Америка устала от Трампа? Главный итог выборов в США. 04.11.2026

Summary

Election Results and Congressional Shift

The presenter describes the election results as an expected Republican defeat, with Democrats gaining control of both the Senate and the House of Representatives. He argues that this is a routine feature of US politics rather than a crisis: power shifts between parties, and the president’s party often loses ground in midterm elections.

He cites Democratic gains during Ronald Reagan’s second term in 1986 and describes the 2002 midterms, when Republicans gained seats after 9/11, as an unusual exception.

What a Democratic Congress Could Do

The change in Congress will make it harder for President Trump to advance his agenda, but will not prevent him from governing. A Democratic-controlled Senate could delay or reject presidential nominees, while both chambers could investigate the administration and summon officials to hearings.

Congress can impeach a president, but removing one requires a two-thirds majority in the Senate. Trump retains his veto, and Democrats would need large majorities to override it or pass some legislation. The presenter expects budget negotiations and possible funding standoffs.

The new Congress would not take office until January 3, 2027, so the current Republican-controlled Congress would remain in place until then.

Foreign Policy

The presenter argues that the president retains substantial authority over foreign policy, including the ability to begin a military operation without congressional approval for 60 days. He says the election outcome therefore does not rule out a US operation against Iran, which he considers inevitable.

US Military Aid to Israel

The presenter rejects claims that Trump’s announcement about ending US military aid to Israel is an immediate catastrophe. He says the roughly $3.8 billion annual arrangement is primarily a credit for purchasing American weapons, rather than cash handed directly to Israel, and that much of the spending benefits US manufacturers.

The existing aid memorandum runs through 2028, and the presenter argues that changing it may require congressional action.

He adds that Netanyahu had already said Israel should eventually reduce its reliance on US aid, partly to avoid the political pressure attached to it. Israel’s military budget is much larger than the annual US aid, and the presenter says Israel could replace some purchases with domestic production or its own funds.

However, he stresses that Israel cannot readily replace US-made fifth-generation aircraft and should order American equipment in good time. He suggests Trump’s announcement may have been an election-period statement and says its practical consequences remain to be seen.

Presenter: Sergey Auslender