Summary of "‫‫📌 تحلیل نماد طلا (XAUUSD) 13 بهمن 1404 - ریزش طلا به‌ دلیل تقویت دلار و فشار تورم [تریدینگ فایندر]"

Summary — Gold (XAUUSD) analysis — 02 Feb / 13 Bahman 1404

Primary bias: bearish. Expect only short-term corrective rallies unless a clear bullish reversal (e.g., RSI bullish divergence + structural break) is confirmed.

Assets / tickers / sectors mentioned

XAUUSD (gold spot)
USD / Federal Reserve policy (dollar strength narrative)
China — liquidation from a “large gaming platform”
Banks and financial institutions (savings/liquidity flows)

Key facts, numbers and timeline

Date of analysis: February 2 (13 Bahman 1404)
Historical high referenced: 5602
Key downside reference / rejection block level: ~4898
Timeframes used: daily, 4-hour, 1-hour, 15-minute
Sessions noted: Asian, London, New York

Macro / market drivers

Appointment of Kevin Warsh as next Fed chair cited as a negative shock for gold: perceived lack of new Fed policy and transparency → stronger USD and downward pressure on gold.
Large selling/liquidation from a Chinese gaming platform contributed to the decline.
Banks and financial institutions contributed selling/liquidation flows.
Overall context: stronger USD and uncertainty around inflation/monetary policy pressuring gold.

Technical setup & trading methodology

Multi-timeframe approach:
1. Daily — establish trend and larger structure.
2. 4H — identify key zones (IFVG / order blocks).
3. 1H — optimize intraday levels and entry/exit ranges.
4. 15m — session accumulation and tactical entries.
Structural elements used:
- Gap areas / FVG / IFVG (fair value gap / imbalance) — target/entry zones.
- Rejection blocks / order blocks — resistance (supply) or support (demand).
- ARC candlestick range — used as a buy-entry zone on weakness.
RSI usage:
- Daily RSI overbought → indicates likely continuation of the downtrend; expect only short corrective rallies.
- Look for bullish divergence on RSI as confirmation of a trend reversal / end of the correction.

Liquidity / session analysis

Asian session: accumulation visible on 15m; draw trendline to monitor potential end of the downtrend.
London session: sell-side liquidity was collected at the market bottom.
New York session: after pullbacks to FVG/order-blocks from London, look for buy entries.

Timeframe-specific trade logic

Daily:
- Reaction to a rejection block + gap → expect short-term upward correction but continuation of the downtrend toward the 4H IFVG / rejection block (~4898).
4-hour → 1-hour:
- Price can correct up to the 4H IFVG (optimized on 1H).
- If momentum increases, price may reach the 4H order block (optimized on 1H) — consider selling within that range.
15-minute:
- Accumulation and a break of the downtrend line + pullback to FVG/order block ranges → consider buying.
- On weakness zones (ARC candlestick) inside a downtrend-weakness site, look for bullish RSI divergence + ARC pattern as a buy confirmation.

Explicit recommendations / trading cues

Primary bias: bearish until a confirmed reversal.
Look for buy opportunities:
- In ARC candlestick range if bullish RSI divergence appears.
- After pullbacks to FVG / order block ranges (pay attention to session-specific ranges, esp. going into New York session).
Look for sell opportunities:
- If corrective rally reaches the 4H order block range with clear resistance, consider shorting.
Key level to watch: 4H IFVG / rejection block near ~4898 (important reaction/target zone).

Risks / cautions

Daily RSI overbought increases the likelihood that the dominant downtrend resumes after short corrections.
Macro/news risk can override technical structure — e.g., Fed-related announcements, dollar moves, and large institutional/liquidation events.

Performance metrics / valuation

None provided — analysis is price- and technical-zone-focused.

Disclosures / sources

No explicit “not financial advice” disclaimer was present in the provided subtitles.
Source: Trading Finder (تریدینگ فایندر). Presenter name not specified.
News/driver cited: appointment of Kevin Warsh (Fed).