Video summary

I Made $1,300,000 in 12 Months — Copy My News Trading Strategy

Main summary

Key takeaways

Finance

Finance-focused summary (news trading / prop firm performance)

Prop firm performance / payouts (past 12 months)

The presenter claims large trading performance on multiple prop platforms (payout totals, not account balances):

  • Topstep: ~$250,000 total payouts
  • TradiFire: $136,000 total payouts
  • E8: ~$220,000 total payouts
  • Lucid (live account): ~$100,000 total payouts
  • FundedNext: $108,000 total payouts
  • Alpha Futures: ~$75,000 total payouts

They also mention using smaller sites, but don’t provide totals.

Core market / instrument focus

  • Trades US “red folder” scheduled economic/news events
    • Typically 8:30 a.m. EST
    • Commonly Tue/Thu, sometimes Mon/Fri
  • Instrument implied throughout: Nasdaq futures, ticker “NQ”
    • Explicitly mentions NQ
    • Also references “futures of Nasdaq”
  • News source / tools:
    • Forex Factory
      • Calendar + “red folder US impact news”
      • Expected vs actual and timing
    • Mentions tweets as examples of unexpected news items (Twitter post items)

“Fair pricing” theory + strategy logic (framework)

The strategy is built around the idea that markets temporarily move away from a “fair price,” then revert.

Key concepts

  • Fair price of news (expected events): Defined as the price before the news candle, because expected releases are argued to be already priced in.

  • Reversion (main edge): After expected news, price should revert back to the pre-news fair price.

  • Continuation (for extreme / unexpected moves):

    • For unexpected news, they prefer trading in the direction of the move (continuation).
    • “News drift” concept: prices tend to continue moving in the direction of a surprise.

Method / step-by-step (as described)

  1. Identify scheduled US red folder events on Forex Factory (focus on 8:30 a.m. EST).
  2. For each event, mark the candle before news:
    • Use the body of the candle around 8:29 a.m. EST as the fair price reference.

  3. Determine whether the event is expected vs far from forecast:

    • Expected / actual ≈ forecast: Treat pre-news price as fair and trade reversion back to it.

    • Unexpected / actual far from forecast: Treat the post-news consolidation as the new fair price and prefer continuation (or sometimes continuation back into consolidation).

  4. Entry style (repeatable trigger):

    • “Personally” uses break and close above previous structure as an entry trigger.
    • Mentions other entry styles like reacting to early candles.
  5. Position management:
    • Stop loss / take profit are described as “arbitrary” and left to prop firm risk management.
    • Caution about trading through market open due to wicks / overnight order effects.
    • Sometimes suggests widening stops if entering near/through open.

Key execution cautions / time windows

  • Avoid trading too late: presenter says they’re “usually done trading by 11:00 a.m.” due to volume and edge decay.
  • Market open risk:
    • If entering pre-open or during opening transition, openings can wick due to overnight orders.
    • They recommend either:
      • Widening stops, or
      • Waiting until the market opens and the first green candle prints, then entering off break of structure.
  • Limit number of reversions: “Don’t look for too many reversions throughout the day.”

Examples cited (May 12–14; 8:30 a.m. EST)

Thursday, May 14 (expected)

  • Event time: 8:30 a.m. EST
    • Mark 8:29 candle body as fair price.
  • Forecast vs actual:
    • Forecast: 0.7%
    • Actual: 0.7% (essentially as expected)
  • Logic:
    • If NQ moves sharply despite expected outcome, presenter calls it “unfair” and targets reversion back to pre-news level.
  • Entry:
    • Uses break and close above previous structure
    • Aims to move “towards fair price”
  • Notes:
    • Mentions potential second reversion but recommends not overtrading.
  • Mentions: trade likely completed before 11:00 a.m.

Wednesday, May 13 (more unexpected than others)

  • Event at 8:30 a.m.
  • Forecast deviation notes:
    • Says actual was a little higher than expected, and it still dumped.
  • Adjustment to “fair price”:
    • If deviation is “very far away,” they redefine fair price as:
      • recent consolidation and the market open price
      • Mentions 9:29 a.m. as fair in this context, but later cautions 9:29 isn’t always fair due to possible unfair pre-open moves
  • Trade preference when far from forecast:
    • Recommends continuations more than reversions
    • For reversion, entry back toward the pre-open price

Tuesday, May 12 (CPI expected)

  • CPI event at 8:30 a.m.
  • Says CPI is “pretty much as expected for all of them” (expected).
  • Fair price:
    • Uses 8:29 candle as fair (even if “very small”).
  • Trade mechanics:
    • Entry off break of structure
  • Key number:
    • Claims “you’re getting 70 points in your favor.”
  • Open risk:
    • Mentions market opens during the setup and advises being careful about stops; believes overnight selling favored the outcome.
  • Mentions:
    • Possible double down on the later unfair move (second trade), but reiterates testing.

Unexpected news example (Iran/materials; “red folder news from Twitter”)

  • Example described: ~13 hours before recording
  • Source: Twitter, treated as unexpected news
  • Strategy for unexpected news:
    • Continuation: enter anywhere throughout the candle as it’s forming
    • Do not revert to pre-news price
    • Treat the most recent consolidation after the news as the new fair price
  • Additional observation:
    • Market opens quickly back to consolidation and chops around, confirming consolidation as fair
    • If it breaks out of consolidation, they may trade continuation back into consolidation

Recommendation / performance claims

  • Claims the highest win-rate trade is reversion to pre-news price.
  • Mentions: “I always risk higher when my chance of winning is expected to be higher,” implying risk scaling based on expected probability/edge.
  • Encourages:
    • Test on paper trading first
    • Use the calendar to locate red folder events
    • Join their free Discord for collaboration/alerts

Explicit disclaimers / disclosures

  • No formal “not financial advice” wording appears in the provided subtitles.
  • Risk disclaimer:
    • Stop loss / take profit described as “arbitrary”
    • Should follow prop firm risk management

Tickers / instruments / assets mentioned

  • NQ (Nasdaq futures) — repeatedly referenced as the traded futures
  • USD — referenced in context of the Forex Factory calendar (“USD red folder US impact news”)
  • No stocks/ETFs/bonds/crypto commodities are explicitly mentioned.

Key numbers / metrics mentioned

  • Prop payout totals (12 months): $250k, $136k, $220k, $100k, $108k, $75k
  • Event timing: 8:30 a.m. EST (and using 8:29 a.m. candle body)
  • Forecast example: 0.7% (Thursday May 14)
  • Point move example: 70 points (Tuesday May 12)
  • Trading cutoff: typically done by 11:00 a.m.

Presenters / sources mentioned

  • Presenter: the (single) YouTube channel host (name not provided in subtitles)
  • Sources / tools:
    • Forex Factory (news calendar + expected vs actual + workflow references)
    • Google (used as a generic source for “news drift” explanation)
    • Twitter (used as an example source for unexpected news)

Original video