البورصة المصرية - البورصة النهاردة يحلل الجلسة والسوق والمؤشرات وأهم الأسهم المرشحة للصعود: 26-09-27

Key finance/news flow (Egyptian stock market session)

Trading day recap

• Total market volume: EGP 7.908B
• Auction/large block share of volume: 20% of total volume
• Advancers/decliners: 20 winning stocks, 190 declining, 11 flat/fluctuating

Index performance (EGX)

EGX30 (Latin index)

• Opened: 53,776.76
• Low: 52,954
• High: 54,278
• Closed: 53,331 (-745 pts / -1.4%)

EGX70

• Opened: 1,934
• Low: 1,966 (note: subtitle appears inconsistent here since low > open; presenters treat it as breaking down)
• High: 1,934
• Closed: 1,967 (-767 pts / -3.87%)

Sharia index

• Opened: 6,510
• Low: 6,386
• High: 6,573
• Closed: 6,398 (-112 pts / -1.73%)

Market positioning / flows

• Retail vs institutions: Individuals 82% of trades vs Institutions 18%
• Net activity (highlighted):
  • Egyptian individuals: net buyers ~73.798M
  • Egyptian institutions: net sellers ~231.802M
  • Arab institutions: net sellers ~48.439M
  • Foreign currency units: net buyers ~171.705M

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Instruments / tickers explicitly mentioned

• CIB (Commercial International Bank)
  • Technical levels discussed: 90 broken (concern), 88 reached, and rebound zone later discussed around 132–134
  • Reference level (context unclear): “not rising and falling back” around 300, with deterioration mentioned below 300 and also “below 130”
• Fawry
• E-Finance
• Talaat Moustafa (cited as a key source of pressure on EGX30)

Sector ideas (no specific tickers given in subtitles)

• Energy / petrochemicals
• Real estate (example: Heliopolis)
• Banking: Al-Sadr Bank and Al-Baraka Bank (also “smaller banks”)
• Mention of Nahr Al-Khair as an example of a stock that dropped

Corporate action referenced

• Cairo Poultry (merger-driven opening price explanation)

Macro inputs discussed

• Oil price / oil & shipping (discussed as macro drivers; no specific commodity ticker)

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Technical analysis & step-by-step framework shared (as described by presenters)

1) EGX30 technical setup

• Two negative chart patterns cited as activated earlier:
  • Weekly “Rising” pattern (described as negative once activated)
  • Daily “Hidden Shoulder” pattern
• Hidden Shoulder target: 52,500
• Caution threshold: the trend stays negative while below 55,000 (emphasis on 55,000 levels)
• Support framework: keep Thursday’s lows in view
  • Mentioned support level(s):
    • 52,700.1 (described as closed number ~52,750)
• If 52,750 (or 52,700-ish) breaks:
  • risk of deeper downside toward 52.30 / 52
  • potential downside narrative toward 49,000

2) EGX70 (and Elliott/indicator suite)

• Presenter stance: avoid EGX70 while down/weak
• Disclosed logic:
  • If “today’s level is lower than yesterday’s,” then “flip the 70s” (treated as bearish confirmation)
• Risk mapping:
  • if key support breaks, correction could cascade toward levels associated with the 49,000 area narrative

3) “Rebound = corrective rebound” vs “trend reversal”

Clear caution: any bounce is not proof that the bear trend is over.

• Use rebounds to:
  • reduce long positions
  • minimize losses
  • preserve cash
• If the market falls again, the goal is to have liquidity to buy lower

4) Trade management / risk control rule-of-thumb

• “Any market reaction that isn’t a buying reaction… is just a selling reaction.”
• If profitable: take profit and exit (even if small)
• If losing: exit to secure capital (capital preservation emphasized)

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Key numbers & levels repeatedly stressed (practical watchlist)

EGX30

• Close: 53,331 (-1.4%)
• Hidden Shoulder target: 52,500
• Trend risk condition: below 55,000
• Support to watch (Thursday low): 52,700.1 (also rounded as 52,750)
• Deeper scenario if support breaks:
  • 52.30 / 52
  • potential downside toward 49,000 (“and some change”)

EGX70

• Close: 1,967 (-3.87%)
• Bearish signals cited from Elliott Wave / 70 / 100 indicators

CIB

• Major level referenced: 90
  • broke 90 (negative), reached 88
• Next-session triggers:
  • stabilize above 129–130
• Expected rebound zone if it holds:
  • 132–134

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Recommendations / stance (explicit)

• Risk posture: cautious; trend not considered over
• Positioning:
  • reduce exposure on rebounds
  • preserve capital to buy at better prices if declines continue
• Long-term sector tilt (examples):
  • Energy/petrochemicals: viewed as resilient; opportunities may appear during correction
  • Real estate: opportunity for long-term investors (example: Heliopolis)
  • Banking (smaller banks): Al-Sadr Bank, Al-Baraka Bank
• General buying condition mentioned: if a stock has corrected meaningfully (roughly 50%–60% of its move into correction), the presenter would consider buying “with confidence” (as a rough guide)

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Corporate action / IPO-like detail

Cairo Poultry (first trading day after merger)

• Pre-suspension reference price: EGP 38.20
• Share swap mechanics:
  • Previous shareholders of Cairo Poultry received 2.68 shares from merging companies
  • Shareholders of the other merging companies were allocated shares so that each holder ends with a total of 3.68 shares
• Opening price logic (explained):
  • Opening ≈ 38.20 / 3.68
  • This is presented as exchange mechanics, not a fundamentals call

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Macro context cited (drivers of caution)

• Rising interest rates globally
• Geopolitical tensions
• Oil price fluctuations
• Shipping standstill / global shipping disruption
• Global economy slowdown / stagnation

Resulting behavior: uncertainty → investors avoid risk; some shift toward certificates of deposit, but presenters argue for some allocation to those instruments while still maintaining equity exposure.

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Disclosures / disclaimers

• No explicit “not financial advice” line is shown in the provided subtitles.
• Repeated hedging/risk-management messaging appears throughout (e.g., “be careful,” “reduce long positions,” “avoid,” “minimize losses”).

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Presenters / sources mentioned

• Mr. Khaled Sayed (also called “Professor Khaled” in one segment)
• Ms. Marwa
• Mr. Ahmed
• Mentions of Faisal Securities Trading Company / Faisal Company (advertorial segments; claims about accreditation and research capability)
• Dar Al-Iftar (referenced regarding a Sharia compliance claim)