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💡 تحلیل قیمت سولانا (SOLUSDT) 24 بهمن 1404 — تثبیت و نوسان سولانا | تریدینگ فایندر
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Key takeaways
Solana (SOL/USDT) — Concise Analysis
Date: February 13 (24 Bahman 1404) Source / Presenter: Trading Finder (تریدینگ فایندر)
Assets / Tickers Mentioned
- Solana (SOL / SOLUSDT)
- Bitcoin (as the leading indicator for crypto)
- ETF liquidity flows (referred to as “Sela ETF funds” in the subtitles)
Market Context & Sentiment
- Fear & Anxiety Index: 8 — labeled “Extreme Fear.”
- Bitcoin is described as bearish; that bearish leadership weighs on altcoins including Solana.
- ETF funds saw positive net inflows yesterday (short-term liquidity into ETFs), creating a conflicting signal versus Bitcoin’s bearishness.
Price Structure, Key Levels & Numbers
Daily / Weekly structure
- SOL broke daily support at $96.68 → formed a weekly bearish breakout structure.
4‑hour structure
- Major 4‑hour block order (resistance / bearish pivot): $105. Price trading below this level → overall bearish bias.
- 4‑hour EFG (fair-value-gap) filled to 88.62% before reaction and continuation lower.
Recent lows / tested support
- Recent low / tested support: $76.68.
Important intra-day liquidity / levels
- Major bearish liquidity cluster / resistance: $89.20
- Short-term (near) bearish reaction level: $79.80
- 1‑hour FPG (buy-side reaction level): $79.40
- Sell-side liquidity floors near price: $77.85 and $76.50
Intraday / Short-Term Price Behavior
- More than 9 downward moves since the beginning of the week (at time of analysis).
- Intraday recovery attempt: “so far today” price experienced less than 10% growth.
- Expected path (per analyst): if liquidity is collected around ~$79–80 and price fails to consolidate above it, anticipate further downside toward sell-off liquidity near ~$76.50.
Methodology / Framework Used
- Multi-timeframe structure analysis: daily → weekly context, then 4‑hour and 1‑hour for entries.
- Identification of order-blocks and block orders (e.g., 4‑hr block at $105).
- Liquidity mapping: locate buy-side and sell-side liquidity above highs and below lows; identify liquidity clusters.
- Liquidity sweeps and FVG/EFG/FPG/DFPG detection; track FVG fills (noted 88.62% on 4‑hr).
- Trade-bias rule: while price < 4‑hr block order ($105), favor sell positions on pullbacks to premium areas.
- Use reactions at identified 1‑hour FPG/DFPGs for short-term entries or confirmation.
Explicit Recommendations & Cautions
- Primary bias: Bearish while SOL remains below $105 (4‑hr block order).
- Tactical approach: Look for sell positions on pullbacks to premium/resistance areas.
- Short-term trigger / watch: liquidity gathering around $79.40–$79.80 — failure to consolidate above that region suggests continuation lower toward ~$76.50.
- Monitor Bitcoin and ETF flows — they present conflicting signals (BTC bearish vs. positive ETF inflows).
Trade bias (as stated): Favor sell positions on pullbacks while price is under the 4‑hour block at $105.
Performance / Metrics Cited
-
9 downward moves since week start.
- Intraday growth on analysis day: less than 10%.
- 4‑hour EFG fill: 88.62%.
Disclosures
- No explicit “not financial advice” or formal disclaimer was stated in the subtitles.
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