Video summary
البورصة المصرية - حلقة مميزة جدا من برنامج البورصة النهاردة و عرض أهم الأسهم المرشحة للصعود:26-08-18
Main summary
Key takeaways
Market snapshot & flows (EGX / indices)
- Trading volume: 14.523 billion (currency not specified in subtitles)
- Institutions: 18%
- Individuals: 82%
Net buying/selling by investor type
- Egyptian individuals: net buyers ~207.875 million
- Egyptian institutions: net buyers ~27 million
- Arab institutions: net sellers ~76.700 million
- Foreign institutions: net sellers ~92.258 million
Index levels mentioned
“Latin American index” (likely an EGX30-related proxy)
- Opened: 55,415
- High: 55,59x (subtitles show 5559, likely a transcription issue)
- Low: ~55,000
- Closed: 55,276 (-138 points)
- Technical commentary:
- “Price gap around 55,000” was closed
- Recovery began afterward
EGX70
- Opened: 21,771
- High: 21,946
- Low: ~21,000 (subtitles show 21000 (1613); likely formatting noise)
- Closed: 21,670
- Subtitles include inconsistent close values (e.g., 2167 / “down 104 points”), likely due to transcription issues.
Technical view
- Resistance: 21,700–22,000 area
- Failed attempts to break above 21,700
- Support / downside targets:
- If 21,500 breaks → 21,200 → 21,000
- Further downside discussion referenced toward 20,000, then 20,700 / 20,500 (exact mapping unclear from subtitles)
Macro / event catalysts & timing
-
Central Bank interest rate announcement
- Meeting on Thursday
- Expected behavior: week before the meeting often brings index fluctuations
-
Index rebalancing
- “Stocks removed and added” in indices
- Expected impact: funds tracking indices may exit removed stocks / enter added stocks, increasing volatility
-
Outlook for tomorrow / near term
- Guests expected a rebound tomorrow
- A retest was mentioned around 55,000 after ~1.5 hours into the session
- End-of-month effects: typical profit-taking and margin/credit adjustments
- Not expected to break major supports severely
- Trading calendar: next week has only four trading days (as stated)
Portfolio / trading framework & methodology
-
Support/resistance “buy zones”
- Wait for pullbacks to support
- Treat breaks as potentially false breakouts if key levels hold
-
Trend vs speculation split (portfolio construction)
- Investment component: medium-to-long term positions (linked to index trends; “institutional/classic” stocks)
- Speculative component: trades expected to play out in 1–2 weeks
-
Risk management
- Stop-loss levels were explicitly referenced for Telecom Egypt (see stock section)
Explicit stock/sector recommendations & key levels
EGX30 / “leading” / “lagging” calls
CIB (Commercial International Bank)
- Framed as most lagging, but currently in accumulation zones
- Resistance: 143–145
- Targets if broken: 150, then 160
- Subtitles mentioned a target near 170, later caveated as unlikely (“it won’t reach 170”)
Critical support condition
- Must remain above 138
- Mentioned specifically: closing price must be above 138 to keep the view intact
Alternative buying levels (Ahmed)
- Attractive zones: 138 and 133
- 133 noted with high volume (buyers entering)
- Structure note: if a pullback causes a break below 188, it could still be a false break
- Additional reference (transcription noise): maintaining support levels around 138, and “not gaining at 138” (meaning inferred as support retention)
Telecom Egypt
- Stop-loss: 92 EGP
- Fair value (analysis/management): around 144 EGP
- Current action/levels:
- Consolidating after ~125 EGP
- Buying zones: 115–116 EGP
Talaat Moustafa (Talaat Moustafa Holding)
- Mentioned among the most lagging
- View: accumulation and potential upward movement
- No precise targets given in the strongest sections (generally “upward”)
Construction stock (name not fully specified)
- Strong level: 735 EGP (described as “vital/extremely important”)
- Reference: previously reached ~800 EGP, but stronger targets still expected
Egypt Aluminum
- Positive view after reaching ~3558
- Entry/consolidation: 335–340
Qalaa (Qalaa Holdings)
- Short-term targets: 570, then 620
Breakout framework
- Resistance 65
- If breaks 65–75 zone → breakout thesis
- If exactly 75 breaks → target 6.6
- Additional path:
- Stable above 75 → push to 780
- If breaks → test previous peak 800
Beltone
- Targets:
- 320 (subtitles show “3-20”)
- Condition: must break through to continue rise
- 315 described as extremely important and lagging vs the index
iFinance
- “Doesn’t break support levels”
- Maintaining above 24
- Close at 24
- Attempt 25 as resistance
- If breaks → 25–26
El-Sewedy (Elsewedy)
- Re-entry zone: 120–122
- Targets: 135 and 140
Poultry stocks
General conditional: only while key support holds (no break)
- Egyptian Poultry
- Support: 11.5 and 17.5 (subtitles show “11.5 and 175”; likely 17.5)
- Close: above 12.25 (previous peak broken)
- Thesis: pullback to 12.25 as a bottom test; higher targets expected
- Higher-than discussion around 13.65 (subtitles show 1365/13.65)
EGX70 segment: bearish/neutral bias on the index + stock setups
EGX70 index outlook
- Bias: slight pullback likely
- ~51,000 mentioned as a target region (numeric mismatch vs EGX70 scale, but direction is clear: pullback)
- Key resistance: failed attempts around 21,700
- Close below 21,700 suggests weakness
Supports
- 21,500 → 21,200 → 21,000
- Breaking 21,000 framed as negative, with further declines toward 20,000 and lower levels
Positive stock picks mentioned with resistance/support targets
-
Al-Aboul Real Estate Investment
- Resistance: 35
- Targets if broken: 37, 39–40
-
Ismailia Poultry
- Close above 35
- Resistance: 36
- Targets: 37 then 40
-
Binyan
- Resistance: 84
- If breaks: breakout from sideways; target ~5.25 (subtitles: “5 and 25”)
-
Samou
- Support: 11.5 and 11.70
- If breaks through: target 12
-
Nahr El Kheir
- Positive: reached 49 piasters, closed at 48
- Resistance test: 49
- Targets: 52, then 55 piasters
-
OBI Financial
- Resistance: 92 piasters
- If breaks → around 1 EGP, then 10 (subtitles include confusion between “1.0” and “10 piasters”)
-
Education Systems
- Strong level: 74 piasters
- If breaks: target 80 piasters
- Noted: high trading volumes and sideways consolidation
-
Lecico
- Rebounded; resistance: 35
- If breaks: targets 37–38
-
Al-Ramas (ceramics)
- Lagging but holding support
- Support: 25 and 30 EGP
- Sideways range: 25–36 EGP (speculative within range)
Ceramics sector caution
- Smaller ceramics (e.g., Rimas / Al-Ramas) described as weak/least likely to rise
- Al-Ramas still seen as maintaining support
Other “institutional/classic stocks” and key levels
Fawry / Heliopolis / Nasr City
- Framed as institutional/classic trend stocks (not speculative)
- Fawry and others: sideways with upward bias
Fawry levels
- Strong support: 18.70
- Working zone: starts reaching 18.80–19
- If surpass 19.70 → strong upward move
- Further targets: 20.5, then 21
Petrochemicals (sector view + stock ranking & level entries)
Sector timing view
- Petrochemicals may be entering another rise before end of year (timing: before year-end)
Named petrochemical-linked stocks (mentioned)
- Mobco
- Abu Air
- Kima
- Sidi Kerir
- Also mentioned: K&P (ticker/company unclear)
Kima (Keema/Kima) — detailed levels
- Support entry to confidently enter: 13.95
- Thesis note: unlikely to revisit 13.95; more likely rebound toward 15.37
- Resistance / “pain point”: 14.5 (tested twice and bounced)
- If breaks 14.5 → path opens toward 15.5–15.30 (subtitles contain “15 and 15 30”)
Petrochemical strength ranking (strongest → weakest)
- Abu Air
- Almore (spelling unclear)
- Kima
- Sidi Kerir
- Moko (Mobco/Moko)
(Repeated as personal opinion in subtitles.)
Mobco (Moko)
- Mentioned behavior:
- Initial rise to ~1
- Then crash to ~41
- Stabilizing/accumulating again
- Expected: another rise after calming/stabilizing
Company/events mentioned (non-price finance items)
-
Alexandria Medical Center
- Mentioned level around 106 as a support/stop-loss area for investors who bought around 106
-
Arab Energy
- Linked to Al-Aqlaa / Al Qalaa
- Context: oil/refining; expected to work in coming period
Named stocks / instruments list (as extracted)
- CIB
- Telecom Egypt
- Talaat Moustafa
- Qalaa
- Beltone
- iFinance
- El-Sewedy
- Egyptian Poultry (and other poultry references)
- Al-Aboul Real Estate Investment
- Ismailia Poultry
- Binyan
- Samou
- Nahr El Kheir
- OBI Financial
- Education Systems
- Lecico
- Al-Ramas / ceramics (Rimas mentioned)
- Fawry
- Heliopolis
- Nasr City
- Petrochemicals: Mobco, Abu Air, Kima, Sidi Kerir, K&P (unclear)
Disclosures / disclaimers
- No explicit “not financial advice” disclaimer appears in the subtitles.
- Speakers repeatedly frame views as opinions and use conditional technical rules (support/resistance, false breakouts, medium-to-long term vs speculation).
Presenters / sources mentioned
- Ms. Marwa Abu El-Nasr
- Mr. Ahmed Shawky
- Professor Khaled (referenced/interacted as a guest; later “This was Khaled Sayed Al Salam.”)
- Professor Amr Saber (past source; referenced “classic stocks” framing)
- Professor Maroud (mentioned in relation to Fawry’s trend)
- Faisal Company representative (operational visit mentioned; not a studio presenter)
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