[LIVE] Pre-Market Prep – MEMORY STOCKS RIPPING – S&P New All Time Highs

Finance-focused summary (pre-market prep)

Macro / economic calendar & rates

• Upcoming data

  • 8:30: Core Retail Sales (about 24 minutes from the discussion)
    • YoY: forecast 5.01% (flat)
    • MoM: actual -0.6% vs forecast +0.1% (weaker than expected)
  • 10:00: University of Michigan (preliminary)
    • Focus on consumer sentiment and inflation expectations

• Fed pricing / “Fed Watch tool”

  • Market still pricing “higher for longer”, but with two pauses out to October
  • September pause odds: 55.6%
  • The presenter framed this as consistent with the idea that the FOMC may not be in a rush to hike, despite prior “hot inflation” rhetoric

Market futures / yields (pre-open tone)

• Futures

  • S&P 500 futures (ES): +9 bps
  • NASDAQ futures (NQ): +26 bps
  • Oil futures: +44 bps
  • Dow futures: -17 bps

• US 10-year Treasury yield

  • Around 4.645% (+0.4 bps, gently up)

• Headline risk context

  • Treasury yields rising as the US threatens Iran with additional economic sanctions
  • Copper mentioned as a “real-time gauge” for potential tariff actions
  • Geopolitical note: Japan PM condemns Putin’s visit to disputed islands

Earnings / company catalysts referenced (examples)

• Applied Materials (AMAT): earnings reported “last night” (only generally referenced)
• Figure AI (FIGR): earnings release discussed as having been pre-market (not after close)
• Other earnings-calendar mentions included: Workhorse (implied irrelevant), Sunrete, Snowcrete, etc. (limited analysis)

---

Trading setup “pathing” / technical framework

ES (S&P 500 futures) setup framework

• Thesis: bull flag / bullish consolidation breakout on the 4-hour chart

• Key support / invalidations

  • “Failed move” threshold around 77.90–77.93 (range top)
  • “All-time high” reference zone around the 7820s
  • Value area low: 7807s
  • Downside levels:
    • ~7792s
    • CPI flash crash low: 7760

• Overnight inventory / positioning metric

  • “Continuing percent” net long overnight inventory: 87.9215%
  • “P for patience pedestal”: small/short-duration risk posture

• “3.5 questions” / state checks

  • Opening vs previous day range: neutral/inside
  • Opening vs value area: inside value; overnight contained within value area
  • Opening relative to overnight inventory: net long

• Scenario pathing for the session

  • Opening washout into support → expectation for upside grind
  • Opening drive up → “blue sky territories” above prior highs
  • Failing paths:
    • Price returning under the prior all-time high zone and/or breaking key support:
      • 7807, then 7760

• “Friday rules” risk doctrine

  • If green on the week: “keep it green,” keep risk controlled, avoid “stupid” trades
  • If red: keep it “respectful/responsible,” avoid trouble

NQ (Nasdaq futures) setup framework

• Pattern: bull flag / ascending triangle continuation
• Key level emphasized: breakout “line in the sand” at 30,075
• Fibonacci usage
  • Mentions 0.382 fib on NQ and that ES may respect 0.618
  • Framed as reference-level thinking (not “buy every 382”)

Cash ETFs mentioned & technical levels

• SPY

  • “Junk drawer” / breakout logic:
    • bullish: buy on higher low after a failed breakout
    • bearish: if it fails back under the breakout area

• QQQ

  • Bullish if breakout holds above the “junk drawer” zone
  • Bearish if it falls back below
  • Levels:
    • ~731.75 (warning/failure area)
    • ~726.50 (top of “junk drawer” / ideal higher low target)

• IWM

  • Support emphasized around 30,130 / ~3040 region
  • If prior bar low breaks: concerns increase
  • Pullback longs framed as contingent on reclaim holding

---

“Memory stocks ripping” / single-name trading notes (tickers & bias)

SanDisk (SNDK)

• Momentum leader mentioned from investor day, but gapping into the declining 50-day → potentially problematic
• “MU is the cleaner look” than SNDK

Micron (MU) — major focus

• Momentum “day-2 follow-through” concept
• Plan: watch for overnight high break into $980–$1,000
• Caution: $1,000 could act as psychological resistance

STX (Seagate Technology)

• Highlighted as stronger/cleaner
• Attention on 50-day reclaim and an “ideal higher low”

AMD

• Described as “terrible / god awful” (daily structure failing)
• Bias:
  • Fade if it runs into ~507
  • Fade toward 460s / 447s (mean reversion / sideways stance)

NVIDIA (NVDA)

• Rated B-: “slow Y… slow again”
• Focus: acceptance above ~226
• Otherwise: don’t “pick this horse” given broader momentum

Apple (AAPL)

• “No trade / choppy range”
• If forced: only around ~305.65 midpoint

Microsoft (MSFT)

• Repeated “500 rejections”
• Implies a 500 reclaim may be required

Amazon (AMZN)

• Wait for a wick down into ~262, then look for a long

Google / Alphabet (GOOG)

• Not strongly favored; wants structure to improve
• ~34150 referenced as “can’t really afford to go much lower” area

Broadcom (AVGO)

• Waiting for a pullback toward ~405 before considering

Meta (META)

• Rated B for potential short setup:
  • short off MA stack around 600
  • watch an attempted head-and-shoulders (fail and re-entry)

Intel (INTC)

• Potential day-two follow-through
• Reclaim area around ~109.25
• Overhead 50 SMA noted around ~109.25
• Target/range toward ~116.5 (gap lows referenced)

Tesla (TSLA)

• Potentially interesting on a gap approach
• Watch:
  • 34211–34232 zone (gap/trigger area)
  • overnight low for failure

---

Options / high-volume scan notes (instruments/tickers)

• DRAM (generic “DRAM” listed by volume)
• 50 SMA level cited as important

• Thematic / leveraged Korea and memory-adjacent instruments referenced:

  • Korea levered 3x ETF (ticker unclear)
  • SOXL (Semiconductor sector ETF) referenced as “doing the deal fine”
  • SNDU / SKH High / SKHX (Korea semiconductor-related tickers; sometimes abbreviated)

• Drone-related names/catalysts later mentioned:

  • Reddit (RDDT): surge tied to news
  • Drone/tariff related: ARCAT (ARCT), AVAV, KOS, A“ and UMAC (Unusual Machines)

---

Other specific catalysts

Reddit (RDDT)

• Moving on a catalyst: inclusion in the S&P 500
  • Joining before Tuesday’s open, replacing AVB
• Presenter warning: S&P inclusion moves often fade, even with strong pre-market buying
• Notes “earnings numbers actually crushed” but market concern around the Google deal

---

Disclosures / disclaimers

• No explicit “not financial advice” line appears in the provided subtitles
• The presenter uses educational/strategy framing (“system,” “pathing”)
• Repeated risk-control language: “keep risk protected” and “don’t do anything stupid”

---

Key tickers / instruments mentioned

Indexes/futures & yields

• ES futures
• NQ futures
• US 10-year Treasury yield (~4.645%)

ETFs

• SPY
• QQQ
• IWM
• SOXL
• Korea levered 3x ETF (ticker not clearly stated)

Stocks / companies (examples and notable mentions)

• AMAT, FIGR
• NVDA, AAPL, MSFT, AMZN, GOOG
• AVGO, META, MU, SNDK, STX, TSLA
• AMD, INTC
• RDDT
• Drone / defense / other: ARCT, AVAV, KOS, UMAC
• Additional implied mentions in the transcript set: SMCI, SQS, ASML, TSM (general mention), PLTR/Palantir, DOCU, HUBS, SHOP, PCOR, WDAY, WORKHORSE (and others with uncertain ticker clarity such as “NET?”)

Other

• DRAM (underlying/sector concept referenced during scan)

---

Presenters / sources (as named in subtitles)

• Mr. G (host)
• CNBC (source for earnings/topline figures and headline framing)
• JC (mentioned in chat for retail sales numbers)
• Mentions of Mr. Agent Man and Michael Herman / “senior news correspondent” (names appear; main content largely attributed to the host)