFi CEO)