Solar cataclysm coming, 2023-2026

Overview

Jerry Croft, a California professor, presents a detailed (and highly speculative) argument that a specific crop circle encodes a “solar cataclysm” expected to strike Earth sometime between 2023 and 2026, comparable to the historical Carrington event (1859).

Core Claims and Reasoning

Crop circle as a predictive artifact

Croft argues that the crop circle’s design elements correspond to sunspots, solar flares/CMEs, and a Carrington-level geomagnetic storm. He frames the video as a step-by-step decoding process intended to create a coherent timeline, rather than treating the imagery as a one-off coincidence.

Sunspot sizing and Carrington matching

• Croft claims the crop circle contains a sunspot depiction whose angular/relative size matches a sunspot drawing attributed to John Carrington (1859).
• He further claims the crop circle’s sunspot depiction is more similar to Carrington’s example than to a much larger sunspot example discussed in 2014 (as described using NASA framing).

Carrington event background and stakes

Croft summarizes NASA/scientific descriptions of how sunspots drive solar flares and coronal mass ejections, and why such events can be dangerous to Earth. He then describes the Carrington storm’s effects (e.g., telegraph disruptions and widespread auroras) and argues that a similar event today could cause massive damage, including:

• Global power outages
• Communications/internet disruption
• GPS effects
• Major impacts to hospitals
• Risks to pacemakers
• Potential damage to nuclear infrastructure
• Vulnerability for electronics

He contrasts:

• Worst-case outcomes assuming insufficient preparation
• Scenarios where a “24-hour warning” from monitoring systems might allow protective measures (for example, turning off vulnerable grid components like transformers)

He also cites an example of partial real-world protection failure (a transformer shutdown event in Canada in the early 1990s, as he describes it).

Probability framing: science vs. Croft’s interpretation

Croft says mainstream science estimates a Carrington-level event in the next cycle is low (mentioning figures around ~1.5–2%, plus an idea that it may not be “likely again” for roughly 150 years). His counterclaim is that the crop circle “begs to differ,” implying the risk is higher specifically during the upcoming solar maximum window.

The “Timeline” Decoding (2023–2026)

Solar cycles represented by crop-circle geometry

Croft interprets “gear teeth” shapes around the central figure as markers for alternating:

• Solar minima (smaller sunspot activity)
• Solar maxima (larger sunspot activity)

He argues the overall structure maintains a consistent length corresponding to 11-year solar cycle periods. He then derives a larger structured count, ultimately proposing a 176-year timeline built from 16 cycle-elements × 11 years.

Link to Carrington, then to the present

Croft proposes the timeline is anchored to 1859 and that adding 176 years brings it toward the modern era (he cites 2035 in his calculations). However, he argues the key directional link is not another full Carrington recurrence; instead, it points to the maximum of a specific solar cycle.

He claims the relevant solar-cycle maximum is expected in 2025–2026, which he then connects to a literature prediction (below).

Literature citation about the solar maximum window

Croft asserts that a peer-reviewed prediction states:

• The maximum of the coming solar cycle will occur no earlier than 2023 and no later than 2026
• Peak sunspot numbers will be roughly between 95 and 130

Because he treats sunspots as drivers of solar explosions, he concludes that a Carrington-level outcome—if encoded by the crop circle—would fall within 2023–2026.

Near-miss claim: 2012

He also mentions a view that a Carrington-sized event may have occurred in 2012 but missed Earth by about nine days, implying timing/orientation prevented impact.

“What This Means” and Suggested Preparation

Preparation emphasis

Croft emphasizes readiness rather than panic. His practical takeaway is that a major geomagnetic storm could produce days without electricity, even if utilities respond quickly.

Conservative action recommendation

He proposes a core survival question:

“Could you survive for a month without electricity?”

Specific preparedness ideas (general)

He suggests general preparedness such as:

• Backup power options (e.g., a generator)
• Alternative cooking plans
• Battery radios
• Supplies and skills for food storage and extended disruption

He also implies preparedness is not only individual—society and nations may need to be ready, questioning whether all countries would respond effectively to warnings.

Who Made the Crop Circle? (Three Hypotheses, Then His Conclusion)

Croft lays out three theories:

1. Hooligans/vandals made it

   • He argues against this due to claimed precision and lack of evidence/witnessing.

2. Concerned humans made it

   • He argues against this because it would be a strange, hard-to-reach communication method, and because of legal/damage concerns.

3. Alien intelligence made it (his favored explanation)

   • He frames the crop circle as a mathematical/pictographic “message” intended to be decoded.
   • He claims it is “testable”: if a Carrington-level event matching the stated window does not occur, the interpretation fails (and he argues aliens are unlikely to have a different incentive).

He closes by recounting that he was interviewed for an upcoming Ancient Aliens episode related to crop circles, though not necessarily this specific latest analysis, and he promotes his book/website.

Presenters or Contributors

• Jerry Croft (presenter; described as a professor in California and author)
• Two unnamed solar physicists Croft says he consulted:
  • A university professor (unnamed)
  • A NASA PhD solar physicist (unnamed)
• Horuss Drew (named; PhD from Caltech; professor in Australia; crop-circle collaborator/interlocutor)
• “Physics Girl” (named as the source of a referenced explanation; “a charming lady” with that channel name)
• Ancient Aliens executive producer (named only as an executive producer; unnamed)
• John Carrington (historical figure referenced; amateur astronomer who drew/observed the 1859 event)
• NASA (referenced as an institutional source for definitions/technical framing of solar flares and related material)
• “Helioscientists” / peer-reviewed journal authors (referenced as producing a prediction of solar maximum timing and sunspot counts; not individually named)