I Called the Stock Market Crash AND the Rally… Now Comes the BIGGEST MOVE | SPY

Summary

The presenter’s outlook on SPY is bullish while it holds the prior month’s 750 low and roughly 756 close. A break below 750 is presented as the key signal that could shift control to bears.

The near-term view is more mixed: the presenter expects a potentially range-bound week, with pullbacks and possible short setups near resistance.

The video repeatedly promotes trading options and futures from preset price levels. Its claims about the profitability of those levels and alerts are the presenter’s and have not been independently verified.

Key levels and outlook

• Monthly support / bullish threshold: The prior month’s low at 750 and close around 756 (also cited as 755.61). The presenter says holding this zone favors buying dips and could lead to new all-time highs.
• Bearish trigger: A sustained move below 750. Downside reference levels are 729 and 716.
• Recent trading levels: Resistance near 763. The presenter’s prior plan was to consider puts below 760, with reversal or buy levels at 754 and 750.
• Weekly view: A possible range of roughly 750–770, with pullbacks and rebounds expected. The presenter warns that a bearish reaction near weekly highs could send SPY back toward the prior week’s lows.
• Next-session call areas: Around 755.60, 753 (a cited range of 752.50–753.60), and 750. The presenter advises against chasing an upward gap and favors buying a pullback.
• Potential put areas: A gap-close reversal level at 769.50, with additional resistance or put zones around 762–763.50 and 762.50–765. The presenter advises caution with shorts at lower levels and recommends looking for bearish confirmation.
• The presenter describes the market as statistically “oversold” and says the 4-hour, 1-hour, and 30-minute charts lean bullish, while allowing for short-term bearish days.

Trading framework described

• For a gap-up or “gap and go”:
  • Avoid buying the initial gap.
  • Look for consolidation, a strong breakout, then a pullback and retest of the breakout level.
  • Consider buying the retest. The presenter says a larger breakout followed by a faster pullback is a more attractive setup.
• For buying dips: Use the specified support zones rather than chasing higher prices. The presenter favors entries near the prior close and lower support levels.
• For puts or shorts: Look for price rejection at resistance and bearish confirmation, such as a lower high or a bearish 30-minute candle. The presenter cautions against shorting an uptrend or shorting above the key 750–756 support area without a bearish-day setup.
• Position sizing and exits: The presenter recommends starting small, adding to profitable trades, and using “stop profits” or take-profit orders. However, the presenter also advocates entering a larger position at a second level after an initial trade loses and says the system does not use stop-losses. These are materially different risk approaches, and the video does not provide a clear, consistent maximum-loss plan.

Instruments and performance claims

• Instruments mentioned: SPY options, including zero-days-to-expiration (0DTE) options, and futures. The presenter discusses in-the-money, near-the-money, and far-out-of-the-money options.
• The presenter claims the prior Friday’s plan produced three profitable trades out of three, describing the result as a 100% success rate. Examples cited include:
  • 755 puts: Entries around $0.50–$0.63, with a claimed sale around $0.74 per contract.
  • 752 puts: Entries around $0.45–$0.47, with additions at higher premiums and a claimed sale around $0.81.
  • 754 calls: Entries around $0.54–$0.55, with later additions. The transcript gives different exit figures, including $0.74 and $0.91.

These are promotional, self-reported examples. The video does not establish that the results are typical, include all losses, or account for fees, slippage, or the risks of 0DTE options.

Cautions and disclosures

• No explicit “not financial advice” disclaimer appears in the subtitles.
• The presenter explicitly recommends not using stop-losses, says losses may recover, and suggests increasing position size after an initial losing trade. This can expose traders to substantial or total loss, especially with short-dated options; options can expire worthless.
• The video promotes a paid Team Roar real-time options-alert service and related training. The presenter’s profitability claims should be treated as unverified marketing claims.

Presenters and sources

The presenter is not clearly identified by name in the subtitles. Geerawr/“Gword” is referenced in connection with the options-alert service.

• Channel: Traders Society
• Trading-alert service: Team Roar