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AFL Round 16 Predictions | JUST THE TIPS

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Overview

TrueFooty host previews AFL Round 16 match tips. They reflect on the bye round situation and explain how past tipping results went wrong—such as changing a tip from Geelong to Fremantle late due to injuries to Bailey Smith and Tom Stewart.

They then review the tipping competition results:

  • Overall tipping: a four-way tie with 7/7 correct (margin of one)
  • Brendan leads overall with 99
  • LF Forster and Ben lead their respective member leaderboards

Round 16 Predictions (Team-by-Team)

Brisbane Lions vs Sydney Swans (Gabba)

Both teams are coming off byes, and Sydney previously won the earlier meeting by about 7 goals. The host highlights Errol Gulden returning for Sydney and expects little disruption. The match is framed as a must-win/close one for Brisbane.

Prediction: Sydney by 10 points

Hawthorn vs GWS Giants (MCG)

The host points to volatile recent history, including last year’s elimination final and earlier surprise results. They argue Hawthorn’s style (“potency”) is strong, though GWS can still be dangerous despite inconsistency.

Prediction: Hawthorn by 12 points (closer game)

Carlton vs West Coast Eagles (Marvel Stadium)

Carlton are coming off five straight wins under Josh Fraser, with improvements in defense and turnover situations. The host also jokes about the ongoing “trauma” as an Eagles fan from frequent Carlton wins.

Prediction: Carlton by 5 goals

Collingwood vs Richmond (MCG)

Collingwood are trying to stay in the top 10, while Richmond is portrayed as rebuilding with injuries. The host notes Collingwood’s strong second-half form against Port Adelaide.

Prediction: Collingwood by 36 points

Adelaide vs Port Adelaide (Showdown)

The host expects the Showdown to be close despite general ladder trends. Port disappointed at the MCG but is improving under Josh Carr, while Adelaide is in strong recent form, including a 17-point win over Melbourne.

Prediction: Adelaide by 19 points

North Melbourne vs Essendon (Marvel Stadium)

North are described as improved, with two straight wins (including a narrow win over West Coast earlier). Essendon is portrayed as injury-depleted and underperforming this season.

Prediction: North by 18 points (split difference between “North to win” and “Essendon are a sniff”)

Fremantle vs Gold Coast Suns (Optus Stadium)

The host recalls last year’s elimination final where Gold Coast won dramatically via David Swallow. However, they argue Fremantle have been superior this season (noted 13th and 1st on their ladder snapshot) and that Gold Coast hasn’t earned confidence.

Prediction: Fremantle by up to 6–7 goals They settle on about 6 goals as the higher-confidence expectation.

Ladder Update (As Discussed)

  • Top two unchanged (not named in detail here), with Hawthorn holding third
  • Geelong expected to drop to fifth
  • Melbourne in sixth
  • Bulldogs in the top seven, but “unconvincing”
  • Brisbane could fall to eighth if Sydney wins
  • North Melbourne up to ninth
  • Collingwood back to 10th
  • Gold Coast slide to 11th
  • St Kilda and GWS remain concerning in the lower positions

“Game of the Round” & Closing

  • The host names Brisbane vs Sydney as the game of the round
  • They emphasize the match on Thursday night, streamed via the TrueFooty YouTube channel livestream
  • They encourage viewers to share their tips and likely upsets, with the Giants upsetting Hawthorn described as the most plausible upset

Presenters / Sources

  • TrueFooty (video host)
  • Mentions:
    • Quintilian (used in a “describe not just show” analogy)
    • Kanga TV (crediting a comment attributed to Jy Simpkin)

Original video