NFL Week 10 Picks | Free NFL Sunday Player Props and Predictions

Week 10 NFL Betting Preview

This video is a betting preview, not a recap of completed games. Mailman Locks and Spade discuss four official player props, along with additional leans based on expected matchups and game scripts.

Official picks

• 0:00–3:30 — Ollie Gordon over 5.5 receiving yards (0.75 units): The hosts expect Miami’s new starting quarterback, Kyle McCord, to rely on short throws and checkdowns. They point to Gordon’s recent route share and suggest a few targets could be enough to clear the modest line.
• 3:31–6:11 — Parker Washington over 34.5 first-half receiving yards (0.75 units): They prefer Washington’s first-half prop to his full-game line, reasoning that Jacksonville could build a lead over Tennessee and reduce its passing volume later. A possible absence or limited role for Jakobi Meyers could also create more targets.
• 6:12–8:36 — Chimere Dike over 2.5 receptions (0.75 units): The hosts expect Tennessee to throw frequently if it falls behind and cite Dike’s recent involvement and increased role. They also lean under on Tony Pollard’s rushing yards and attempts, expecting Jacksonville’s defense and the likely game script to limit his ground work.
• 8:37–12:46 — Nico Collins over 54.5 receiving yards (1 unit): Collins’ line had risen by the time of recording, but the hosts still liked the original number. They point to his ability against man coverage, a potentially favorable matchup against Cleveland, and the possibility of increased targets if other offensive contributors are unavailable or less than fully healthy.

Additional leans

• 12:47–16:56 — Brian Thomas Jr. first-half props: The hosts favor a first-half reception or receiving-yards prop, especially at the prices discussed, rather than relying on his full-game production. They expect Jacksonville to build a lead and possibly ease off its passing attack later.
• 16:57–21:11 — Zach Charbonnet and Seattle–Las Vegas: They like Charbonnet’s rushing-yard and carry potential against the Raiders, while noting uncertainty about the backfield split with Jaxon Smith-Njigba. They also discuss Smith-Njigba’s receiving-yard potential but express concern about a possible blowout and quarterback health.
• 21:12–24:47 — Tyler Allgeier receptions: The hosts expect Arizona’s rookie quarterback to look for checkdowns, potentially creating more receiving work for Allgeier. They also suggest Arizona’s limited receiving options could draw defensive attention toward tight end Trey McBride and leave space underneath.
• 24:48–26:55 — Blake Corum rushing: They expect the Rams to control the game and run effectively against Arizona. Corum’s recent efficiency and a potentially favorable workload in the Rams’ personnel group support their interest in his rushing props.
• 26:56–29:05 — Kalon Black and San Francisco–Dallas: They like Black’s rushing-yard potential against a Dallas defense they describe as vulnerable to the run. They also discuss Javonte Williams over 2.5 receptions, noting that San Francisco has allowed receiving work to running backs and Dallas could rely on Williams in the short passing game.

Recap and sources

The four official picks are Ollie Gordon over 5.5 receiving yards, Parker Washington over 34.5 first-half receiving yards, Nico Collins over 54.5 receiving yards, and Chimere Dike over 2.5 receptions. The video ends without reporting any game results.

• Presenters: Mailman Locks and Spade
• Research tool mentioned: PropsMadness
• Odds platforms referenced: Hard Rock, DraftKings, and Novig