BRAND NEW Stock I Might Buy‼️Next Market Winner??

Finance-Focused Summary

Stock Ideas / “Next Buy” (Near-Term Decision, Long-Term Thesis)

The presenter looks for companies expected to grow revenues exponentially over the next 5–10 years, potentially doubling/tripling revenue, with profitability growing faster than revenue, supported by:

• Durable business models
• Trusted management

They also briefly solicit viewer suggestions for “what to buy next,” including:

• Corning
• Zscaler
• Netflix
• Palantir

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Hims (HIMS) — Watchlist Potential, Near-Term Caution Due to the Quarter

Key points mentioned:

• Current price level: “just over $30”
• The report is described as “very ugly” despite strong topline growth.

Latest results (as discussed):

• Revenue growth: +38%
• Cost of revenue: +112%
• Gross profit: up ~16 percentage points (implying profitability is worsening vs revenue growth)
• Gross margin: 64% vs 76% (decline)
• Marketing: +20% (called a “bright spot”)
• Operations & support: +44% (faster than revenue; much faster than gross profit)
• Technology & development: +45%
• G&A: +146%
• Total operating expenses: +48%
• Operating income: deteriorated from “income from operations of tens of millions” to ~“almost a hundred million dollar loss from operations”
• EPS: loss of 37 cents/share vs prior +19 cents gain (implied year-over-year)

Valuation / balance sheet notes:

• Market value: around $7B
• Cash: over $600M

Explicit stance / recommendation:

• Not starting immediately
• Hims remains on a “possible buys” watch list
• The decision is constrained by capital competition: they’re choosing between Hims and other “easy money” opportunities and can only deploy limited dollars.

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More Attractive Alternatives (Implicit Allocation Comparison)

The presenter suggests other stocks as more compelling right now (using rough price cues):

• Netflix — “very easy money for the next several years”
• American Express (AXP) — “under 350 is very attractive”
• Celsius (CELH) — “in the 20s is very darn attractive,” with a long-term upside claim:
  • Could triple/quadruple/possibly 5x over ~5 years

They argue they can’t confidently claim Hims has more upside than Celsius over the next 5 years, even if Hims is promising (telehealth angle).

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Portfolio Construction / Mindset Framework (Long Horizon)

The core philosophy is long-horizon investing—not short-horizon trading:

• Decisions are based on where the best opportunities are over the next several years, specifically 2027–2030
• Selling logic is not “will it underperform in 2 weeks,” but:
  • Is there a much better place for money over the next several years?
• Avoid a “gambling mentality”:
  • Don’t buy only because of seasonality (example: semiconductors doing well Oct–Feb)
  • Don’t react emotionally to daily price moves (example: Celsius dropping from $29 to $25 vs rising—both treated as long-term buy decisions)

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Macro / Sector Discussion: AI “Bubble,” Capex Intensity, and Safer Bets

AI Bubble and Overbuilding Risk

They discuss whether AI is in a “bubble,” stating that:

• “Absolutely” a bubble likely exists
• There may be a “pop”

Main risk:

• Overbuilding / ROI uncertainty
• Leverage and complex repayment/capex networks involving major AI players (including “implicit leverage”)

“Safest Stocks” for the Theme (Explicit Examples)

They name chipmakers and profitable AI enablers as safer bets:

• AMD, Nvidia (NVDA), Micron (MU) — framed as chip companies likely to earn massive profits because AI depends on chips
• Also mentioned:
  • Broadcom (AVGO)
  • ASML

They caution that some AI spend-heavy platforms may not deliver clear ROI, mentioning:

• Meta
• Amazon
• Google
• Microsoft

Open-Source / Lower-Cost Inference Pressure

They discuss potential pricing pressure risk from cheaper/open-source inference:

• Could pressure “token costs” and possibly token prices over time (eventually “commoditized,” uncertain)

Examples mentioned in this context:

• Base 10
• Fireworks.ai
• Cursor
• Open Router (rumored acquisition)
• Mentions “Sonic” in passing

Disclosure / Company-Angle Note

They say they are not investors in Anthropic or OpenAI (and note they “should have been”), but they plan to look at future filings (e.g., S-1) for details like gross margin and capex structure.

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AI Companies / Telecom-Style Overspend Analogy

They draw parallels to telecom bubble dynamics:

• AI spending could “overspend,” followed by resets
• Companies with real revenues may survive, while some “no-revenue” firms may fail historically
• A few winners can become extremely large over time (social media market expansion analogy)

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Disclosures / Disclaimers

• In the AI discussion, they include a content-disclosure style note stating they are not investors in Anthropic or OpenAI.
• No explicit “not financial advice” language appears in the provided subtitles.

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Tickers / Instruments Mentioned

• Corning
• Zscaler
• Netflix
• Palantir
• Hims
• American Express (AXP)
• Celsius (CELH)
• Micron (MU)
• Nvidia (NVDA)
• AMD (AMD)
• Broadcom (AVGO)
• ASML (ASML)
• Meta (ticker not stated)
• Amazon (ticker not stated)
• Google (ticker not stated)
• Microsoft (ticker not stated)

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Other Companies/Brands Mentioned (Non-Ticker)

• Google Gemini / Gemini users
• OpenAI, Anthropic
• SpaceX (ROI/payback reference)
• Pepsi / Rockstar energy (mentioned in corporate/industry context)

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Methodology / Step-by-Step Framework (Portfolio Approach)

1. Invest/sell based on a multi-year opportunity set
   • Focus on positions expected to do well in 2027–2030
   • Avoid decisions based on next 3–6 months price action
2. Selling decisions should consider long-term redeployment
   • If a better multi-year use of capital exists, rotate
3. Long-term buy decisions require conviction to hold
   • Buy only if you can hold through multi-year upside realization
4. Company evaluation criteria (implied stock-selection framework)
   • Durable, defensible business model
   • Management trustworthiness
   • Revenue growth that can double/triple in 5–10 years
   • Profitability growth faster than revenue
   • Ability to improve profitability while scaling

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Key Numbers Explicitly Called Out

Hims (HIMS)

• Price: “just over $30”
• Revenue growth: +38%
• Cost of revenue: +112%
• Gross margin: 64% vs 76%
• Marketing: +20%
• Operations & support: +44%
• Technology & development: +45%
• G&A: +146%
• Total operating expenses: +48%
• Operating loss: “almost $100M loss from operations” (quarter-level)
• EPS: -37 cents vs prior +19 cents
• Valuation/cash: about $7B value; cash over $600M

Others / Context

• Celsius long-term upside: 3x–4x, potentially 5x over ~5 years
• American Express price level: under $350 attractive
• Celsius near-term commentary: $22 / $32 as long-term “bigger buy / buy” thresholds
• Portfolio size mentioned: public account at $4.662 million (context: since 2018)

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Presenters / Sources Mentioned

• Nick (referenced as “Nick’s up here”)
• Jeremy (addressed by name repeatedly)
• Ben (partner/host segment: “Partner of Lead Edge Capital… Mitchell Walker…”)
• Mitchell Walker (interviewee)
• Sundar Pichai (referenced via a Google Gemini user comment)
• GVD / Lead Edge Capital (mentioned as part of framing; exact role unclear)
• 1000xstocks.com (sponsor/partner referenced)