Video summary
البورصة المصرية - حلقة مميزة جدا من برنامج البورصة النهاردة و عرض أهم الأسهم المرشحة للصعود:26-09-06
Main summary
Key takeaways
Finance-focused summary (Egyptian stock market — EGX)
Market recap & investor flows (today)
- Total trading volume: EGP 15.188B (15 billion, 188 million, 838k)
- Traded shares as % of market: 23.4%
- Market cap change: “~4% of market capitalization rose”
- Gainers/losers (closing): 118 up, 96 down, 10 unchanged
EGX30
- Open: 56,270 (day’s low)
- Intraday high: 56,888 (said to be a new high)
- Close: 56,676 (said to be another new high)
EGX70
- Low: 21,302
- High: 21,660
- Close: 21,616
- Daily gain: +315 pts (+14.48%)
- Commentary also mentioned ~405 pts from low to high.
EGX Sharia index
- Open: 6,637
- High: 6,735
- Close: 6,723
- Gain: +85 pts (~+1.28%)
Trading by investor category
- Individuals: 78.5% of transactions
- Institutions: 23.5%
- Net flows (buy/sell):
- Egyptian individuals: net buyers +428M
- Egyptian Arab institutions: net sellers -138M
- Arab investors: net sellers -45,477
- Foreign institutions: net sellers -255M
- (Direction is clear: net selling)
Key takeaway / caution raised: Even though EGX30 broke/approached key levels, the hosts stress it looks “strange” that all institutions are selling—suggesting index strength is being carried by individuals, which “alone can’t carry the market.” Institutional follow-through is needed to lift blue chips.
Macro / rate sensitivity (foreign selling rationale)
- Discussion links persistent foreign institution selling to high US interest rates:
- If US rates rise, foreigners prefer Treasury bills/bonds over risk assets → continued selling pressure.
- To see foreigners become buyers, the panel hopes for US rate cuts or other currency/FX changes.
Stock/sector mentions & key technical levels / targets (explicit calls)
The panel frequently uses a technical, level-based approach: break/retest/resistance-follow-through, plus “accumulation” framing for momentum continuation.
EGX30 leadership examples & “why stocks lag”
- Commercial International Bank (CIB):
- Referenced near resistance ~143
- Emphasis: must break above 143, possibly 145
- Talaat Mostafa (T.M.):
- Mentioned around ~101–102 as an accumulation break level
- Noted as closing at 100 today in the conversation
- Telecom Egypt (ETEL):
- Positively moving after breaking out of a sideways range
- Mentioned as having surpassed 120
“Buy opportunities / watchlists” (hosts’ picks)
- Fawry (FWRY):
- Presented as a good accumulation / entry opportunity
- Noted it hasn’t been able to break below 19 EGP
- Target path discussed: 21 → 22 (by end of year / before end of year)
- Talaat Mostafa (T.M.):
- Setup after long accumulation; target break 101–102
- Ramida / Ramida Pharma (Ramida):
- Considered good after the last move; linked to pharmaceutical sector strength
- GIP / GB Corp (GB Corporation / GIP Corp):
- Mentioned around 28 → low 30s
- One segment described it as “slow/quiet,” expecting a break above 30 to reach 32
- Palm Hills (PHDC):
- Referred to as a “sweetheart” stock
- Noted 15 EGP “today”
- Support/accumulation:
- Stability around ~14–14.5
- Resistance/breakout levels:
- 18, then target 23 by end of year (in the “Palm Hills” segment)
- Misr El Gedida (MEDI):
- Mentioned with targets around 28.8, then possible stagnation/build
- Pharmaceutical sector / specific names:
- Ibn Sina Pharma mentioned for pharmaceutical exposure
- Beltone (Beltone Financial):
- Called out multiple times as “heavy/fed up by traders”
- A related “Act” / ACT company is mentioned as a stakeholder; discussion says it hit a target and is forming a bottom
“Energy” / EGX sector laggard call
- Energy / Upper Egypt Energy (EG? / “Energy” mentioned):
- Described as significantly lagging, then moving
- Today it “passed the 17th” with higher volume
- Targets discussed:
- 18, then 20, and possibly 22
- Energy was strongly reiterated as a prime “today” performer.
Other laggards / additional discussed names
- Credit Agricole Egypt:
- Broke sideways; close 26
- Key levels: break above 26 → 27–28
- Al Shams Housing:
- Stable above 13 for four sessions; behavior around 13.20
- If breakout: 14 → 15
- Heliopolis / Nasr City / “Nasr City” (includes reference to Nasr City / Emaar Misr style):
- Levels referenced:
- 7.25 (Heliopolis)
- 47 (Nasr City)
- Accumulation mentioned around 70–80, then breakout referenced (some subtitle noise, but buy-support continuation implied)
- Levels referenced:
- Other “papers” mentioned with remaining targets:
- Skel Mining, Manhaj and Quarries, Sodic, Ibico, Ataka, Export Development, Al Baraka Bank, Egyptian Bank, and others
EGX70 index levels & expectations (next session framework)
- Resistance filters: 21,700 and 22,000
- If it passes: expect move to 22,500
- If it fails: expect a retest lower levels around 21,000 and 20,700
- (Subtitles also showed “2700,” likely meaning 20,700 in context)
Sharia index framework & targets
- Sharia index confirmed positive performance; “previous rally at 6,700”
- Closed: 6,723
- Volume: said to be high today
- Next targets:
- 6,800
- If it breaks 6,800 → target 7,000
Step-by-step / methodology emphasized (implicit technical playbook)
- Breakout confirmation:
- Watch index breaks near key zones (e.g., EGX30 around 56,000 and toward 57,000) and whether leading stocks confirm
- Institutional vs individual confirmation:
- If institutions sell while individuals buy, index strength may be weaker for lifting heavyweights (risk of lack of follow-through)
- Retest logic:
- After breakout/rally, expect momentum slowdown and a retest of exited support levels (mentioned around 56,100 and 56,000)
- Stock-level rule:
- Buy on accumulation setups; sell when the pre-agreed target price is reached
- Hosts emphasize patience and defined exits
Explicit recommendations / outlook calls
- Near-term (Monday) market tone:
- Panel expects the first half to be positive (possibly up to 57,000)
- Then slowdown in the second half
- Potential drop + retest of the 56–56,100 area
- Stock call bias:
- “accumulation/laggards” framed as better buy opportunities
- Examples: Fawry, Talaat Mostafa, Palm Hills, Energy, Credit Agricole, Al Shams Housing, GB Corp
- Foreign flow caution:
- If US rates stay high or rise, foreign selling may persist → market could remain sluggish
Disclosures / disclaimers
- No clear “not financial advice” disclaimer appears in the provided subtitles.
Presenters / sources
- Mr. Khaled Sayed
- Mr. Ahmed (guest/participant)
- Ms. Marwa (primary panel guest/host)
- Program/source referenced: “البورصة النهاردة / The Stock Market” (daily stock market show)