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My MOST CONFIDENT Picks For UFC Belgrade | Medic vs Rodriguez

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Summary (UFC Belgrade Fight Card Predictions)

The video previews UFC Fight Night at Belgrade, with the host giving predictions and methods of victory for each bout—highlighting “locks” versus more uncertain picks.

Main Event: Uros Medic vs. Daniel Rodriguez

  • Medic is framed as a “kill or be killed” fighter who either knocks opponents out or gets knocked out.
  • Rodriguez receives extensive backstory: he spent eight months in a Mexican jail after being detained while crossing the border. The situation included training, but also malnutrition, resulting in major muscle loss and weakness (the host even notes he was outwrestled afterward by his 17-year-old son).
  • The host argues Rodriguez likely won’t look the same at UFC level and is therefore a risky choice.
  • Pick: Yair Rodriguez to win by knockout (the host believes the Rodriguez story won’t play out like the documentary-style narrative).

Co-Main Event: Jan Błachowicz vs. Nav Sterling

  • The host calls this the hardest fight to predict.
  • Błachowicz
    • Age: 43
    • Recent: knee surgery (meniscus mentioned)
    • Form: 1–4 in his last five, with losses to elite competition
  • Sterling
    • Takes the fight on short notice (2–3 weeks) as a replacement for Bogdan Guskov
    • The host is concerned because Sterling is inconsistent—he may keep fights close rather than finishing clearly
  • The host expects a very close scoring outcome.
  • Pick (by decision): Nav Sterling to win by decision.

Featured Fight: Alexander Rakic vs. Marcin Tybura

  • Tybura is described as slower now, effective mainly against less-skilled heavyweights.
  • Rakic is moving to heavyweight, and the host suggests Rakic’s speed and skill should carry over well.
  • Tybura is expected to smother and grind against the cage, but Rakic should be able to outclass him.
  • Pick: Alexander Rakic to win by decision.

Other Bout Predictions

  • Dusko vs. Robert Whittaker

    • Both are labeled “not trustworthy,” but Whittaker is seen as the better overall fighter.
    • The host imagines Whittaker pressuring, landing clean shots, then getting a takedown.
    • Pick: Robert Whittaker by submission.

  • Vlasto Čepo vs. Gilbert Urbina

    • Čepo is portrayed as a forward-pressure hook spammer with poor striking defense and (as claimed) limited grappling knowledge.
    • Urbina is framed as a grappler with a “glass chin,” so the host expects a split: Urbina must get it to the mat to avoid being overwhelmed.
    • Pick: Vlasto Čepo by knockout (quick finish threat).

  • Miloš Jančić vs. Noa Dugnad (UFC debut matchup)

    • Jančić: chaotic style, heavy jab volume (“spams the jab”).
    • Dugnad: better when grappling; the host expects takedowns and a submission.
    • Pick: Noa Dugnad by submission.

  • Ludovit Klein vs. Terrance Musayev

    • Musayev is described as a repeat “dirty” fighter (fence grabs, headbutts, eye pokes mentioned).
    • Klein is seen as the more dynamic overall fighter; the host expects stressful moments because Musayev can hang around.
    • Pick: Ludovit Klein to win (by submission or decision).

  • Oban Elliott vs. Oliveira (listed in subtitles as “Mokaev Oliveira”)

    • Elliott: tough and scrappy, but with recent losses.
    • Oliveira: extremely dangerous—patient, heavy power, efficient finishing.
    • Pick: Oliveira by knockout, likely round 2 or 3.

  • Borislav Nikolić vs. Mark O. Madsen

    • The host emphasizes a major size/weight disadvantage due to the smaller opponent’s division size mismatch.
    • Predicts Nikolić’s pressure and dirty-fight approach will overwhelm.
    • Pick: Borislav Nikolić to win by finish.

  • Denis “Bazooka” Goltsov vs. Bogdan Grad

    • Both are described as fighters the host doesn’t fully trust due to chin vulnerability.
    • Grad is expected to use a similar game plan to earlier success: early control/takedown—question is whether he gasses.
    • Pick: Bogdan Grad (knockout or decision), tight fight.

  • Matusch Rebecki vs. Kyle Prepolec

    • Rebecki is expected to cut early and bleed, which could hurt him on the scorecards if the fight drags.
    • The host expects early grappling dominance leading to a late stoppage/submission.
    • Pick: Rebecki by submission.

  • Nina Milisavljevic vs. Hailey Cowan

    • Cowan is described as athletic but not a strong fighter overall.
    • Milisavljevic is expected to secure a takedown and submit early.
    • Pick: Nina Milisavljevic by submission.

  • Jovana Lečić vs. Aleksandar Popović

    • Popović is on short notice and moving up heavily in weight.
    • Lečić’s physical size advantage is expected to be decisive (subtitles cite 265 lb vs roughly 40 lb lighter).
    • Pick: Lečić to win (knockout or decision).

  • Spahović vs. Luciano (women’s bout)

    • The host claims Luciano is better in all areas and should dominate standing or grappling.
    • Pick: Luciano to win (submission or decision).

Betting/Viewing Notes from the Host

  • The host repeatedly emphasizes that some picks are not the same as bets (especially the Sterling/Błachowicz fight).
  • A warning is given against parlaying certain fighters.
  • The host mentions a separate video for “three best bets” coming out the next day.

Presenters / Sources

  • No explicit external sources or organizations are listed beyond the host referencing:
    • Quintilian (quoted at the start about “describing” rather than just stating)
    • Joe Rogan (referenced in the Rodriguez jail/malnutrition discussion)
    • Twitter (referenced regarding opening odds)

Original video