DISCORD CHART REQUESTS 📈 (July 18, 2026)

Finance-Focused Summary (Wave/Dot Trading Framework)

Overall Approach / Framework

• Uses a wave/trend system with “dots” to time entries and exits:
  • Buy on green dot confirmation (momentum shifting in your favor).
  • Wait for weekly/monthly confirmation depending on the setup.
  • Sell on red dot (profit taking / momentum turning).
• Prefers buying at longer-term support zones, often:
  • Yearly moving average (1-year) for some names.
  • “Likes buying at the 4-year moving average” for longer-term swing entries.
• Emphasizes risk control via stop losses at price levels tied to recent lows/invalidations.
• Macro/market context mentioned:
  • Crypto described as a “nasty bare market” for ~10 months and the worst bare market in 10 years.
  • Speculative expectation: crypto may bounce into end of year.

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Key Instruments & Directional Bias (With Levels)

Gold / Commodities

AU (Gold-related stock)

• Context: Gold topped around $56,550–$56,600 (as referenced).
• Price action: AU down about ~30%; described as sitting at the yearly moving average.
• Strategy:
  • Consider entry at the yearly MA, but wait for weekly “green dot.”
  • Longer-term buy zone cited: 4-year moving average last hit ~16,700 (as referenced).
• Caution: “Looks very weak” and no green dot yet.

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Energy

CEG (Energy)

• Setup: Signal on pullback.
• Levels: Near ~$250, pulled back from ~$400.
• Stop loss: About $228 (low from a couple weeks ago).
• Recommendation: Start/add on the signal; bullish on the correction.

OXY (Oil & Gas)

• Thesis: Oil & gas “starting to break out again,” with war heating up mentioned as a macro driver.
• Buy trigger: Play the green dot.
• Stop loss: About $49; if it breaks, sell.

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Chemicals / Industrial / “Cheap Beaten-Up” Equities

ON

• Dividend: ~3%.
• Valuation note: Mentions a negative PE ratio (“not very good”).
• Condition/valuation: “Way down,” off a top around ~$67.
• Recommendation: Buy this year off the signal; earnings coming up; prefers beaten-down/cheap stocks.

LB (Plastic manufacturer)

• Setup: Signal on pullback.
• Prior cycle: Signals occurred around ~$45–$40, then ran to ~$80.
• Entry: Buy after green dot confirmation; last “green dot buy” referenced.

INTU (Software)

• Thesis: Sold off hard on earnings; “very undervalued.”
• Levels: Near a ~6-year low; bottom watched around ~$253–$250.
• Recommendation: Buyer if a weekly signal appears; “no monthly yet.”

ACN (Software)

• Setup: Against him on earnings; now “getting a lot of it back.”
• Levels: Started around ~$160, dipped to ~$120; signal last week.
• Recommendation: Bullish as long as the dot stays green; expects recovery next week.

CRM (Salesforce)

• Sector rotation claim: Rotation out of chip stocks (e.g., Intel) into beaten-up software.
• Quant notes: CRM cited as ~$140B company making ~$11B/quarter.
• Price path cited: ~$370 down to ~$70.
• Recommendation: Bullish above ~$150 (risk framed around maintaining that level).

ADBE (Adobe)

• Setup: “Breaking out” above 9 (likely the 9 EMA).
• Recommendation: Buy with stop loss at ~$210.
• Note: Belief that the business is “screwed,” but technicals are attractive for a trade.

BABA (Alibaba)

• Setup: Breaking out; has a weekly green dot.
• Levels:
  • Stop loss around ~$105
  • Buy/hold above ~$107 (~$105)

FIGR

• Setup: Green dot.
• Entry idea: Buy around ~$29.

CPRT (Copart)

• Technical thesis: Buying at a 4-year low; suggests long-term interest if signal confirms.
• Fundamental snippets mentioned:
  • Positive cash flow
  • Total assets: ~$10B
  • Operating cash flow: ~$1.8B

OKLO (Oklo; nuclear energy play)

• Setup: Back near the 4-year moving average.
• Fundamental caveat: Zero revenue mentioned (“doesn’t make any money”)—emphasizes relying on signal timing.
• Levels/context: Excited around ~$200, later fell to ~$40 after trading up to ~$85.
• Recommendation: Wait for the next signal.

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Infrastructure / “Real Economy” Claims

STRL (Sterling Infrastructure)

• Setup: Red dot came back in May at ~$900; now coming down.
• Timeline: May take ~5–6 months to get the next green-dot “wave” entry.
• Profit-taking referenced earlier: ~$900 to ~$1,000.

AGX

• Notes: Red dot, MACD crossed over, pointing down; “wouldn’t touch that.”

VICR

• No red dot yet; expects continuation.
• If it pulls back, could go to ~$14 and remain bullish.
• Key level: Bullish as long as it holds ~$12; monthly alert mentioned as favorable.

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Crypto & Altcoin / Meme Risk Management

General Caution

• Claims crypto is in a severe bear phase and not all names will survive.
• Encourages “great assets at great prices.”
• Warns against memecoins/altcoin gambling.

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Crypto Setups (Levels & Triggers)

SEI

• Setup: “Annihilated”; bounce likely soon due to monthly alert if it holds ~$0.04.
• No weekly signal yet: implies waiting for signal.

ALGO (Algorand; subtitles garbled)

• Bear-market caution; stopped out.
• Invalidation: Hold ~$0.079 (March low).
• Expectation: Want a green dot in the next couple of days.

HOOD (Robinhood)

• Dot status: No red dot; green dot came around ~$70, traded up to ~$120.
• Stop/risk: Sell if below $90; stop set at $90.

Aerodrome (Aero; “Aerrome”)

• Bullish if it holds ~$0.44–$0.445 (EMA/wave support referenced).
• Stop/invalidation: If that breaks, expects lower prices.

AKT

• Sell signal around ~$0.82; now sinking.
• Wait for another green dot.

LCX

• Monthly alert/green dot present; described as at all-time low.
• Caution: “Newer project,” fewer proven track record; prefers more established names like Chainlink or Ethereum.

BE (Bloom Energy)

• Called out as red after prior top.
• Recommendation: short BE.

BMNR

• Framing: “Ethereum Treasury Company” (Tom Lee referenced).
• Thesis: If Ethereum rises, BMNR rises.
• Recommendation: Bullish at current levels based on green dot.

FIL (Filecoin)

• Described as “ugly,” at all-time lows.
• Levels cited: ~$240 in 2021 vs ~$76 currently.
• Strategy: Buy off green dot on the monthly.
• Range referenced: ~$70–$90.

ZEC (Zcash)

• Stance: Seller on strength.
• Red dot cited around ~$660; earlier red dot around ~$750.
• Stop loss: ~$450; if it breaks $450, sell.
• Note: Mentions a prior large March move (from ~$30 to massive gains, ~2,000%) but says that move may already be “done.”

PEPE (meme coin)

• Has a green dot indicating a potential bottom.
• Condition: Needs breakout above 90 EMA and continuation.
• Profit logic: Buy while the wave is down; sell when the wave comes back up.
• Levels referenced (messy subtitles):
  • Earlier around 0.003 cents
  • Current cited near 0.000028
  • Another buy area around 0.3
• Risk posture: Bottom-fishing/technical trading, not long-term “gambling.”

CFG

• Red dot around ~$0.28; below 9 EMA; need green dot.

GDRX

• Setup: Breaking out over 50.
• Action: Sold half around ~$3.15.
• Target: Push toward ~$4–$5.
• Caution: Wouldn’t buy at current levels; prefer earlier around ~$2.
• Bullish condition: Holds ~$2.70.

CLBT

• Setup: Bullish/holding; buy signal April at ~$12.
• Recommendation: Don’t start new position now; hold and manage with stop once red dot appears.

SOUN (SoundHound)

• Bought/signal around ~$6 in April; tested again.
• Needs: weekly green dot.
• Timing: Earnings coming in a couple of weeks.
• Stop loss: ~$5.80; wants price to recover above ~$5.80.

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Explicit Stop-Loss / Sell Triggers (Quick List)

• CEG: stop ~$228
• OXY: stop ~$49
• HOOD (Robinhood): stop $90
• ZEC: stop ~$450
• Aero: invalidation around ~$0.45–$0.44
• BABA: stop ~$105
• SOUN: stop ~$5.80

(Some names are described with buy/hold conditions tied to dots but without a specific numeric stop in the provided text.)

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Disclosures / Disclaimers

• No explicit “not financial advice” disclaimer appears in the subtitles provided.
• The speaker repeatedly frames this as technical trading and suggests users should do fundamental analysis, especially for risky assets.

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Presenter / Source

• Presenter/host: Overkill Trading.
• Tom Lee is referenced as a source only for the BMNR description.