التحليل الفني الصباحي لجلسة البورصة المصرية الاربعاء 5- 8- 2026 أستاذة دينا فهمي

Key market view (EGX)

• Date: August 5, 2026
• Presenter: Dina Fahmy (Head of Technical Analysis, EGX Experty)
• Index performance: EGX index closed at 54,500 (positive close)

Bullish bias / breakout plan (short-term)

• Expected to break above the session’s recent peak
• Upside targets: 57,000 → 58,500 → 60,000
• 60,000 is described as a target referenced in the pre-determined annual report

Medium-term outlook

• Expects higher levels beyond 60,000
• Main upward cycle expected to continue until end of 2027

Risk levels / downside plan (first annual support)

• First annual support: 53,500

• Next support zone: 53,280

  Note: subtitles spell it as “532,800”, likely a transcription error; context suggests ~53,280.

• Protection level: 52,750

• Stop-loss: below 52,500
• More conservative stop-loss: below 52,150

Relative performance (small/mid caps)

• EGX 7 closed at: 198
• EGX 7 outperforming EGX 30
• New highs; next target: 20,000

If a short-term correction occurs (index)

• Expected supports: 19,300 → 191,800 → 18,250
• Protection: 18,800
• Stop-loss: below 18,250

  Note: these numbers appear inconsistent with the earlier index level (54,500). They may reflect different measures, or be subtitle errors.

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Explicit stock/sector technical calls (tickers mentioned in subtitles)

All levels are presented as technical targets/supports/protection/stop-loss, implying a risk-managed trading framework.

1) EFG Holding Group

• Setup: Sideways, retesting 2,780

• Targets (in order):

  • 2,780 breakout → 3,0 / 3,1 / 3,0 → peak 31.90

    Note: subtitles include formatting issues around “30, 31, and 30”; interpreted as sequential targets then the peak at 31.90.

• Upside confirmation: Break above 31.90 → new record highs

• Support: 26.0 (listed as “260”) then 25.80
• Stop-loss: below 25.80

2) Banyan for Development

• Setup: Sideways
• Trigger: break above 5.15
• Targets: 5.00 → 5.66 → peak 5.95
• Support: 4.80 then 4.65
• Stop-loss: below 4.55

3) Arab Aluminum

• Setup: testing 24.10
• Trigger: expect break above 24.10
• Targets: 25.20 → peak 26.00 → (break 26.00) → 27.80 → 29.00 EGP
• Support: 23.20 then 22.00
• Stop-loss: below 22.00 EGP

4) International Fertilizers

• Recent move: positive after breaking above 15.90
• Targets:
  • 17.00 EGP
  • Break above 17.00 → 18.00 EGP → peak 19.20 EGP
• Support: 15.50 EGP
• Stop-loss: below 15.00 EGP

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Portfolio / risk management pattern (repeated across calls)

The presenter repeatedly uses a consistent technical discipline:

• Entry/confirmation trigger: “break above” a specified level
• Target ladder: multiple sequential upside targets
• First support / next supports: staged downside levels
• Protection level: intermediate risk boundary
• Stop-loss: explicit hard level to limit losses
• Mentions a more conservative stop-loss in the index outlook

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Updates on previously discussed stocks (recap)

Elsewedy Stock

• Context: Previously expected corrective behavior around 84.00 EGP (described as a 62% distance correction from the last high/peak)
  • Plan led to rebound: 95.5 → 108 → 115
• Current level: Testing peak 115
• Targets if confirmed break above 115: 125 → 135 → 140
• If temporary correction: expected areas 106 → 100 EGP

Stock referenced near “20-week moving average” (~10 EGP / ~28 EGP)

Note: subtitles appear mangled, but the structure and key levels are clearer.

• Prior: corrective movement testing 28 EGP (described as ~20-week moving average)

• Continued above 28 → rebound to 30 → 85 → peak 32

  (subtitles unclear on “30 → 85 → 32” due to transcription issues)

• Subsequent rise: noted 33% gain in prior update

• New levels after a 26% correction:
  • Current around 33.20 then 31.80
  • If trading continues above 31.80 → 36 → 37 → 39 EGP
• Protection level: 31 EGP

Edita

• Prior call (Aug 2):
  • If above 26 EGP → 28.9 → 30 EGP (targets met; noted +20%)
• New trigger:
  • If above 28.70 → retest peak at 32.20

• If breakout above 32.20:

  • Targets: 34 → 35 → then “70, then 38 EGP”

    Subtitle appears inconsistent/corrupted; likely additional target ladder.

• Protection level: 28 EGP

Al Ahli for Development

(Name as written in subtitles; currency mentioned as “pounds”)

• Prior:
  • Testing 46.5 (half of 47.25) expected to be broken upward
  • Targets achieved; stock rose +29%
• Current next targets: 64 → 68 → 70 pounds
• If correction: expected to settle around 56

• Also mentions earlier framework around: 28 → peak 29.5 → 31.8 → 32.5 → 34 pounds with +14% achieved on earlier targets

  Note: subtitles mix dates/stock references; levels are still presented as a technical ladder with protection.

• Protection level: 53

  Mentioned in a “why the 53 level?” segment.

Another prior technical series (subtitles heavily corrupted)

Note: levels remain explicit.

• Entered a corrective movement testing 10 EGP (described as 62% correction of last high)
• Plan included retest of 9.0 / 60 EGP level (garbled)
• Break targets: 10 → 11 → 11.5 EGP
• Supports: 9.95 EGP, then 9.70 EGP
• Stop-loss: below 6.90 EGP

  Text contains “690 EGP/6.90”; likely intended as ~6.90.

Warathcom for Development

• Prior:
  • Testing 40 EGP, expected break → targets 42 → 44 → 46 EGP
  • First target achieved
• Remaining targets: second/third still valid
• Stop-loss: below 39 EGP

Continuation note (subtitle corruption may change whether this is the same stock)

• Mentioned sideways after previous rise:
  • If trading continues above 40.70–39.80 → rebounds 44 → 46.90 → 47 → 50 pounds
  • First target achieved; +17% rise
• Third target still valid
• Supports: 44, then 42
• Stop-loss: below 41 Egyptian pounds

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Disclosures / disclaimers

• No explicit “not financial advice” disclaimer appears in the provided subtitles/text.

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Presenter / sources (as mentioned)

• Dina Fahmy — Head of Technical Analysis, EGX Experty
• Video title references: “الأستاذة دينا فهمي” / professor Dina Fahmy