The OFFICIAL 10am Trading Guide

“10 a.m. strategy” concept & framework

The speaker presents a time-based intraday trading framework built around the 10:00 a.m. open and the first 4-hour (4H) candle structure associated with that “10 a.m. candle” (described with an open/high/low/close concept).

Core candle patterns (terminology / states)

• Open–High–Low–Close (bullish-to-bearish scenario described as “open high low close”)
• Open–Low–High–Close (opposite scenario described as “open low high close”)

Directional logic (as stated)

If bearish-biased:

• When the 4H “10 a.m.” candle opens, they want price manipulation to the upside, followed by:
  • close below the 10 a.m. opening price
  • retest
  • then continue for shorts

If bullish-biased:

• They want 10 a.m. to go straight down, then:
  • distribute upward
  • retest
  • then redistribute upward

Liquidity nuance

They add a nuance: with strong external drawn liquidity, even if price initially manipulates up, they may still look for:

• manipulation down
• followed by distribution up because liquidity dynamics can dominate.

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How to execute (step-by-step elements mentioned)

1. Mark the 10:00 a.m. opening price on the chart.
2. After 10 a.m. opens, look for a nearby “PDA”
   • described as a gap / order block / a high that can be swept
3. Watch for market structure shift using candle closes:
   • On 5-minute (5M):
     • emphasize candle closures below the 10 a.m. opening price
     • specifically cite a 10:05 5M close as a “change in state/delivery” trigger
   • On 1-minute (1M):
     • they want two candle closes beyond the level
4. Scale down for execution (explicitly referencing 4H, 5M, and 1M):
   • use the closest drawn liquidity target (nearby lows/highs)

Entry approach options (and a caution)

• Limit entry at/near the 10 a.m. level after the structural change (if “high quality”)
• Or use a later entry trigger via a lower timeframe rejection block that taps and rejects

They caution that waiting for rejection-block entries can sometimes cause you to get “left behind” (miss the trade).

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Targets & drawn liquidity

• The primary target concept is to go after the closest/strongest drawn liquidity.
• The speaker specifically uses nearby equal lows as the natural magnet/target.
• They describe the market open behavior often as:
  • pump/manipulate early
  • then later show the opposite behavior toward the drawn liquidity

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Specific risk management & numbers mentioned

Stop-loss guidance (explicit numbers and RR logic)

They emphasize stop-loss placement as “very, very, very important.”

Key points:

• Point-based stops must adapt to volatility
  • in less volatile periods: 10–15 point stops
  • in volatile periods: 10–15 points can be “giving money to the market” (too tight)
• Fib-based alternative
  • if placing stop “above 0.5,” they cite ~35 points in their example

Risk-to-reward approach

• They prefer at least 1:5 RR
• Example given:
  • target ~100 points away
  • allowing a stop around ~20 points
• They note a tight stop (e.g., 15 points) may require high confidence price will tick 10:00 a.m. and turn, but they suggest leaving room for chop/hesitation.

Trade management rule (losses)

• If they take two losses in a row in a day, they “get off.”

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When not to trade (cautions / filters)

They list multiple “bad day” / low-quality conditions:

1. Previous session expanded a lot
   • Caution for the New York AM session: flows often become accumulation → manipulation → distribution, and the first pattern can be misleading.
2. No correlation between indices
   • They explicitly reference correlation issues between ES and NQ (one moves sharply while the other chops).
3. Major economic releases (“red folder news”)
   • Named: CPI, PPI, NFP
   • Strong caution: do not trade before release (they mention 8:30 timing) and trade later after release.
4. FOMC in PM session
   • They claim the AM session afterward tends to be “really ass.”

“Chop / accumulation” regimes

They also warn against regimes where:

• price accumulates in a range
• overlays (examples mentioned: FVG, inverse FVG, order blocks, key opens, fib) won’t “matter” because price grinds/runs through everything

They emphasize recognizing range accumulation and not forcing setups.

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Instruments / tickers mentioned

• ES (E-mini S&P 500)
• NQ (E-mini Nasdaq 100)

No other tickers, ETFs, bonds, commodities, or crypto were explicitly named in the subtitles.

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Performance / methodology claims

• Others have asked for a “10 a.m. bot” because backtests/quant testing allegedly show “weirdly high performing” results (no specific numbers provided).
• They state the setup has been “weirdly consistent” over this year and also last year, but without specific win rate/returns.

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Disclosures / disclaimers

• No explicit formal “financial advice” disclaimer was present in the provided subtitles.
• They include a caution-like statement implying personal responsibility (e.g., trading every day depends on account risk tolerance), but no formal regulatory language was included.

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Presenter / sources

• Presenter/source (from subtitles): the main speaker
  • A later mention of support code “Powell” suggests association with the creator’s name as “Powell,” but the exact first/last name is not explicitly confirmed in the provided text.