Что значит для войны в Украине поражение партии Трампа на выборах, жесткий удар по СБУ от НАБУ.04.11

Summary

Front Line and Energy

The presenter reported, citing DeepState, that Russian forces had advanced in Kostiantynivka. In Kami shevakha, Zaporizhzhia region, more than 40 people were reported killed when an aerial bomb struck a school where people had gathered to receive humanitarian aid. Russian sources claimed the site had military uses and was the intended target; Ukrainian authorities had not confirmed that account.

Power cuts continued across Ukraine. The presenter said Russian attacks had damaged both electricity generation and transmission, including a substation important to the Khmelnytskyi nuclear plant, forcing nuclear plants to reduce output.

NABU’s “Carthage” Investigation

NABU published further allegations that a criminal network operated with protection from officials in the SBU, police, and the Prosecutor General’s Office. Investigators say the network received payments from fraudulent call centers and businesses selling cannabis-related products, and was involved in bribery, counterfeit currency production, kidnappings, torture, and assaults.

They also allege that members used law-enforcement databases and surveillance systems, passed on information about searches, and received millions of dollars in cryptocurrency. The SBU announced the dismissal of two senior employees linked to the case in media reports.

The Presenter’s Interpretation of the NABU–SBU Conflict

Medvedeva described the investigation as a foreseeable continuation of pressure on the Prosecutor General’s Office. In her analysis, the anti-corruption agencies aim to weaken the security services still under President Zelensky’s influence and deter a possible counterattack against NABU. She also argued that the case could increase pressure on Zelensky from anti-corruption groups and European-oriented actors.

U.S. Elections and Implications for Ukraine

The presenter said Republicans had lost control of both houses of Congress, giving Democrats a majority. She linked the result partly to the Iran war, its economic effects, and divisions among Republicans.

Medvedeva suggested the defeat could weaken Trump within his party and encourage Republican hawks, while Democrats might pursue impeachment. She noted that removing a president would require more than a simple majority. A Democratic Congress could reduce the likelihood of renewed U.S. strikes on Iran, although the new Congress would not take office until January.

On Ukraine, Medvedeva argued that a Democratic majority could make it less likely that Trump would pressure Kyiv to accept the “Anchorage” terms. She outlined possible Democratic approaches, ranging from renewed aid and tougher sanctions on Moscow to support for Ukraine’s maximalist aims. She warned that such policies, especially if combined with European action against Russian shipping, could increase escalation risks.

If Democrats do not push for tougher terms, she said, an agreement to stop fighting along the current front line might remain possible. The outcome would also depend on Europe’s willingness to resume dialogue with Moscow.

Incident at a Building Associated with Azov

The program presented a teenager’s account of being beaten after climbing into the grounds of a building in Petropavlivska Borshchahivka. He said he went there on his own, was struck with a fire extinguisher and later a shovel, and was then beaten and interrogated inside. He said he was eventually taken out and handed to medics after speaking with Kyrylo Budanov.

The presenter also reported that doctor Valentina Moloda and Tatyana Kireeva were detained in connection with the protest at the site. Moloda said she was a practicing doctor who went there after Kireeva asked for help. She described an allegedly seriously ill detainee who needed medical care. The court remanded Moloda in custody without bail.

Medvedeva criticized the authorities’ handling of the protesters and said there had been no comparable news of accountability for the National Guard members and Azov personnel alleged to have operated the site.

Presenter: Olesya Medvedeva