We Backtested Triple RSI on 5 Stocks for 10 Years

Assets / Tickers Mentioned

• AAPL (Apple)
• AMZN (Amazon)
• TSLA (Tesla)
• NVDA (Nvidia)
• AMD (Advanced Micro Devices)

Strategy / Methodology (Triple RSI Mean Reversion)

Backtest Window

• Sep 2016 to Sep 2026 (10 years)
• Apply the exact same rules and parameters to each stock.

Entry Condition (Buy on Close)

Enter a long position when:

• RSI(5) is below 30 and falling for 3 consecutive sessions
• Three sessions prior: RSI must have been below 60
• At that earlier point, price remained above the 200-day moving average

Exit Condition (Sell on Close)

• Sell when RSI rises above 50

Risk Controls / Structure

• No stop loss
• No profit target
• No optimization/tuning after seeing results (“no special settings or optimizations after receiving the results”)

Key Performance Results (By Stock)

Test Size & Profitability

• Apple (AAPL)

  • 27 deals
  • ~82% profitable
  • Avg trade result: +0.90%
  • Profitability factor: 2.17

• Amazon (AMZN)

  • 25 deals
  • ~72% profitable
  • Avg trade result: (described as weaker; profitability factor listed)
  • Profitability factor: 1.70

• Tesla (TSLA)

  • 55% profitable
  • Avg trade result: −0.80%
  • Profitability factor: 0.83 (below 1 ⇒ unprofitable overall under these rules)
  • Explicit conclusion: Strategy worked for AAPL/AMZN but was unprofitable for TSLA

• Nvidia (NVDA)

  • 26 deals
  • 24 profitable
  • Success rate: 92.3%
  • Avg profit per trade: +3.82%
  • Profitability factor: 19.24

• AMD

  • 33 trades
  • Avg profit per trade: +4.65%
  • Profitability factor: 22.29

Cross-Stock Comparison (Average Profit per Deal)

• AMD: +4.65%
• NVDA: +3.82%
• AAPL: +0.90%
• AMZN: +0.80%
• TSLA: −0.80%

Explicit Takeaways / Cautions

• Rule transfer risk: A strategy’s success on one stock does not guarantee similar results on another.
• Sector/bias hypothesis: The strongest results were AMD and NVDA (semiconductors). The speaker questions whether this reflects a historical sector bias or merely a “lucky” 10-year sample.
• Small-sample caution: Extremely high metrics (e.g., NVDA/AMD profitability factors) may be sensitive to sample size.

• Why backtest rather than assume:

  “That’s why we test, not assume.”

• Notable risk feature: No stop-loss / no profit target means outcomes depend entirely on the RSI exit rule.

Disclosures / Disclaimers

• No explicit “not financial advice” disclaimer appears in the provided subtitles.

Presenters / Sources

• No presenter name or external source is explicitly identified in the subtitles.
• Only a mention of a creator’s community/site: “School” and “Link below.”