البورصة المصرية - البورصة النهاردة يحلل الجلسة والسوق والمؤشرات وأهم الأسهم المرشحة للصعود :26-08-04

Market / Session Overview (EGX)

• Index level focus: The market is trying to climb back above ~54,500 (seen both during the session and in the auction close).
• Trading volume: 15.237 billion EGP
• Investor flow by category (net):
  • Individuals: 78% of volume; net sellers ~87.797 million EGP
  • Egyptian institutions: 22% of volume; net buyers ~15.727 million EGP
  • Arab institutions: net sellers ~25.204 million EGP
  • Foreign institutions: net sellers ~38.065 million EGP
• Takeaway (as stated): Buying force appears dominated by Egyptian institutions, while most other groups were net sellers.

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Key Index Performance & Technical Levels

“Latin America Index” (as stated in subtitles)

• Open: 54,494 (session low)
• High: 54,516
• Close: 54,501 (gain +407 points)
• Resistance: ~54,514
  • Tested twice with rejection.
• Upside targets if resistance breaks: 54,720 → 55,000 → (hopeful) 56,000
• Downside / supports (short-term corrective zone):
  • First support: ~53,740
  • Second support: ~53,455 / ~53,730 (also mentioned as nearer support)
  • If resistance (54,514) fails, the index may correct toward ~54,000–53,700.

EGX70

• Open: 19,293 (session low)
• High: 19,804
• Close: 19,796 (gain +504 points; closed near the high)

EGX30 framing (not cleanly separated in subtitles)

• Discussion focuses on stocks within EGX30 and EGX70 as key drivers.
• “Fair value” arguments imply profit-taking as price approaches valuation levels.

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Macro / Market Behavior Interpretation

• A repeated pattern is described:
  • Strong rise during the session → gains reduced → end-of-day closes above key levels
  • “International traders” are mentioned as part of this closing behavior.
• Even with a constructive step-by-step tone, the commentary warns not to ignore very short-term supports around 54,000–53,700.
• Repeated attempts to break resistance (e.g., 54,000 / 54,200 / 54,500) without immediate breakdown is framed as consolidation, not necessarily bearish.

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Trading / Investing Approach & Frameworks Mentioned

• Technical trading (support/resistance)
  • Identify resistance (e.g., ~54,514), then wait for break/acceptance to target 55,000+
  • If rejected, expect correction toward support zones (e.g., ~53,740, ~53,730, ~53,455, or the band 54,000–53,700)
• “Fair value → profit-taking” caution
  • When stocks approach “fair values,” selling operations may occur (including possible institutional selling as prices approach valuation).
• Position management
  • For speculators/traders: consider partial exits (e.g., exit a quarter or half) rather than all-or-nothing.
  • For speculators: stop-loss = session low, and accept small profits (~1%–2%) under that model.
• Investor vs. speculator distinction
  • Investors: build a portfolio objective, enter at strong support concentrations, focus on portfolio construction.
  • Speculators: must monitor the screen constantly and respect exact levels—no “optimism/follow-through hope.”

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Stocks / Sectors Mentioned with Price Levels & Targets

Food Sector Callouts (EGX30 & EGX70 references)

Juhayna (Juhayna Foods)

• Low/high referenced: reached ~36 EGP
• Close: 33.70 EGP
• Prior reference range: ~31.69 / 31.96 (subtitle inconsistency noted)
• Suggested buying zone: ~32 to 33 (also mentions 31–32)
• Target range: 40–42 EGP

Edita

• Described similarly to other “food laggards”
• Support: ~27.52 (with “27–28” buy attraction mentioned)
• Target: ~35–36 EGP
• Note: framed as food sector very lagging.

Dairy & Oils / Related (two stocks referenced)

• Described as “excellent stocks”
• Buying approach: buy half then add if it holds or breaks.
• Levels referenced (subtitle punctuation unclear):
  • Possible add near ~3.88 / 388.5
  • Or break above ~4.27

Cairo Oils & Soap

• Buy zone: ~165 to 162 EGP
• If breakout above ~178: can enter with multiple orders / new position
• References: touched ~172, closed ~168
• Earlier range noted: ~158–165

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Cement Sector (EGX30)

• Cement sector described as lagging, with a given range: 55.80 to 55.20
• Buying range: ~55.80 → 55.20
• Break level: 58.46
• Upside targets: 59.00 → 62.00

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Palm Hills (EGX30)

• Suggested support / buying zone: around ~15.10
• Resistance tested repeatedly: ~15.43 / 44.15 / 15.50 (garbled; interpreted as resistance just above the mid‑15s)
• If it surpasses 15 EGP:
  • Targets: 15.80 and 16.40

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iFinance (EGX30)

• Accumulation / trading band: 23.94 → 23.00
• Targets: 25.16 → 25.85
• Comment: high volume vs prior days; trend described as up across short/medium/long term.

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Alexandria Mills (high-risk / speculative discussion)

• Framed as “speculators” inside the stock with caution on risk and resistance.
• Levels mentioned:
  • Historically moved ~130 → ~235 (about +100%)
  • Current close around ~209, closing near the top
  • Explicit resistance area: ~235
• Warning: “zero-income stock / heavy intraday swings” linked to speculative behavior.

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Egypt Chemical Industries (speculative)

• Levels mentioned:
  • Open: ~53.5
  • Close: ~49
  • Support / buy: ~47
  • Resistance / targets: ~53, then ~57 and ~60

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Egypt Aluminum

• Earlier discussion:
  • Struggled around 310–311, failed to surpass 316
  • Tested support around 285–200 (subtitles inconsistent; direction suggests deeper pullback to support)
  • Possible buyer entry after support test
• Q&A levels at the end:
  • Support: 290 EGP
  • Resistance: 300 EGP

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Sinai Cement (Q&A levels)

• Support: 76 EGP
• Resistance: 80.5 EGP

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Sabq Pharmaceuticals (Q&A levels)

• Support: 84 EGP
• Resistance: “5 EGP 30” (subtitle likely garbled; intended level(s) unclear, but both support and resistance are explicitly stated as numbers)

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20 Nasr Civil Works (Q&A levels)

• Support: 6 EGP 85
• Resistance: 7.25 EGP

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“Channel for agencies” (shipping/agencies-type stock; 70s discussion)

• Break/holding level: above ~31.60 EGP
• Targets: 33.80 → 34.90 EGP
• Framed as lagging but potentially positive short term if it holds above the level.

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Egyptian Housing (70s discussion)

• Entry condition: above ~2.65 (and “2.70” mentioned)
• If above ~3.00:
  • Targets: 4.40 → 5.40 EGP
• Session/reversal attempts mentioned around ~3 EGP

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AIM Group (70s discussion)

• Resistance/break: around 10.30 EGP
• If it breaks:
  • Upside: 11.30 → 11.10 (subtitles inconsistent)
• Nearest support: 10.00 → 9.80
• Notes: “11.10/1.00” appears garbled; meaning unclear due to transcription issues.

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Pharmaceuticals: Key Cautions + Specific Strategy

• Uncertainty about drug pricing mechanism
  • “Price control by not writing price on packaging” and using a QR code for pharmacies
  • Unclear whether this ties to pricing liberalization per pharmacy
  • Expectation: paperwork continues until clarity
• Two deal models mentioned
  • EIPICO model
  • Glaxo model
• Trading mindset (stop-loss based)
  • Stop-loss set at the lowest price of today’s session
  • Example structure: if stock at 100 then hits 95 → 95 becomes the stop-loss reference
• Risk warning about “zero” behavior
  • Many pharma-related shares may show extreme settlement behavior (example described as “60%–70%… are zero”)
  • Intraday money shifts mentioned (example: “Galaxy stock saw 40 or 50 EGP in the session…”, but ticker/arithmetic unclear)

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Disclosures / Disclaimers

• No explicit “not financial advice” disclaimer appears in the provided subtitles.
• Multiple cautions are emphasized instead:
  • Respect technical levels
  • Stop-loss discipline
  • Investor vs. speculator differentiation
  • High risk emphasis

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Presenters / Sources (as named)

• Mr. Ali
• Mr. Ahmed Mustafa
• Program hosts/guests referenced but not otherwise identified.