‫‫‫🚀تحلیل جفت ارز (USDJPY) 15 اردیبهشت 1405-

Market context & key events (USD/JPY)

• Instrument/Pair: USD/JPY

Japanese intervention (supporting JPY)

• USD/JPY had risen to about 16.072 (hundredths of a yen), i.e. ~160.72.
• Japan authorities intervened with ~$35B and warned they would intervene further if needed.
• After intervention, the price dropped to about 155.48.

Technical aftermath noted

• Price “filled” its weekly FPG liquidity zones after the decline.
• Price reached the highest level in ~22 months before the intervention.
• Following intervention, price:
  • broke its formed range downward
  • later traded above the daily FPG area

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Medium-term outlook & range

• Trend bias: The outlook implies a bullish/upward trend after reclaiming the daily FPG area.
• Expected medium-term fluctuation range: 155 to 160 yen

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Economic calendar / news catalysts

Today

• Japan holiday → no important reports for yen or USD.

Upcoming days

• Key US dollar data could diverge meaningfully from forecasts, potentially triggering a directional move.

Geopolitical shock affecting USD strength

• News: Two missiles hit a US warship near Jask Island.
• Reported effect: Strengthening in the US dollar index (DXY), which could support USD and put upward pressure on USD/JPY.

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Timeframe-specific technical levels

4-hour timeframe (support & downside risk)

• A strong move broke order blocks and reacted around a support level near ~15.5 yen (likely ~155.50).
• The 15.5 yen / ~155.50 area is framed as the most important support.
• If support is lost: price could move toward the lower FPG zone near ~155.

1-hour timeframe (near-term trade idea)

• Despite the Japanese holiday, a strong bearish candle appeared early in the week.
• The presenter cites a Goldman Sachs report: the Japanese government can still carry out 30 more supply interventions.
• Expectation for the rest of the day: USD continues to gain strength.
• Trading bias / idea: For short-term corrections, consider buy entries, ideally after price moves toward 4-hour and 1-hour “unicorn zones” by breaking the previous day’s high range.

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Disclosures / disclaimers

• No explicit “not financial advice” disclaimer was noted in the provided subtitles.

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Mentioned instruments / data points (extracted)

• Forex pair: USD/JPY
• Intervention size: ~$35B
• Prices/levels (approx.):
  • 160.72
  • 155.48
  • ~160
  • 155–160 range
  • ~155.50 (15.5)
  • ~155 (lower FPG)
• Timeline notes: “last week,” intervention aftermath, ~22 months high, “coming days”
• Geopolitics: missile strike near Jask Island
• Institutional reference: Goldman Sachs
• Count of interventions: 30 more supply interventions

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Presenters / sources

• Source cited: Goldman Sachs (as referenced in the subtitles)
• Presenter: Not explicitly named in the provided subtitles (only general phrasing like “I am with you / we are looking at…”)