التحليل الفني الصباحي لجلسة البورصة المصرية الاحد 16- 8- 2026 أستاذة دينا فهمي

Market / Index Technical View (EGX)

• Date / meeting: Sunday 16-8-2026 (Morning meeting held July 16, 2026 as referenced in subtitles)

• EGX index close: 55,250 (positive/up close)

Bullish breakout condition

• Price must confirm above 55,000–55,200 with broad participation (majority of stocks).

Upside path / targets

• 56,500–57,000 → then 58,500 → then 600,000 (noted as a key target from the 2026 annual report)

Supports

• 54,500 → then 54,000 → then 53,300

Risk levels (recommendations)

• Protection: below 54,500
• Short-term stop-loss: below 52,750

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EGX 70 (as referenced in subtitles)

• EGX 70 weekly close: 21,590 (negative week) after testing slightly above 22,000

Near-term thesis

• Expect a temporary correction
• Support around 21,650 (subtitle shows “650-50”, interpreted as ~21,650–21,650)

Trend continuation trigger

• Only a break above 22,000 extends the main uptrend.

Next target zone

• 22,800–23,000

Risk levels (recommendations)

• Protection: below 21,300
• Stop-loss: below 20,650

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Stock Watchlist: Levels, Targets, Stops (Technical)

(All prices appear in EGP unless otherwise stated.)

Abu Dhabi Islamic Bank

• Setup: Continuing rise after breaking a prior peak at 50 EGP
• Targets: 58–60 EGP, then higher levels (not fully specified)
• Stop-loss: below 20,650 (As-stated; noted as inconsistent with the stock’s EGP pricing in the subtitles.)

Telecom Egypt

• Lowest level mentioned: 50 EGP
• Current test / resistance: Peak at 113 EGP expected to break upward
• Targets: 122, 127, 135
• Supports: 108, then 103
• Stop-loss: below 102

Cooper Investments

• Trigger: Break above 42.6 fils
• Targets: 45, 45.5 fils, 48 fils, then 51 fils
• Supports: 42.6 fils, then 41.3 fils
• Stop-loss: below 39.2 fils

Edita

• Resistance/test: Peak at 32.5 EGP expected to break upward

• Targets: 34.70, 35, then 38 (subtitle text has garbling around “80 then 38 pounds”)

• Caution: “Advise caution regarding declines.”

• Supports: 30.60, then 30.00
• Stop-loss: below 29.40

Communications and Services Company

• State: Moving sideways
• Bullish trigger: Confirmed break above 10.55 EGP with sustained trading above it
• Targets: 11.50, then 12.20
• Supports: 10.00, then 9.80
• Stop-loss: 9.50

Arab Metal Industries

• Correction area: 13.40–13.10 EGP (described as 62% correction of last high and aligned with the 20-day moving average)

• Rebound expectation: if stable, rebound to 15.80–16.40, then 17.25

• Stop-loss: below 13.10

Housing and Development Bank

• Resistance/test: 87.5 EGP peak expected to break up

• Targets: 92, 98, then 102 (subtitle includes “92, 30, 98, and then 102” — “30” likely mis-scan; kept as-stated)

• Supports: 83, then 80.20

• Stop-loss: below 80

EGTrans

• State: Sideways short term
• Bullish trigger: Break above 11.00 EGP
• Targets: 11.50, then 11.80
• Next record levels: 12.50, then 12.80 (subtitle shows “12.5, then 1280”, interpreted as 12.80)
• Supports: 10.60, then 10.40
• Stop-loss: below 10.00

Credit Agricole Bank

• State: Sideways
• Strength trigger: Break above 24.80 EGP
• Targets: 25.70–25.76 (subtitle garbling around “25 70 …”)
  • then 27.40
  • then 28.x
• Supports: 23.70, then 23.20
• Stop-loss: below 23.00 (as-stated)

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“Updates” on Previously Discussed Stocks (Performance + Updated Targets)

Kafr El Zayat Pesticides (mentioned from Aug 3 morning meeting)

• Previous plan achieved: rising ~20%
• New close / trigger: broke 10.33 (peak)
• Next hypothetical targets: 11.56, then 12.20
• Supports: 9.90, then 9.70
• Protection level: 7.90 (as-stated; noted as potentially inconsistent vs subtitles—kept as-stated)

AMOC (mentioned from July 6 and 15)

• Prior thesis: key support 7.40 EGP, target 8.55 EGP
• Performance: targets met; stock rose ~33%
• New status: closed positive, breaking resistance 9.90 EGP
• Next targets: 11.90, then 12.00
• Supports: 8.90, then 9.20
• Protection level: 9.60 EGP

Orascom Construction (mentioned from July 29)

• Earlier trigger: break above 7.19 EGP to clear resistance 7.33 EGP
• Outcome: outlook remains positive; targets “stand”
• Stop-loss: below 6.95
• Note: subtitle targets are garbled; earlier reference includes 7.80 then 8.12 (kept contextually as “780, then 812 peak”)

(Stock not clearly named in subtitles) – levels around 42/66/74/80/87/95

• Trigger: break above 42
• Targets: peak 66 → then 74 → then 80 → then 87 → later 95
• Protection: 70
• Note: company name missing due to subtitle truncation.

Abu Air (mentioned Aug 2)

• Prior thesis: higher low; retest 75.60 expected to be broken
• Targets: 80, then 84 EGP
• Stop-loss: below 70

Kabo (mentioned Aug 2 and Aug 10)

• State: corrective movement; tested 7.75
• Trigger: if trading continues above 7.75, rebound expected to 9.80

• Next record highs targets: 9.35 then 9.00 (subtitle formatting unclear: “935 and then 9”; kept as-stated)

• Supports (as-stated): 4.80, then 8.13

• Stop-loss: below 8 EGP (as-stated; note subtitle inconsistency vs earlier 7.75/9.80—kept as-stated)

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Method / Framework Mentioned (Technical Analysis Steps)

• Breakout confirmation above key resistance zones:
  • For EGX index: confirm above 55,000–55,200 with “genuine participation” from most stocks.
  • For EGX 70: break above 22,000 to extend trend.
  • For several stocks: look for confirmed breaks above specified resistance levels (e.g., 10.55, 11.00, 11.80, 24.80, etc.).
• Support-based risk control:
  • Identify first and subsequent supports, then set:
    • Protection level (often below the nearest support / breakout invalidation level)
    • Stop-loss below deeper support levels.
• Correction/mean-reversion reference:
  • Example: Arab Metal Industries—correction cited as 62%, aligned with the 20-day moving average, followed by expected rebound if it stabilizes.

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Disclosures / Disclaimers

• No explicit “not financial advice” disclaimer appears in the provided subtitles (at least not in the captured text).

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Presenters / Sources

• Dina Fahmy — Head of Technical Analysis at EGX Experty (host delivering the technical morning meeting)