NEW Must-Drafts & Do Not Drafts | 19 Eye-Popping ADP Targets/Sleepers/Movers | Fantasy Basketball

Storyline / Purpose (Fantasy “game” framing)

• The video is a fantasy basketball draft strategy breakdown centered on ADP (Average Draft Position) changes over the last two weeks.
• The creator reviews players who fell the most in ADP, explains why (injuries, role uncertainty, fit), and identifies who could be over- or undervalued as you approach the final stretch.
• It’s presented like a “slideshow” ADP update with occasional corrections and a focus on sleepers / movers / value targets.

Gameplay / Drafting Highlights (what to do differently)

Core idea

• Draft based on role stability, minutes probability, and category fit, not just “name value.”
• Avoid early drafts of injured/traumatized players or players with volatile/unclear roles—unless you’re taking deep flyers.

Biggest ADP losers & what the host recommends

Ty Jerome (biggest loser)

• ADP drop is framed as an opportunity because his output is described as highly minutes/opportunity-driven.
• Recommendation: If you can get him later, he can “go crazy” with small opportunities.

Konstantin “Kon Kan Apple” (hamstring injury)

• Hamstring-related ADP drop triggers strong caution.
• Recommendation: Don’t draft injured players early—past patterns suggest it usually doesn’t pan out. Pass even if you expect a bounce-back.

Wendell Carter Jr.

• ADP slid into a “boring” range.
• Recommendation: At ~111+ ADP, it’s a “failure” versus the kind of value the host targets (roughly the 70–80 range).

Jaime Jaquez Jr.

• The host claims his fantasy value depends on a specific build:
  • He fits teams that need 3-point/defensive-style contributions
  • But the host argues he lacks the defensive/3PT production that defines that fantasy archetype
• Recommendation: Only consider in very tailored rosters; otherwise it’s not a typical value play.

Anthony Davis

• ADP fell a lot (now in the host’s framing: low 40s).
• Recommendation: Drafting AD in the 4th round is favored; strong fantasy ceiling if free throws show up. Biggest risk is health, but the host is willing to bet on top-10-ish potential.

Devin “Modestas” Mikalaskas (Vassell mentioned)

• The host argues public ADP data is more useful in October and should affect drafting positions.
• Recommendation: If Vassell’s ADP returns to something like mid-to-high 60s, he becomes a value target again.

Kawhi Leonard

• ADP continues falling to late 3rd / early 4th discussion.
• Recommendation: A difficult psychological choice compared to other injured-prone targets; the host describes potentially taking Kawhi even after advising against super-injury-prone picks earlier.

Dani “Obadiah” (start-of-scouting for a big)

• Called one of the “safest” options in that ADP band, despite minute competition.
• Recommendation: If he falls to the end of round 10 / start of 11, it’s an “indisputable decision” zone.

Walker Kessler

• ADP drop to ~40 framed as “new value.”
• Recommendation: Now viable even if the host still prefers only one of their preferred 4th-round stars.

Derrick White

• Uncertainty about the starter role.
• Recommendation: Don’t draft him at a reasonable ADP; wait about ~1.5 rounds.

Jaden McDaniels

• Small winner: expected to start more and lean into defensive strengths.
• Recommendation: At the new ADP (~90s), he’s sufficiently buffered to be playable, though not expected to jump drastically.

Walker / Derek Lively / Chet Holmgren segments

• Chet Holmgren

  • Host likes the ADP shift as a “small move” that improves how his fantasy profile translates in the 3rd round.
  • Strategy implication: Great value as a mid-to-late 3rd round center option (blocks/efficiency/rebounds without harsh punishment from high-usage comparisons).

• Derek Lively

  • Cautious about expecting too much immediately.
  • Notes possible shooting issues; prefers later-season outcomes over early patience.

Tyler Herro

• ADP drift down; host predicts he becomes a “must-have” around ~70.
• Recommendation: If he’s likely starting and getting meaningful scoring time, his value rises even without elite defensive categories.

Alex Len

• “Even money” skeptical.
• Concerned about lineup fit and minutes/activity.
• Recommendation: Consider only if ADP drops further; currently not a confident target.

Dyson Daniels

• Host argues that even if people fear Dort taking his role, Daniels is still top-50 quality and the ADP drop is a win if it continues.
• Recommendation: Keep tracking; treat him as increasingly strong if ADP keeps slipping.

Kelel Ver (Kell(e)l Ware referenced)

• Host suggests the ADP movement might be a Yahoo glitch, but still likes him if minutes/role look favorable.
• Recommendation: Prefer him around ~71; values around ~75 could be even better—verify ADP accuracy later.

Deni / Dani Avdia

• Host says ADP is moving toward the correct range but not enough yet.
• Ceiling concern is category-based (especially turnover/usage effects from roster changes).
• Recommendation: Don’t draft above the perceived ceiling; watch how team additions affect usage.

Kevin Porter Jr. (KPJ) (final major focus)

• Host emphasizes KPJ’s ADP drop into the “flyer zone.”
• Recommendation:
  • Take him as a late-round gamble (around the end of 10th / beginning of 11th), because comparable second-round-type ceilings are less available that late.
  • Key dependency: whether Milwaukee gives him starting/meaningful minutes; preseason performance could help confirm.

Key Strategies / Tips Summarized

• Avoid early drafts of injured players (hamstring or similar setbacks), even if there have been exceptions.
• Use role and minutes projections as the primary filter, not hype.
• Pay attention to public ADP trends in October—the host believes they may be more predictive than earlier ADP models.
• Don’t force picks:
  • If a player’s value depends on a specific category build, don’t treat them as a default target.
• For flyers (deep picks):
  • Only take them when the upside profile is unique and the downside is tolerable at that ADP.

Sources / Gamers Mentioned (end of subtitles)

• Dan Besbris (speaker/creator; also mentioned: @danbesbris on Twitter)
• Josh Lloyd
• FanDuel (sponsor / bookmaker mention)
• Fantrax (platform mention)
• Old Man Squad / Patreon (membership mentions)

No specific professional gamers were named beyond basketball-player references (e.g., Ty Jerome, Anthony Davis), which were part of the fantasy draft discussion rather than “sources.”