تحليل ما قبل جلسه 13 اغسطس 2026

Finance-focused summary (Aug 13, 2026 pre-session report — EGX)

Presenter

• Mustafa Raafat, Head of Technical Analysis at Astoool Securities and Bond Brokerage Company

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Market context & performance metrics (indices, volumes/values)

EGX 30 (main index)

• Closed up ~210 points yesterday.
• Trading confirmation: “values and volumes” > 16 billion EGP (used as a signal of buyer strength during an up-move).
• Close: 55,039 / ~55,000 points (subtitle also referenced “55000” and “5539”)
• Key support (must hold): 54,500–54,600
  • As long as price is above 54,500–54,600, outlook remains positive.
• Upside trigger / targets: improving bias if it breaks/holds above
  • 55,100
  • 55,200
• Caution: if it breaks below 54,500, the view may change (“worry” condition).

EGX 70 (mid-cap index)

• Entered a correction wave / beginning of correction.
• Close: 21,630
• High: 22,168
• Drop: ~287 points
• Nearest support / “safe limits”: 21,000–21,200
  • Low: 21,400 (within the stated “safe” correction area)
• If break below 21,000: correction could become more severe/moderate, even if the broader trend is still “upward”.

EGX 100 (large index)

• Close: 27,915
• Trend status: still upward trend overall, but currently in a weak correction.
• Correction described as slightly overbought across indicators.
• Support zone: 27,000–27,500
• Relative performance mentioned (subtitle ranking):
  • EGX 70 performs better than EGX 30
  • then EGX 100
  • EGX 30 is the weakest among the group

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Sectors highlighted (themes)

• Food sector: tentative return of buyers
• Textiles & durable goods: tentative signs of activity
• Transportation & shipping services: also noted as an area to watch (discussion appeared, with more company-stock focus)

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Ticker / stock picks & technical levels (price targets + risk controls)

Note: All prices are in EGP unless otherwise stated; piasters used where specified.

1) Ismailia Poultry

• Close: 34.90 EGP
• Trend: general uptrend
• Must-hold support: above 34.0 EGP (subtitle also referenced 33.70)
• Targets:
  • Near-term: 36–35–36
  • Main: 38–40 EGP

2) Lotus

• Close: 99 piasters (~0.99 EGP), up ~5%
• Trend: strong upward trend (described as speculative)
• Targets:
  • Very short-term: ~1.0455 EGP (subtitle also showed an alternate “1.55 EGP”)
  • Main: ~1.00 EGP
• Supports (bullish view invalid if broken):
  • Minor support: 96 piasters
  • Main short-term support: 89–90 piasters

3) SODIC (Sixth of October SODIC)

• Thesis: one of the few real-estate names still maintaining the overall uptrend
• Must hold: above 33 EGP
• Targets:
  • Initial: 36.5
  • Main: 38, then 40 EGP
• Caution framing: positive as long as above 33 EGP; confidence improves as price advances.

4) Arab Cotton Ginning Company

• Close: 11.90 EGP
• Supports:
  • Minor support: 11.56 EGP
  • “Major support” around 11 EGP
  • Another cited threshold: staying above 11.5–11.6 EGP
• Targets: around 13 EGP (initial/short-term)

5) AMOK (Alexandria Mineral Oils)

• Close: 9.55 EGP (after trading up to 9.66 EGP)
• Renewed buying interest: tentative
• Must hold: above 9.40 EGP
• Targets:
  • Initial: 8.99–9.99 EGP
    • (subtitle reads “89.99 EGP” likely a transcription issue; context suggests ~9.99)
  • Main: 10.5 EGP

6) Crestmark

• Close / sentiment: very positive, closed at the session high
• Close: 2.64 EGP (high 2.65 EGP)
• Risk management (profit protection levels):
  • Raise to 2.53 EGP and 2.54 EGP
• Targets:
  • Initial: 2.70 and 2.72 EGP
  • Main short-to-medium: 2.90 EGP
• Risk note: closest protection near ~2.50 EGP, implying elevated volatility.

7) Industrial & Engineering Projects

• Close: 87 piasters; up ~20% (strong surge; now “correcting”)
• Support: nearest minor support around 80 piasters 7 millimes (≈ 81 piasters flat)
• Targets: ~95 piasters, then 1 EGP (subtitle referenced “Egyptian pound flat”)

8) River of Goodness

• Close: 44.08 piasters (also referenced 44 piasters and 8 millimes)
• Breakout: first clear breakout above 43 piasters
• Validation requirements (confirmation rules):
  • Need a clear decisive breakout today above yesterday’s high
  • Need close above 45–46 piasters
  • Better: close around 47 piasters as evidence of stronger upward trend
• Emphasis: strong trading volumes/values used to support breakout quality.

9) Nahr El Kheir

• Role in strategy: accumulation phase in medium/long term
• Future targets (upper medium-term cap):
  • 55 piasters, then 60 piasters
• Watch item for today: mentioned, but no fresh precise support/resistance levels were provided in the subtitle.

10) Arab Engineering Industries

• Close: 3.18 EGP
• Risk management / profit protection:
  • Raise profit protection to nearest minor support: 3.53 EGP
• Support (short term): 2.90 EGP
• Targets:
  • Initial: 3.0 EGP, then 3.1–3.3 EGP
    • (subtitle text appears like “28, 3 pounds, 30”, likely ~3.2–3.3 and 3.0; parsing uncertain)
  • Primary short-term: 3.5 EGP

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Framework / methodology cues (technical-structure rules)

• Trend vs correction classification by index levels

  • If price stays above defined support bands, the broader uptrend remains intact and correction is treated as weak/temporary.
  • If support breaks, correction degree may increase (become more moderate/severe).

• Breakout confirmation rules

  • For breakout candidates (notably River of Goodness), require:
    • a decisive in-session breakout above the prior high, and
    • a daily close above specific thresholds (e.g., 45–46, ideally 47).

• Volume/value as confirmation

  • Higher values and volumes during upward action = buyer strength, not weakness.

• Risk management via “profit protection” levels

  • For held/volatile names (e.g., Crestmark, Arab Engineering Industries), protective levels are explicitly raised (quasi-stop / profit-taking logic).

• Caution on high-volatility sharp movers

  • Don’t assume correction is “finished” after hitting lows.
  • Wait for buyer re-entry and confirmation.
  • Prefer holding/entry logic around nearest minor support after corrections in high-vol names.

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Explicit recommendations / cautions

• Primary caution: High-volatility stocks that surged and then entered correction should be managed using nearest minor support levels; investors should not assume correction is over and should wait for confirmation.
• General market caution: Bias changes only if key index supports break:
  • EGX 30 below 54,500
  • EGX 70 below 21,000

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Disclosures / disclaimers

• Report disclaimer included: prepared using information believed accurate/reliable, but Astoool and the presenter bear no legal responsibility for investment decisions made based on the report. (No “not financial advice” phrasing was noted, but a legal responsibility disclaimer is present.)

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Presenters / sources

• Mustafa Raafat — Head of Technical Analysis, Astoool Securities and Bond Brokerage Company