Video summary

THESE Gold & Silver Stocks a Screaming BUY - 'More Bullish Than Ever': John Feneck and Don Durrett

Main summary

Key takeaways

Finance

Finance-Focused Summary (Gold/Silver Miners + Critical Minerals)

Macro / Market Driver Framing

  • Both guests argue the recent sell-off in gold and silver miners is driven largely by the war with Iran, described as a “temporary phenomenon,” rather than a fundamental deterioration in the metals/mining sector.

Gold vs. Silver Leadership

  • Don Durrett

    • Frames it as the “gold story” with silver as the “little sister.”
    • Believes silver is catching up and may underperform/overshoot relative to gold.
    • Cites relative declines:
      • Gold down ~28% to around $4,000
      • Silver down ~52%
    • Expects gold could make another lower low into midterms, but sees serious structural breakdown only if:
      • Gold drops below ~$3,000, and “probably below ~$2,800.”
    • Uses HUI (Gold/Silver mining index proxy):
      • Around ~615 vs prior ~989 (down ~38%)
      • Says it likely won’t fall into a “4-handle,” though low 500s are possible.
  • Timeline / Seasonality Caution (Silver) — Durrett

    • If silver rallies within 1–4 weeks, he calls it possibly a “dead cat bounce.”
    • Then expects seasonality weakness from mid-August to mid-October, followed by another correction.

Key Numbers & Explicit Market Levels

Gold / Silver Price Levels

  • Gold: referenced around $4,000 (down ~28% per the discussion).
  • Silver: down ~52%, with “catch-up mode” after running from roughly $35 to $120.
  • Additional context:
    • Durrett references a prior low near ~$3,950.
    • Mentions gold bouncing near ~$4,200.
    • Silver’s key technical level: $50.

Bullish / Structural Breakdown Thresholds (Gold)

  • Gold bull market breakdown viewed as:
    • < $3,000, and likely < $2,800

Silver Technical Levels

  • $50 identified as a key breakout / all-time-high retest zone.
  • John Feneck’s plan (silver):
    • Re-buy idea if silver cracks ~$50
    • Downside range discussed around ~$47–$50
    • Durrett also cited targeting around ~$48

Mining Sector Index / Valuation Proxies

HUI (Mining Index Proxy)

  • HUI ~615 vs prior ~989 (down ~38%)
  • No expectation of a “4-handle” in the current correction
  • Possible low 500s

ETF / Equity Pricing & Risk Ranges

  • SILJ (small-to-mid cap silver miners)
    • Mentioned at ~$24.50 (vs ~$40 earlier)
  • GDX (large-cap gold miners)
    • About ~$73 at recording
    • Support cited: ~$59–$61
    • Near-term upside cited: ~$93 to $100
    • RSI ~42.5
    • Preference: add more when RSI is in the 30s

Portfolio / Positioning Recommendations (Methodologies)

Don Durrett: Speculative Tactical Framework (36–48+ Month Focus)

  • Time horizon
    • Focus on 36–48 months (up to 60 months) targeting “5-baggers” rather than 1-year gains.
  • Risk / “racetrack” mindset
    • “You can’t pick winners”—expect some positions to lose.
    • Keep “playing the next race.”
  • Macro overlay / edge rule
    • Simplify to mostly one factor: gold and silver price trend higher.
    • If metals trend higher, odds favor the investor.

John Feneck: Silver/Gold Leadership + Technical Entry Logic

  • Leadership rule
    • Gold leads; silver follows (silver “catching up”).
  • Silver entry logic
    • After trimming earlier, he’s open to re-buying if breakdown/retest behavior confirms.
    • Specifically: if silver cracks ~$50, he expects it may not be long-lived.
  • Gold/miners framework
    • Uses GDX as the large-cap proxy.
    • Adds only when technicals improve (notably preferring lower RSI ~30s).

Instruments, ETFs, and Indices Mentioned

  • SILJ (silver miners ETF)
  • SLVP (large-cap silver producers ETF mentioned)
  • SIL (larger-cap silver producers referenced)
  • SLVR (silver miners ETF mentioned as an additional ETF)
  • GDX (gold miners ETF)
  • HUI (mining index proxy)

Public Mining Companies Mentioned (Gold / Silver)

Silver (Development Stories / Company Names)

  • SilverCrest Metals
    • SICO (Canada), SICOF (US)
  • Black Rock Silver
    • BRC (Canada), BRRRF (US)
  • Silver 47
    • AAG (Canada), AAGAF (US)

Silver (Quality Producers / “Elite” List)

  • Coeur Mining
  • Hecla
  • Pan American
  • First Majestic

Silver (Speculative Developer / Longer-Horizon Ideas: ~36–48 months)

  • Honey Badger (Prairie Creek Mine acquisition mentioned; ticker not explicitly stated)
  • Andean Silver (restart project; production targeted ~2028; ticker not explicitly stated)
  • BMC Minerals (Yukon; silver-equivalent output cited; ticker not explicitly stated)
  • Silver Storm (San Diego project; ticker not explicitly stated)

Gold (Producers / Developers)

  • Equinox (Orla merger referenced; ticker not explicitly stated)
  • Westgold (Australia; ticker not explicitly stated)
  • SSR Mining
  • 1911 Gold (production targeted Q4 this year; ticker not explicitly stated)
  • Talon Metals / Talent score resources (Canada, British Columbia; ticker not explicitly stated)
  • Next Gold
    • NXGCF (US), NEXG (Canada)
  • Triumph Gold
    • TIGCF (US), TIG (Canada)
  • Denarius Metals
    • DNR SF (US), DMET (Canada)

Critical Minerals Theme: “US Critical Minerals” (Tungsten + Phosphate)

Tungsten Equities

  • Western Star
    • WSR (Canada), WSRIF (US)
  • Spartan Metals
    • W (Canada), SPRMF (US)
  • Tungsten spot price context (no ticker):
    • Mentioned up ~8–9x YoY at one point
    • YTD ~920 to ~2800 (units not specified)

Phosphate (LFP / Battery-Related Mention)

  • First Phosphate
    • PHOS (Canada), FRSPF (US)

Company Financial / Operational Figures Cited

  • Next Gold (NXGCF / NEXG)

    • ~7 million ounces of gold discussed
    • Production timing implied as ~3 years from now
    • Also noted potential flexibility to pivot into projects
  • Silver Storm (San Diego project)

    • Project size cited as ~100 million (likely ounces; unit not explicitly clarified)
  • BMC Minerals (Durrett)

    • Mine expected to produce ~32.2 million oz silver equivalent “out the gate.”
  • Western Star (tungsten)

    • Nevada property grades cited:
      • Historical grades > 3.3% tungsten
      • Average grade ~0.2–0.3%
      • Described as about ~10x higher than average
  • SilverCrest

    • Mentioned future target: “millions of ounces per year” in about ~2 years
  • Black Rock Silver

    • Construction next year
    • Production probably following year
    • AISC described as “extremely low vs peers” (numeric value not provided)
  • Triumph Gold

    • ~2 million ounces with potential to reach ~3 million ounces within next year
    • Mentions other commodities on property: tungsten and antimony
    • Notes last PEA in 2013 (timing context)

Performance Metrics & Technical Indicators

  • Relative drawdowns
    • Silver down ~52%
    • Gold down ~28%
  • HUI drawdown
    • Down ~38% from ~989 to ~615
  • GDX
    • Support: $59–$61
    • Target: $93–$100
    • RSI: ~42.5
    • Add preference: RSI in the 30s
  • SILJ valuation comment
    • Described as “ridiculous valuation” at ~$24.50 (vs ~$40 earlier)
  • Repricing / “real price vs old price” framing
    • Stocks have repriced; the key question is whether $X was “real” or $Y is “real”

Disclosures / Disclaimers Mentioned

  • No explicit “not financial advice” wording appears in the provided subtitles.
  • However, Durrett explicitly frames mining investing as speculative, likening it to gambling, with an emphasis on expecting losses.

Presenters / Sources Mentioned

  • Don Durrett
  • John Feneck
  • Host mentioned as Jesse (not otherwise identified)
  • Additional referenced entity:
    • OpenAI (used as an example of unclear ROI timeline; not an investment recommendation)
  • Sponsor/owner mentioned:
    • Ark Silver Gold Osmium (owner Ian Everard)

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